January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)

[TT-SEA]

00Z WRF through tomorrow at 7 p.m.

[westcoastexpat]

32 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Wow!  The ICON has jumped WAY north with snowfall.  This is getting interesting.

And it's January!

After this big dump, snow will likely stay on the ground for quite a while with plenty of additional cold shots to sustain it this month 

[SouthHillFrosty]

What time is the models projecting for the cold air to hit Seattle roughly

[Anti Marine Layer]

1 minute ago, NorthBend RainEnthusiast said:

[Front Ranger]

2 minutes ago, NorthBend RainEnthusiast said:

Those are some good hot dogs.

[MikeInEverett]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

00Z WRF through tomorrow at 7 p.m.

That is Puke worthy right there

[Doinko]

1 minute ago, Tanis Leach said:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Portland OR

807 PM PST Wed Jan 10 2024

 

ORZ006-WAZ039-111215-

/O.CON.KPQR.WS.A.0003.240113T0000Z-240114T0200Z/

Greater Portland Metro Area-Greater Vancouver Area-

Including the cities of Hillsboro, Portland, Wilsonville,

Oregon City, Gresham, Troutdale, Vancouver, Battle Ground,

Ridgefield, Washougal, Yacolt, and Amboy

807 PM PST Wed Jan 10 2024

 

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON

THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

 

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 8

  inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph.

 

* WHERE...In Oregon, Greater Portland Metro Area. In Washington,

  Greater Vancouver Area.

 

* WHEN...From Friday afternoon through Saturday afternoon.

 

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous

  conditions could impact the evening commute.

 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will likely begin Friday afternoon but

  will likely not accumulate on surfaces until later Friday

  evening. Snow amounts will depend on how quickly snow diminishes

  Friday night. One to 4 inches possible through late Friday

  evening, with amounts greater than 8 inches possible if snow

  persists into Saturday.

 

NWS Point forecast says 7-15" of snow here with a 20/15 day

[Frontal Snowsquall]

00z FV3 Sat 4am with more snow and ice on the way.

[MossMan]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

00Z WRF through tomorrow at 7 p.m.

I just puked. Again. Hope to god that is wrong. 

[TacomaWx]

Just now, SouthHillFrosty said:

What time is the models projecting for the cold air to hit Seattle roughly

I believe late afternoon? 

[MossMan]

Just now, MillCreekMike said:

That is Puke worthy right there

Tim could have left that one on the shelf. 

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, Hawksfan2008 said:

Looking at timing of precip off the GEM we have a chance to do pretty D**n well tomorrow!  

WRF shows almost nothing... but its the WRF.

[NorthBend RainEnthusiast]

8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

The GFS has such awful terrain bleed in our area.   I have come to just know what crazy snow amounts mean what in reality here.  If we had all the snow the GFS has showed over this winter we would probably be over 300 inches.   

But that being said... that map tells me it will definitely snow here tomorrow!

It’s not terrain bleed if I’m standing naked atop Rattlesnake Mountain tomorrow afternoon chugging pepto until my tears are pink!

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

Tim could have left that one on the shelf. 

See post above.  When is the last time the WRF was actually right with snow?

[Hawksfan2008]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

WRF shows almost nothing... but its the WRF.

Oof just saw that…come on EURO. Would be SO cool for western Washington to get a few inches before Oregon gets hit. Everyone wins.  

[Doinko]

Mark's forecast on air was 2-10"

[Requiem]

3 minutes ago, Tanis Leach said:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Portland OR

807 PM PST Wed Jan 10 2024

 

ORZ006-WAZ039-111215-

/O.CON.KPQR.WS.A.0003.240113T0000Z-240114T0200Z/

Greater Portland Metro Area-Greater Vancouver Area-

Including the cities of Hillsboro, Portland, Wilsonville,

Oregon City, Gresham, Troutdale, Vancouver, Battle Ground,

Ridgefield, Washougal, Yacolt, and Amboy

807 PM PST Wed Jan 10 2024

 

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON

THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

 

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 8

  inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph.

 

* WHERE...In Oregon, Greater Portland Metro Area. In Washington,

  Greater Vancouver Area.

 

* WHEN...From Friday afternoon through Saturday afternoon.

 

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous

  conditions could impact the evening commute.

 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will likely begin Friday afternoon but

  will likely not accumulate on surfaces until later Friday

  evening. Snow amounts will depend on how quickly snow diminishes

  Friday night. One to 4 inches possible through late Friday

  evening, with amounts greater than 8 inches possible if snow

  persists into Saturday.

 

Wonder if they go for a blizzard warning for east metro 

[Anti Marine Layer]

On 1/9/2024 at 3:01 PM, SeanNyberg said:

my God, this forum has devolved into the worst of the worst. It's always emotional and reactionary in here, but it seems that the rational and seasoned members have pulled back to make way for the kids.

I'm going to step back for the day too. It's just too much uninformed nonsense.

I am excited for a lot of you guys, because it seems like this is your first time tracking a PNW winter storm. I remember my first time.

You mean the Politics thread?

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, MillCreekMike said:

That is Puke worthy right there

At least it doesn't have terrain bleed... that is about the only good thing about the WRF.   It has terrain precision.  

[Requiem]

Just now, Doinko said:

Mark's forecast on air was 2-10"

That seems to be Mark's favorite "moist system with cold air in place" forecast number 

[Doinko]

Just now, Requiem said:

Wonder if they go for a blizzard warning for east metro 

WRF is showing 50mph gusts here, I think the West Hills would enhance east winds here in this situation. 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

3 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

What time is the models projecting for the cold air to hit Seattle roughly

Tomorrow right before midnight.

 

[GHweatherChris]

[the_convergence_zone]

5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

00Z WRF through tomorrow at 7 p.m.

Still snowier than the HRRR! 
 

[TT-SEA]

Man... so tired.   But can't miss the ECMWF!   Maybe a nap and set alarm for 9:55??

[Front Ranger]

6 minutes ago, Tanis Leach said:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Portland OR

807 PM PST Wed Jan 10 2024

 

ORZ006-WAZ039-111215-

/O.CON.KPQR.WS.A.0003.240113T0000Z-240114T0200Z/

Greater Portland Metro Area-Greater Vancouver Area-

Including the cities of Hillsboro, Portland, Wilsonville,

Oregon City, Gresham, Troutdale, Vancouver, Battle Ground,

Ridgefield, Washougal, Yacolt, and Amboy

807 PM PST Wed Jan 10 2024

 

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON

THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

 

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 8

  inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph.

 

* WHERE...In Oregon, Greater Portland Metro Area. In Washington,

  Greater Vancouver Area.

 

* WHEN...From Friday afternoon through Saturday afternoon.

 

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous

  conditions could impact the evening commute.

 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will likely begin Friday afternoon but

  will likely not accumulate on surfaces until later Friday

  evening. Snow amounts will depend on how quickly snow diminishes

  Friday night. One to 4 inches possible through late Friday

  evening, with amounts greater than 8 inches possible if snow

  persists into Saturday.

 

1 to 8 inches lol, don't know if I've ever seen that before.

[Olive1010]

D**n, gonna setup my stuff for a nice wintery ambient quiet landscape Friday night

[lowlandsnow]

The GEM looks great for Seattle more snow later in the run

[BLI snowman]

6 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Not sure. I did play a game called the Oregon trail on the Apple 2c as a kid so there might be a place called that? 

Last time I visited Oregon was December 1968 to see Led Zeppelin play.

Analog?

https://www.ledzeppelin.com/show/civic-auditorium-or-december-29-1968

 

[GHweatherChris]

I am gonna say, 1/2" snow here tomorrow, 3-6" here on Saturday, if I am wrong, I am wrong.

[Anti Marine Layer]

8 minutes ago, Tanis Leach said:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Portland OR

807 PM PST Wed Jan 10 2024

 

ORZ006-WAZ039-111215-

/O.CON.KPQR.WS.A.0003.240113T0000Z-240114T0200Z/

Greater Portland Metro Area-Greater Vancouver Area-

Including the cities of Hillsboro, Portland, Wilsonville,

Oregon City, Gresham, Troutdale, Vancouver, Battle Ground,

Ridgefield, Washougal, Yacolt, and Amboy

807 PM PST Wed Jan 10 2024

 

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON

THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

 

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 8

  inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph.

 

* WHERE...In Oregon, Greater Portland Metro Area. In Washington,

  Greater Vancouver Area.

 

* WHEN...From Friday afternoon through Saturday afternoon.

 

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous

  conditions could impact the evening commute.

 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will likely begin Friday afternoon but

  will likely not accumulate on surfaces until later Friday

  evening. Snow amounts will depend on how quickly snow diminishes

  Friday night. One to 4 inches possible through late Friday

  evening, with amounts greater than 8 inches possible if snow

  persists into Saturday.

 

Should be exciting.

[SouthHillFrosty]

1 minute ago, lowlandsnow said:

The GEM looks great for Seattle more snow later in the run

Eh 

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, lowlandsnow said:

The GEM looks great for Seattle more snow later in the run

Some awesome model agreement here between the GFS and GEM for one week out.  

[icyasf]

Winter storm watch up for the entire WV

[Frontal Snowsquall]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Man... so tired.   But can't miss the ECMWF!   Maybe a nap and set alarm for 9:55??

Get rest! We got it here.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

12 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

The GFS has such awful terrain bleed in our area.   I have come to just know what crazy snow amounts mean what in reality here.  If we had all the snow the GFS has showed over this winter we would probably be over 300 inches.   

I feel your pain, brother! I joke that the City of Vancouver could open a municipal ski slope in Queen Elizabeth Park if all the snow on the model maps verified in reality. I have developed my tricks for distinguishing between terrain bleed and real snow.

[TT-SEA]

Just now, Frontal Snowsquall said:

Get rest! We got it here.

Its also about the suspense... this is like a great movie that you can't stop watching! 

[Ken in Wood Village]

5 minutes ago, Requiem said:

Wonder if they go for a blizzard warning for east metro 

I looked at it earlier today (around 4pm) and it only had a max of I think 6 inches of snow and now it's up to 8 inches 🌨

[lowlandsnow]

2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Eh 

The temp stays below freezing for days

[Front Ranger]

2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Eh 

Huh, yeah this is different. A clipper.