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March 2024 Weather in the PNW


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2 hours ago, Tyler Mode said:

Getting better...

Screenshot 2024-03-29 at 06-43-56 Mt Bachelor Cam Oregon.png

Here's when the view from the webcam peaked. D*mnit, now I'm bummed out that I got there too late. This would've been REALLY cool to see from the summitScreenshot_20240329-082853_YouTube.thumb.jpg.3f4c8715667f8f29956e8c61f9a338cd.jpg

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Coldest temp this winter: -7 Jan 13th

Snow depth at Mount Bachelor (last updated April 29th) 88"

Snow depth at my home (updated April 29th) late season 1"!

23-24 seasonal snowfall at home (updated April 29th) 92"!!

 

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12Z GFS and 12Z GEM only show one rainy day in the Seattle area over the next week... that is on Wednesday.    The next system appears like it it's going to quickly dive into CA like the current system. 

gfs-deterministic-west-precip_3hr_inch-1711713600-1711724400-1712361600-10.gif

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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The models have really SUCKED lately for the eclipse. GEPS is much better than the GEFS, GEFS mean is 80% cloud cover for the eclipse in Texas, GEPS shows 46% which is about the only forecast still looking decent at this point. Operational runs have been really bad.

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Coldest temp this winter: -7 Jan 13th

Snow depth at Mount Bachelor (last updated April 29th) 88"

Snow depth at my home (updated April 29th) late season 1"!

23-24 seasonal snowfall at home (updated April 29th) 92"!!

 

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4 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

The models have really SUCKED lately for the eclipse. GEPS is much better than the GEFS, GEFS mean is 80% cloud cover for the eclipse in Texas, GEPS shows 46% which is about the only forecast still looking decent at this point. Operational runs have been really bad.

Bad for everyone but Maine

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PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220

2023-2024 Snow Total: 18" (6 events)

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12Z GEM shows Texas being the worst spot... but that could just be high clouds down there. 

 

gem-all-namer-z500_anom-2577600.png

gem-all-conus-total_cloud-2577600.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Here is 12Z GFS... probably over-estimating cloud cover.   There is no precip that day in Texas.

gfs-deterministic-conus-total_cloud-2599200.png

gfs-deterministic-scentus-precip_12hr_inch-2620800.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Here is 12Z GFS... probably over-estimating cloud cover.   There is no precip that day in Texas.

gfs-deterministic-conus-total_cloud-2599200.png

gfs-deterministic-scentus-precip_12hr_inch-2620800.png

It's an improvement from previous runs, so I can't complain.

 

I forgot, do you plan to view the eclipse somewhere?

Coldest temp this winter: -7 Jan 13th

Snow depth at Mount Bachelor (last updated April 29th) 88"

Snow depth at my home (updated April 29th) late season 1"!

23-24 seasonal snowfall at home (updated April 29th) 92"!!

 

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Just now, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

It's an improvement from previous runs, so I can't complain.

 

I forgot, do you plan to view the eclipse somewhere?

Nope.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, Deweydog said:

Everyone having a Good Friday??

Gotta be the worst named holiday in history. 

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Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 91"

2023-24: 6"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

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8 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

KGW thinking PDX reaches 70 today and then 70s Easter 🐣 Weekend and Monday with a faster cooldown on Tuesday. KPTV has 70s on Monday and Tuesday. 

IMG_3164.jpeg.5c1588f3c9fce37d628f65d42f97fb9a.jpeg

IMG_3163.jpeg.d36ceffcb08216beb7b6ce616e3f0872.jpeg

I know I shouldn’t take your bait 🎣, but that KGW forecast is laughable. Either that or it’s out of date or something.

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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12z GEM was meh for Texas but pretty good for everywhere else. I'm pretty happy with this run considering how clear it is for Arkansas, @Port Angeles Foothiller will be REALLY happy with this.cloudcover.conus.thumb.png.4ee7e1442c7c41ee82dc5c0264f72610.png

Coldest temp this winter: -7 Jan 13th

Snow depth at Mount Bachelor (last updated April 29th) 88"

Snow depth at my home (updated April 29th) late season 1"!

23-24 seasonal snowfall at home (updated April 29th) 92"!!

 

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12Z ECMWF goes out through the early morning of eclipse day.   Definitely worse than the GFS and GEM showing precip as well.

ecmwf-deterministic-scentus-total_cloud-2577600.png

ecmwf-deterministic-scentus-precip_6hr_inch-2577600.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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12z CMCE for the eclipse, definitely worse than the 00z.cloudcover_tle_4-mean.conus.thumb.png.2dd10a578025e9abf5680357132c4d74.png

Coldest temp this winter: -7 Jan 13th

Snow depth at Mount Bachelor (last updated April 29th) 88"

Snow depth at my home (updated April 29th) late season 1"!

23-24 seasonal snowfall at home (updated April 29th) 92"!!

 

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The last fuckkin supper.

Jesus smoking and drinking.png

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Can’t wait to have a fish meal tonight 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 hour ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

12z CMCE for the eclipse, definitely worse than the 00z.cloudcover_tle_4-mean.conus.thumb.png.2dd10a578025e9abf5680357132c4d74.png

How did you find that map? I can't find it anywhere with the last four runs and the percentages on it.

Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 91"

2023-24: 6"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

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9 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

How did you find that map? I can't find it anywhere with the last four runs and the percentages on it.

https://www.pivotalweather.com/eclipse2024/ shows the EPS, GEFS, and CMCE.

Coldest temp this winter: -7 Jan 13th

Snow depth at Mount Bachelor (last updated April 29th) 88"

Snow depth at my home (updated April 29th) late season 1"!

23-24 seasonal snowfall at home (updated April 29th) 92"!!

 

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23 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Fish Food GIF by AquariumMe

Hopefully it's made of Taylor swift, that would solve a few problems. And maybe the summers wouldn't be quite as bad as they have been.

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Coldest temp this winter: -7 Jan 13th

Snow depth at Mount Bachelor (last updated April 29th) 88"

Snow depth at my home (updated April 29th) late season 1"!

23-24 seasonal snowfall at home (updated April 29th) 92"!!

 

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13 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

Hopefully it's made of Taylor swift, that would solve a problem. And maybe the summers wouldn't be quite as bad as they have been.

Congrats to the lady beavers. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Perfect late March afternoon.   I see lots of temps around 60 across the EPSL.  Only 55 at SEA with a NW breeze off the water.  

Screenshot_20240329-144403_Chrome.jpg

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, Deweydog said:

We’re having hamburger helper and homemade ketchup.

image.gif

image.gif

Edited by MossMan
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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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1 minute ago, Phil said:

I still see clouds.

Hence the term "mostly" sunny.   Perfection today.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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6 hours ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

The models have really SUCKED lately for the eclipse. GEPS is much better than the GEFS, GEFS mean is 80% cloud cover for the eclipse in Texas, GEPS shows 46% which is about the only forecast still looking decent at this point. Operational runs have been really bad.

Go farther NE. Our plan is to catch the eclipse at Lake Loramie, OH.

But maybe you’ll catch a tornado instead. 🌪️ 

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