February 2024 Weather in the PNW

[Perturbed Member]

 

Might be time to drive west into the Coast Range. 

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

18z had a lot of good ensembles for Portland! Reminder, this is in centimeters

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

It will be amazing if it snows here tonight, it is not even close to cold and dewpoints are not really that low yet around here.

Bremerton is 45 dewpoint 35, that wont do it but thats at the surface and it could be much different just 500ft above that. 

[ajreich]

At our new spot about 850’ in the west hills and it’s all snow for the last 30 min. No idea what will happen, but this was much earlier than forecast.

Kids coming home early after school. Not risking getting stuck on the roads. 

Maybe Mark busts again? Giving me the 2017 vibes. 
 

[bainbridgekid]

Down to 34.5 at 800 feet in the West hills. Good sign for Portland later.

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KORPORTL1912

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, bainbridgekid said:

Down to 34.5 at 800 feet in the West hills. Good sign for Portland later.

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KORPORTL1912

The spot i check in the Olympics at 2300ft is 39 degrees lol. Things better change fast!

[RaleighHillsRunner]

7 minutes ago, ajreich said:

At our new spot about 850’ in the west hills and it’s all snow for the last 30 min. No idea what will happen, but this was much earlier than forecast.

Kids coming home early after school. Not risking getting stuck on the roads. 

Maybe Mark busts again? Giving me the 2017 vibes. 
 

Yeah based on my drive back from school it’s legit flakes at 500ft, still splatty rain just another 2 mins down the hill. Mark’s new post says this still ain’t it…guess we’ll see! Flakes in the air is always fun tho  

[snow_wizard]

Certainly frustrating the models are so dry for this area.  Definitely looks like a cold enough air mass to pull off snow.

[snow_wizard]

15 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

The spot i check in the Olympics at 2300ft is 39 degrees lol. Things better change fast!

It will get there.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Certainly frustrating the models are so dry for this area.  Definitely looks like a cold enough air mass to pull off snow.

The radar really isn't looking that impressive to me. 

[TacomaWx]

Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

The radar really isn't looking that impressive to me. 

Sometimes radar is really misleading though. Temperatures currently are misleading for the potential this evening as well.
I’m just going into this event with 0 expectations either way IMBY. No model really seems to have a handle on what’ll happen. 

[TacomaWx]

Was really windy up in snoqualmie at work today. Felt cold…but yet temps were in the mid 40s. Currently 47 here in Tacoma. If it does somehow manage to snow tonight into tomorrow morning it would be wild. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, TacomaWx said:

Sometimes radar is really misleading though. Temperatures currently are misleading for the potential this evening as well.
I’m just going into this event with 0 expectations either way IMBY. No model really seems to have a handle on what’ll happen. 

I understand both, just saying this one will be impressive if it pulls it off. One of the best evaporative cooling events we have had in many years.

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

20 minutes ago, RaleighHillsRunner said:

Yeah based on my drive back from school it’s legit flakes at 500ft, still splatty rain just another 2 mins down the hill. Mark’s new post says this still ain’t it…guess we’ll see! Flakes in the air is always fun tho  

Never trust mark! He was wrong last February, and he'll be wrong this February!

 

I think Portland going to get quite a bit of snow, but we'll see.

[Slushy Inch]

8 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

The radar really isn't looking that impressive to me. 

It’s very early

[TacomaWx]

Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

I understand both, just saying this one will be impressive if it pulls it off. One of the best evaporative cooling events we have had in many years.

It’s definitely coming west of Highway 16 and Highway 3 on the peninsula. I really wouldn’t put much stock into this event here if the euro was showing nothing…but it’s been consistent showing 1/2-1” here. Most of the models do show atleast 1/2” here with the exception of a couple models. Even with the consensus of the models showing snow…I just ain’t buying it til I see it. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, Slushy Inch said:

It’s very early

Not if the storm is ahead of schedule.

[SnowWillarrive]

1 minute ago, TacomaWx said:

It’s definitely coming west of Highway 16 and Highway 3 on the peninsula. I really wouldn’t put much stock into this event here if the euro was showing nothing…but it’s been consistent showing 1/2-1” here. Most of the models do show atleast 1/2” here with the exception of a couple models. Even with the consensus of the models showing snow…I just ain’t buying it til I see it. 

This is a now cast  situation. Time to just watch radar. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

I can't remember last time we went from mid 40's to a snow event without an arctic front. Been a minute.

Edited February 14 by MR.SNOWMIZER

[TacomaWx]

Just now, SnowWillarrive said:

This is a now cast  situation. Time to just watch radar. 

For sure, it’s just entertaining to see how we still have no model agreement really 12 hours out. Speaks to how many things need to line up correctly for this to happen. 

[snow_wizard]

This thing looks remarkably good for Aberdeen.  Just don't see a way they don't get several inches.

[snow_wizard]

15 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Was really windy up in snoqualmie at work today. Felt cold…but yet temps were in the mid 40s. Currently 47 here in Tacoma. If it does somehow manage to snow tonight into tomorrow morning it would be wild. 

Mid 40s with wind and dry air does feel cold.

[SnowWillarrive]

7 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

For sure, it’s just entertaining to see how we still have no model agreement really 12 hours out. Speaks to how many things need to line up correctly for this to happen. 

If the 18z euro holds steady I’ll feel better. 

[ShawniganLake]

7 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

I can't remember last time we went from mid 40's to a snow event without an arctic front. Been a minute.

We have had several up here the past few years. Cloudy and mid to upper 40s in the afternoon. 8-10” of 32-33F snow by morning.  Might mean a little more rain on the front end of it though. 

[SnowWillarrive]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

Mid 40s with wind and dry air does feel cold.

DP in 20s for most of EPSL. Feel good about that at least. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

1 hour ago, snow_wizard said:

This isn't Fife, but I've had 10.9"  I guess it isn't as horrible here as I make it out to be sometimes.

So have they had at least 2”? Boy that must be rough for anybody that’s had more ice than snow accumulation since then.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

31 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Certainly frustrating the models are so dry for this area.  Definitely looks like a cold enough air mass to pull off snow.

I think you’ll be surprised tonight.

[snow_wizard]

Temps in the Willapa Hills are pretty impressive.  Freezing at 2000 feet and precip hasn't begun yet.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

9 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

We have had several up here the past few years. Cloudy and mid to upper 40s in the afternoon. 8-10” of 32-33F snow by morning.  Might mean a little more rain on the front end of it though. 

Nice avatar!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Rain is at olympia

[Slushy Inch]

The uw’s ensemble tripled the mean for snow compared to last night for Boeing field and SeaTac. 

[Meatyorologist]

Low DP's will counteract the daytime heating, assuming we get enough evaporative cooling. It's really going to come down to precip rates above all else. Timing is nearly perfect actually.

A lot of what is being picked up on radar is actually virga. Not enough precip would mean light mix. If we get more than forecast, snow. Fun nowcast in progress!

[fubario]

3 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Rain is at olympia

yes...yes, it is....rain and 45 degrees.

[RCola]

6 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

The uw’s ensemble tripled the mean for snow compared to last night for Boeing field and SeaTac. 

Slushy inch!!! Ahh!!!

Really pulling for those precip rates to help us out tonight. Will be bummed if we miss out on something again.

[Cold Snap]

Not expecting much IMBY but we will see. There will probably be some surprises tonight.

[snow_wizard]

The wind isn't quite as strong as I expected here.  That could help with precip rates tonight.

[snow_wizard]

7 minutes ago, fubario said:

yes...yes, it is....rain and 45 degrees.

No no it's not!

[TacomaWx]

6 minutes ago, fubario said:

yes...yes, it is....rain and 45 degrees.

You might be in one of the better spots overall overnight in the Puget sound region. Your odds are definitely a bit higher than mine and much higher than places north and east of here. 

[snow_wizard]

3 minutes ago, Cold Snap said:

Not expecting much IMBY but we will see. There will probably be some surprises tonight.

No doubt there will be surprises.  Hopefully good ones.

[Everleigh]

Not raining in Yelm yet. 44.8*F with a DP of 35.2*F and dropping quickly!