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January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)

Meatyorologist
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Posted by SeanNyberg,

my God, this forum has devolved into the worst of the worst. It's always emotional and reactionary in here, but it seems that the rational and seasoned members have pulled back to make way for the kids. I'm going to step back for the day too. It's just too much uninformed nonsense. I am excited for a lot of you guys, because it seems like this is your first time tracking a PNW winter storm. I remember my first time.
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Posted by GHweatherChris,

@iFred @TT-SEA pin this at the top...
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SeanNyberg
SeanNyberg

my God, this forum has devolved into the worst of the worst. It's always emotional and reactionary in here, but it seems that the rational and seasoned members have pulled back to make way for the kid

Meatyorologist
Meatyorologist

Cheers forum members!

iFred
iFred

@Meatyorologist @SouthHillFrosty @Cold Snap @RentonHill all here

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Front Ranger Grand Master

Front Ranger

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, ShawniganLake said:

It’s kind of hard to put a number on a snowstorm ranking unless you are looking at a specific location.  
Years that the 18” mark was probably hit at some lowland location that come to my mind  

Dec 1996, Nov 2006, Dec 2007, Dec 2008, Jan 2012, Jan 2017, Feb 2019

Yeah, that's the grandaddy there. Few other lowland storms in recorded history can compete with that sucker in northern WA/southern BC.

A forum for the end of the world.

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted

That low is getting so much stronger now.  Anything could happen if that continues.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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MR.SNOWMIZER Grand Master

MR.SNOWMIZER

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4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Well I'll be dipped.  Another move north on the ECMWF in spite of being colder than the 18z.

1705204800-vueeyN2T3KU.png

Amazing to see this model move towards what the gfs was showing all along.  This is starting to look good for the entire area

 

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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westcoastexpat Rising Star

westcoastexpat

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

We have a shot at 1 to 3 inches tomorrow night though.

Definitely on the higher end with the Arctic front. Those things are always full of a surprises. Such a mesoscale feature that will interact with warmer than normal water temps, could be quite a convective situation. And the snow ratios will be magic at those temperatures. Think glittery, sparkly snow just blowing around. Stay off the roads!

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Frontal Snowsquall Grand Master

Frontal Snowsquall

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, Blizzard777 said:

102 members online like normal.  Oregon folks may just be in initial shock trying process what is favored to happen.  Once digested we will be photo bombed!!! 😱

Rob and some others usually just post on Facebook once the event gets near. I think that’s one of the reasons.

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

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I hope people in Seattle aren't losing sight of how impressive this Arctic front is going to be.  Looks really cold!

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Cloud Grand Master

Cloud

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Posted

This is what I was thinking about the other day. Track of the storm might not change much but plenty of time for it to pack more moisture. Seen this many times before. The PS is by no means out of the game. 

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

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4 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Euro says no. But even it struggles with Arctic fronts.

It still has some though.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Doinko Grand Master

Doinko

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3 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said:

Low looked more juicy but did not increase QPF. It actually went down for PDX

qpf_048h-imp.us_nw.png

snku_acc-imp.us_nw.png

I think it'll work out for us, even with that dry slot the Euro is showing right now

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SilverFallsAndrew Grand Master

SilverFallsAndrew

Posted
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5 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said:

Low looked more juicy but did not increase QPF. It actually went down for PDX

qpf_048h-imp.us_nw.png

snku_acc-imp.us_nw.png

Stronger CAA

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted

This run might be going somewhere with the possible reload.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, Weiner Warrior said:

Almost 500 pages into January for 2.5 inches in Portland and .4 in Seattle. 

Oh brother.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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westcoastexpat Rising Star

westcoastexpat

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I hope people in Seattle aren't losing sight of how impressive this Arctic front is going to be.  Looks really cold!

Could definitely see readings near 0F this weekend. The power of January!

Anyone think negative temperatures are on the table?

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Requiem Grand Master

Requiem

Posted
Posted

Fairly minute differences from this to the 18z-- just regarding how it spreads the precip and the change of precip type in spots.

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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MR.SNOWMIZER Grand Master

MR.SNOWMIZER

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

What a jump north. Seattle is out of play but Olympia is definitely in play if north trend continues.

11020247.png

You can add 50-75 miles north of that for precipitation.  

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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