February 2024 Weather in the PNW

[snow_wizard]

At this point we have the 12z GEM, 12z ECMWF, and 18z GFS with a good signal for snow in King County Monday evening.  We shall see.

[snow_wizard]

14 minutes ago, DeepFriedEgg said:

PDX is CRUSHING IT!!  Warmest  spot in the PNW for MILES!! BACK 2 BACK 60 BURGERRRRRRSSSS!! 

53/31 here for the day so far.

[snow_wizard]

Mid to upper 50s all the way up to Moses Lake east of the Cascades.  Wow!

[Cascadia_Wx]

7 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

53/31 here for the day so far.

I’m at 59/33 here, but will probably bump up to 60.

PDX had back to back 60s in late February 2008. Hmmmm….

Edited February 23 by Cascadia_Wx

[snow_wizard]

11 members on the 18z GEFS are below -8 on March 1.  There has also been some cooling on the first trough since last night's 0z run.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

18z gfs has many chances for lowland snow again through the period, especially the favored areas. 

[snow_wizard]

Really bare for this time of year.

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Yeah the 18z looked good overall. 

[the_convergence_zone]

1 hour ago, T-Town said:

I noticed a few flowers and buds on my walk today. Spring is coming. 

There are a number of trees in full bloom here now. Both pink and white ones. Osoberry and flowering currant also blooming. Not all that unusual for this time of year though, at least in my urban heat island microclimate. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

9 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

There are a number of trees in full bloom here now. Both pink and white ones. Osoberry and flowering currant also blooming. Not all that unusual for this time of year though, at least in my urban heat island microclimate. 

At least you acknowledge your microclimate for what it is.

[ShawniganLake]

25 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

There are a number of trees in full bloom here now. Both pink and white ones. Osoberry and flowering currant also blooming. Not all that unusual for this time of year though, at least in my urban heat island microclimate. 

Sounds nice.  I have heat lamps set up all over southern Vancouver island to force spring flowers and tropical plants upon us all.  
 

18z smashed My Area with a heavy snowstorm next week. 
 

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Really bare for this time of year.

 

I don’t think it’s THAT bad for late February. 

[MWG]

1 hour ago, DeepFriedEgg said:

PDX is CRUSHING IT!!  Warmest  spot in the PNW for MILES!! BACK 2 BACK 60 BURGERRRRRRSSSS!! 

64F here in Medford lol

[SouthHillFrosty]

This is a first ever?

 

[westcoastexpat]

1 hour ago, snow_wizard said:

At this point we have the 12z GEM, 12z ECMWF, and 18z GFS with a good signal for snow in King County Monday evening.  We shall see.

The experts at NWS are not on board with their afternoon update:

"For lower lands of Puget Sound, the most likely areas to receive a dusting of snow is areas along the Skagit/Whatcom County border. Remaining areas will not see snow accumulations (however snow mixing in with the rain remains a possibility)."

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

3 minutes ago, westcoastexpat said:

The experts at NWS are not on board with their afternoon update:

"For lower lands of Puget Sound, the most likely areas to receive a dusting of snow is areas along the Skagit/Whatcom County border. Remaining areas will not see snow accumulations (however snow mixing in with the rain remains a possibility)."

Ya they have been on there game lately,  NOT.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

18 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

This is a first ever?

 

 

[TT-SEA]

18Z ECMWF looks quite snowy for King County on Monday night.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

18Z ECMWF looks quite snowy for King County on Monday night.

Grey is no way!

[DareDuck]

16 hours ago, Cold Snap said:

Well my dog just died and it really sucks because we couldn’t be there with him when he died. The person that was watching him took him to the emergency room and next thing we know we are getting a FaceTime from her and it’s of the vet putting him down. Just really sucks that we couldn’t be there for his death and we almost considered not going on this trip because he was having problems the other night right before we left. Just glad he’s in a better place now because it seemed like he had been suffering the past week.

So sorry to hear this. My condolences to your family. I just hugged my dogs extra tight. 

[Slushy Inch]

6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

18Z ECMWF looks quite snowy for King County on Monday night.

Ouch first shade of grey

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, DareDuck said:

So sorry to hear this. My condolences to your family. I just hugged my dogs extra tight. 

This is the only problem with pets, we get very close to them and they just don't live long enough.  

[MossMan]

5 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Ouch first shade of grey

3rd or so shade of blue!!! I’m putting the Christmas lights back up!! 

[Cascadia_Wx]

Ended up with a 61/33 day here. Hard to believe a year ago today there was close to a foot of snow on the ground, screaming east winds and highs barely reaching 30.

[snow_wizard]

The 18z ECMWF looks very legit for snow here Monday evening.  925mb temps are down to -3 by 3z.  Good stripe of precip being shown.

[snow_wizard]

1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

At least you acknowledge your microclimate for what it is.

Yeah....not much happening here yet.

[T-Town]

52/40 here today. Almost like a marine layer day with morning clouds burning off to sunny skies in the afternoon. 

[Tyler Mode]

One of these was taken on today's date in 2015.

One of these was taken in June of 2021. 

[snow_wizard]

28 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

18Z ECMWF looks quite snowy for King County on Monday night.

Must be a mistake.  It shows my area in the heart of it.

[SouthHillFrosty]

2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Must be a mistake.  It shows my area in the heart of it.

Just thinking this… I wonder if it’s a rare southern convergence zone…. Euro/GFS have hinted at you getting hit pretty good around that time frame from run to run

[snow_wizard]

24 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

This is the only problem with pets, we get very close to them and they just don't live long enough.  

I currently have a cat that I don't want to even think about losing someday.  A fluffy orange Maine Coon and she is so sweet.

[TT-SEA]

7 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Must be a mistake.  It shows my area in the heart of it.

Really solid again.  

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Just thinking this… I wonder if it’s a rare southern convergence zone…. Euro/GFS have hinted at you getting hit pretty good around that time frame from run to run

Even the GEM had it today.

The 850mb winds become northerly enough to push the C-Zone south of normal.

[snow_wizard]

1 hour ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

This is a first ever?

 

I'm intrigued at least.

[Meatyorologist]

I'm trying to practice Matt's signature stoic equanimity but watching snowmap after snowmap roll out hole'ing me to death with an Olympic mountain range-sized club is starting to get to me... The best lift will be to my immediate north and south, and best thermals 500' up. It's been no coincidence that nearly every scenario has resulted in paltry totals for this little corner of Pseattle.

Not that Lake City needs an Achilles Heel, but NW onshore flow is a pretty damning 'snowfall setup' here, if you can call it that. It takes advantage of every wonderful weakness this neighborhood has to offer; Olympic shadowing, low elevation, unfavorable PSCZ placement. Unless we get lucky and luck out on the latter of the three, there's not a whole lot to look forward to until the backend of the trough when overrunning takes over.

[Meatyorologist]

26 minutes ago, Tyler Mode said:

One of these was taken on today's date in 2015.

One of these was taken in June of 2021. 

Bottom one is Feb 2015, correct? Holy hell that is awful to look at.

[Meatyorologist]

21 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I currently have a cat that I don't want to even think about losing someday.  A fluffy orange Maine Coon and she is so sweet.

Gooooddddd I love big niche cats. Norwegian Forest Cats are another I'd love to own. Do you have any pictures of her?

[snow_wizard]

9 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

I'm trying to practice Matt's signature stoic equanimity but watching snowmap after snowmap roll out hole'ing me to death with an Olympic mountain range-sized club is starting to get to me... The best lift will be to my immediate north and south, and best thermals 500' up. It's been no coincidence that nearly every scenario has resulted in paltry totals for this little corner of Pseattle.

Not that Lake City needs an Achilles Heel, but NW onshore flow is a pretty damning 'snowfall setup' here, if you can call it that. It takes advantage of every wonderful weakness this neighborhood has to offer; Olympic shadowing, low elevation, unfavorable PSCZ placement. Unless we get lucky and luck out on the latter of the three, there's not a whole lot to look forward to until the backend of the trough when overrunning takes over.

Lake City isn't as bad as some places in Seattle.  It can get C-Zone action.  I used to live on Finn Hill which is actually a bit south of there and we sometimes got C-Zone snow.  That was at 400 feet though.

As an aside the winter of 1988-89 had a C-zone that brought several inches of snow in January beside all of the other stuff that came after.  Overall a great winter where I was living.  I think that C-Zone was very elevation dependent for snow though.

[Cold Snap]

Really cool how it’s perfectly shaped like a 7. Almost looks like a glitch on the satellite.

[Tyler Mode]

10 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Bottom one is Feb 2015, correct? Holy hell that is awful to look at.

Yep.  Followed by the worst fire season in modern history...coincidentally...maybe.

Edited February 24 by Tyler Mode
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