April 2024 Weather in the PNW

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

You're joking, right? There's no way you're only in your late teens right now, right?

Sarcasm detector not functioning?

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Sarcasm detector not functioning?

Sleep deprived 

[iFred]

33 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

You're joking, right? There's no way you're only in your late teens right now, right?

I was 8 when I took the forums over.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

11 minutes ago, iFred said:

I was 8 when I took the forums over.

Learned about how to use the internet at the same time as Danni Ashe (just 10+ yrs younger obviously).

[TT-SEA]

Some Space Needle views today... love how you can zoom in on the mobile site and not lose all clarity.

[FroYoBro]

3 hours ago, Phil said:

Welp I have full blown pink eye, complete with photophobia. Because, of f**king course.  I have to be living in a simulation bc this is scripted too perfectly.

Needless to say, no eclipse travel for me. I’ll have to enjoy my 90% view from here, with one functioning eye (barring a last second miracle).

Insane lie to tell on a weather forum.

[TT-SEA]

18Z GFS basically bypasses the Seattle area with the system later in the week.   

[Deweydog]

MODERATE RAIN!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Nice day. Sunny.  

[Phishy Wx]

had some Graupel and Hail earlier

46

[Phil]

2 hours ago, FroYoBro said:

Insane lie to tell on a weather forum.

Get bent, Pedro.

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

18 minutes ago, Phil said:

Get bent, Pedro.

He has a pinkeye fetish, you fell into his trap of posting an image of your pinkeye. And besides, don't tell him to get bent, he's probably into that.

[Deweydog]

40 minutes ago, Phil said:

Get bent, Pedro.

To my eyes that looks shitty.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

This is nice. 

[TT-SEA]

9 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

This is nice. 

Surprisingly bare... I assume due to elevation.

 

[Phishy Wx]

Santa Fe?

[Cascadia_Wx]

7 hours ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

This post is kinda off topic but I don't really give a fk. People who live more than 25 miles east of the Rockies are all insane. You all need mental help.

Now I remember why I don't come here anymore, an eclipse is the only thing that makes it worthit to come here. Although I will say, there are a lot of nice people here and they've been very welcoming, it must have something to do with their brains not working properly.

For a minute I read this post to mean you were leaving the forum. Got my hopes up

[Frontal Snowsquall]

5 hours ago, iFred said:

I was 8 when I took the forums over.

We got another Doogie Howser here! 

[OysterPrintout]

1 hour ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

Some of it is just speculation of course, but the plans of the World Economic Forum are pretty scary.

Both Greta and AOC admitted the Green New Deal and all of the fear mongering is not really about climate change, but about transforming the economy to something like global socialism.

They already took control over us during the pandemic and people were willing to give up their freedoms rushing to get the vaccine and even supporting vaccine mandates just to go to the grocery store or to wear masks while driving alone or going for walks.

Yes, they'll say the whole Great Reset thing is all just a conspiracy theory, but they said the same about the lab leak. Some of what's happening today sounds eerily similar to end times prophecies.

 

 

I think along with warning kids in schools about drugs they should show posts like this and warn about using the internet

[Frontal Snowsquall]

2 hours ago, Phil said:

Get bent, Pedro.

I would go to Urgent Care ASAP so they can prescribe you some prescription strength antibiotic eye drops. Hope it heals up for you soon!

[MossMan]

2 hours ago, Phil said:

Get bent, Pedro.

[Chewbacca Defense]

2 hours ago, Phil said:

Get bent, Pedro.

That was me last Sunday, only worse.  I got a hair clipping in my eye, and it got all kinds of swollen and pissed off.  I got an abrasion on my cornea thanks to said hair clipping, and it is finally returning to normal, finished antibiotic eye drops this morning.

 

The plus side, I had an eye patch and my wife "let" me talk like a pirate.  The only problem was I was feeling pretty crappy (also had a cold) so I wasn't really in the mood to talk like a pirate.

[MossMan]

3 hours ago, Phil said:

Get bent, Pedro.

 

[Phil]

25 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

That was me last Sunday, only worse.  I got a hair clipping in my eye, and it got all kinds of swollen and pissed off.  I got an abrasion on my cornea thanks to said hair clipping, and it is finally returning to normal, finished antibiotic eye drops this morning.

 

The plus side, I had an eye patch and my wife "let" me talk like a pirate.  The only problem was I was feeling pretty crappy (also had a cold) so I wasn't really in the mood to talk like a pirate.

I’m sorry that happened to you, but I desperately needed the laugh. So thanks! 

This shit started yesterday (probably from sleeping with my contacts in) but hasn’t gotten any worse today. So I’m hopeful it’ll clear on its own. Fingers crossed.

[Phil]

8 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Oh yeah. Though late summer is more humid than say, Oklahoma, it’s not quite as hot and there can be some cool days. We had a clipper come through once when I was there and it was lovely for a couple of days afterwards. 

Summer clippers are a dying breed. They used to happen all the time (the early 2000s had some amazing ones, w/ epic QLCS/squall lines followed by cool/dry air) but now they seldom occur after the solstice.

With the Bermuda High getting fatter and expanding NW a little more each decade, it’s probably only a matter of time before they cease altogether.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Spring wildflowers at Lighthouse Park today.

 

[MossMan]

Today was very similar to yesterday, I got spit on at times but the sun did come out for about 4 minutes today! 
.04” on the day. 
Got my project done. Even pressure washed all the moss off my landscape rocks! Anyway, only about 20 other projects to go! 

Edited April 8 by MossMan

[TigerWoodsLibido]

48F and mostly cloudy.

[Blizzard777]

2 hours ago, MossMan said:

Such a great episode on the Twilight zone 

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

5 hours ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

For a minute I read this post to mean you were leaving the forum. Got my hopes up

Haha I see how it could come off as that way. Sorry to break it to ya, but you can't get rid of me that easily.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Awful trends on the 00z runs. I’d rather have the eclipse turn out cloudy than come home to a nasty ridge.

[Phil]

6 hours ago, MossMan said:

Today was very similar to yesterday, I got spit on at times but the sun did come out for about 4 minutes today! 
.04” on the day. 
Got my project done. Even pressure washed all the moss off my landscape rocks! Anyway, only about 20 other projects to go! 

I thought mossman liked his moss? You mentioned growing and watering it a few years back.

[Phil]

1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Awful trends on the 00z runs. I’d rather have the eclipse turn out cloudy than come home to a nasty ridge.

Huh? There’s like 1 or 2 ridgy days out of the next 10 up there. Meanwhile I get one quick trough in a sea of nonstop ridging.

You’ve been getting your way all year. A little variability won’t hurt you or the ecosystem.

[Phil]

Already mentioned none of the MJO-derived analog years are troughy straight through (except irrelevant volcanic years).

WPAC/warm pool —> W-Hem is not *typically* a cool/troughy signal in the PNW in April anyway. Exceptions are well established -PMM and/or niño —> niña years (of which 2024 is both). But even then, the outcome is changeable, troughy on balance at 500mb but not constantly.

For reference, we had this exact MJO transit twice in spring 2015 and the outcome was a huge western ridge. Only reason it’s not going that direction in 2024 is the base state is in diametric opposition in structure and evolution.

[Phil]

As we get later into spring into summer, the more substantial troughing will occur when MJO/amalgamated tropical forcings propagate through the IO/E-Hem (especially post-onset of the Asian monsoonal trough).

Meanwhile, the periods with more IPWP subsidence relative to W-Hem/Atlantic will be the warmer/ridgier ones. How quickly the ENSO state transitions (and how quickly westerly shear/+QBO downwells thru the tropical mid/upper stratosphere) will determine which of the aforementioned modes dominates (though both will occur at times).

[Cascadia_Wx]

30 minutes ago, Phil said:

Huh? There’s like 1 or 2 ridgy days out of the next 10 up there. Meanwhile I get one quick trough in a sea of nonstop ridging.

You’ve been getting your way all year. A little variability won’t hurt you or the ecosystem.

Did you get a braille app to read the form with?

[Phil]

Here she comes.  

[Phil]

2 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Did you get a braille app to read the form with?

My left eye is working fine, bruh. Don’t hate on disabled people.

[Phil]

FWIW, Dr. Roundy’s MJO-only analog composite (ignoring ENSO/other low pass elements) suggests a substantially warmer second of April over the NW half of the CONUS, and maybe a reprieve for the east/SE. It isn’t until early/mid May that the cool signal re-emerges in the PNW.

Of course, the MJO will be projected through/within the ENSO/low frequency state, so  this actual outcome could be substantially different. This product did perform well last summer, though.

https://www.atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/roundy/waves/rmmcyc/indexmjo.html

[Cascadia_Wx]

Some breaks in the clouds currently in Fredericksburg, TX. Hope it keeps up. 68 degrees this fine morning.