westMJim Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 9 minutes ago, FAR_Weather said: Rates have decreased and I think I'm done with marked accumulation. 3.1" now, may add another tenth or two. Depth is now 7" which is good for October, and good for the upcoming cold spell. You may have mentioned it but the 4.2" on Wednesday and if official the 3.1" today are both daily records for Fargo. Not sure how this will play out for the rest of the season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 It's 81º in the southeast corner of Iowa, at Keokuk & Fort Madison. I bet that feels good. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 No ones mentioned the euro haha. I’m at work rn so can’t look but guessing bad news. Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 We’re up to 60° at my house in Tiffin and the fog has cleared. The sun is even thinking of making an appearance 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 1 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 33 minutes ago, Hawkeye said: I don't think the front is getting up here. It is still only in the low 50s here and low 60s in Iowa City, and even Sigourney and Oskaloosa continue to have an east wind. +1- temp here 20 miles NW of DSM is allready starting to drop. Maxed out at 50.4F, now 49.8F. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 Euro looking pretty nice. Its coming around.... 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 Barney rampage as far down as Western Texas. 4 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 So wpc finally on board massive shift from this morning. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 A couple days ago it was supposed to hit the mid 70s today and instead the high was 45.7 at about noon and now it's down to 40.3. Had light drizzle and mist all day only totaling .09" so far. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 22, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 Once the skies cleared up earlier this afternoon, the temps shot up and steadily rose through the 60's and now its a pleasant 76F with a bit of humidity (66F DP). Not much wind, though, which will change quite a bit later this evening. I'm going to end up putting away my patio furniture after they dry out in the sunshine. Going to enjoy this brief reprieve from the chilly weather. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 Calling it for here. Final total 3.1". Airport certainly got less. Disappointed in the South shift but I don't think even the state line area got much more than here. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 Need to keep these kinds of contrasts as we get deeper into winter! 6 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 This is what an active winter (errr..autumn) looks like! Storm Watches hoisted while current storm headlines are still rolling. Can't remember the last time I was personally enjoying that situation. It's been a while for sure. 5 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 2 minutes ago, FAR_Weather said: Calling it for here. Final total 3.1". Airport certainly got less. Disappointed in the South shift but I don't think even the state line area got much more than here. Snow-on-snow, stacking flakes multiple times, in October! What do you want?? 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 The warm front moved through here at 3:17pm. while I was mowing the lawn in short sleeves! It was mild with an east breeze then suddenly the wind shifted to the ssw. and warmed up some more. Usually the wind slowly shifts around with a w.f. but this was a strong front. It’s in the mid 70°s with a dew in the upper 60°s while it’s winter across nw. Ia. all day! 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 22, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 Temps keep creeping up and now sitting at a balmy and humid 78F! Wow, it feels like Summer. No joke. I think I’m going to grill my marinating chicken thighs instead of leftovers from yesterday along with grilled Zuchinni. #WeberTime 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 Loving all this from Des Moines NWS. Snow and potential record cold on the way! Sunday Snow: Another trough will develop late Saturday Night into early Sunday morning across the southern Canadian Prairie Provinces, and surface lee cyclogenesis will again occur in response to this. This system will have rather robust dynamics with it, and likely will have areas with enhanced frontogenetical forcing. Convergence in Iowa will not be hard to come by on Sunday. What is interesting, is that the 12z GFS has tracked the surface cyclone further south, but the ECMWF tracks the center further north through the Ozarks Region. Regardless, it is still looking like a widespread precipitation event for Iowa on Sunday. Ensemble means for Sunday with respect to QPF have a widespread 0.10", but several members in multiple locations depict as much as 0.40". If a track similar to the GFS occurs, the air will be quite cold, and most of the precipitation would likely be snow. However, if the track remains further north, there likely will be periods of rain followed by snow, dependent on when the temperatures drop again after the center of the low has pushed east. In addition, a north vs. south solution will also impact how much moisture works back into Iowa ahead of the low pressure. As mentioned at the top of this section, there likely will be frontogenetical bands that develop as this system passes by, and could result in some locations of the forecast area having snow accumulations that would require headlines. For now, will be conservative with the forecast and let today`s system pass by, and allow subsequent runs to better depict the dynamics and additional ensembles address the uncertainty with QPF and temperatures for Sunday. But, be prepared for wintry impacts Sunday and maybe early into Monday morning. Extended: Long range guidance in decent agreement with with trough acquiring positive tilt as it propagates away from the Rockies. Closed low over Hudson Bay moves south, forcing the flow further south and allowing the trough to dig toward the Gulf Coast. This will allow a strong Polar Airmass to move into the Upper Midwest, making for unseasonably cold conditions across the state. This will lead to a high potential for daily overnight low temperature records, and may even lead to a few locations achieving daily record low maximum temperatures. There may also be a few perturbations in this flow leading to wintry precipitation. More details on precipitation in the extended will be better known at a later time. 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 29 minutes ago, jaster220 said: Snow-on-snow, stacking flakes multiple times, in October! What do you want?? Last minute model shifts suck no matter what time of year it is. I do like that I have snow that's staying on the ground for a week in October. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 3 minutes ago, Tom said: Temps keep creeping up and now sitting at a balmy and humid 78F! Wow, it feels like Summer. No joke. I think I’m going to grill my marinating chicken thighs instead of leftovers from yesterday along with grilled Zuchinni. #WeberTime Whoa. 37 here with falling temps and a wind chill in the low 20’s. Low clouds make it feel worse. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 38 in northeast IA. 79 in southeast IA. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted October 23, 2020 Report Share Posted October 23, 2020 Downpouring and temp has dropped to 37. Only made it to 45 today. Forecast a couple days ago had low 70s. Front stayed south of guidance. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 23, 2020 Report Share Posted October 23, 2020 It is very foggy outside, w visibility as low as a .25 of a mile. Warmer air is definitely rushing in now. Temps are in the mid 50s and rising throughout the nite. WF still has not pushed through yet, but it is doing so. Will be in the warm sector by midnight or so. Btw: not sure if I saw the number correctly, or if it was an error on their end, but is Toms pl in the upper 70s now at this hour?! Holy macro! That type of warm air is headed for my area I guess. Attm, 76F at Chicago O Hare Airport. Wow! 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted October 23, 2020 Report Share Posted October 23, 2020 Today was rather disappointing. All week it looked like 70s, but we couldn't even get out of the 50s and fog. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 23, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 23, 2020 3 minutes ago, Niko said: It is very foggy outside, w visibility as low as a .25 of a mile. Warmer air is definitely rushing in now. Temps are in the mid 50s now and rising throughout the nite. WF still has not pushed through yet, but it is doing so. Will be in the warm sector by midnight or so. Btw: not sure if I saw the number correctly, or if it was an error on their end, but is Toms pl in the upper 70s now at this hour?! Holy macro! That type of warm air is headed for my area. Attm, 76F at Chicago O Hare Airport. Wow! Yes indeed! Topped out at 78F and it’s still very warm outside. Got the windows cracked open and just finished grilling and eating dinner. This is a nice treat to enjoy before the cold settles in. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 23, 2020 Report Share Posted October 23, 2020 2 minutes ago, Tom said: Yes indeed! Topped out at 78F and it’s still very warm outside. Got the windows cracked open and just finished grilling and eating dinner. This is a nice treat to enjoy before the cold settles in. Wow.....Crazy stuff..... Might as well enjoy the Weber and windows being cracked while we can because as we all know, Winter is in a hurry this year to arrive. I have my windows cracked also. Its awesome feeling that mild/warm breeze coming inside your home. 3 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted October 23, 2020 Report Share Posted October 23, 2020 Part of Waterloo has received 3+ inches of rain today, with more on the way. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 23, 2020 Report Share Posted October 23, 2020 3 hours ago, Tom said: Temps keep creeping up and now sitting at a balmy and humid 78F! Wow, it feels like Summer. No joke. I think I’m going to grill my marinating chicken thighs instead of leftovers from yesterday along with grilled Zuchinni. #WeberTime Spiked to 65F for about 38.235 minutes here. Looks like that may be our "max" from this torch day. 13 degree spread between your place and mine is significant. 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 23, 2020 Report Share Posted October 23, 2020 3 hours ago, FAR_Weather said: Last minute model shifts suck no matter what time of year it is. I do like that I have snow that's staying on the ground for a week in October. True that! I haven't had a model worth watching in many months. Have to have a model looking good b4 you can get screwed. 3 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted October 23, 2020 Report Share Posted October 23, 2020 The warm sector has veered east into Illinois, so the temp has fallen below 50 here. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted October 23, 2020 Report Share Posted October 23, 2020 I'm inside an arena, but radar seems to indicate that I'm getting the backside now. Probably nothing but mood flakes. 32°F. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted October 23, 2020 Report Share Posted October 23, 2020 1 hour ago, Hawkeye said: Today was rather disappointing. All week it looked like 70s, but we couldn't even get out of the 50s and fog. Crazy. Just a little further south here in Tiffin we made it up to 72. It was very warm earlier even at 7pm it was still very warm and humid. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 23, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 23, 2020 In other news, Trump just signed into law the Space Weather Bill. It basically allows the government to have access to many more assets to study space weather and the relationship between the Sun and Earth. https://spacepolicyonline.com/news/president-signs-proswift-space-weather-bill-but-with-caveats/ 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted October 23, 2020 Report Share Posted October 23, 2020 It's 42 degrees and there are thunderstorms all around. What a weird day of weather. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted October 23, 2020 Report Share Posted October 23, 2020 16 minutes ago, Tom said: In other news, Trump just signed into law the Space Weather Bill. It basically allows the government to have access to many more assets to study space weather and the relationship between the Sun and Earth. https://spacepolicyonline.com/news/president-signs-proswift-space-weather-bill-but-with-caveats/ Is that part of the new space force? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted October 23, 2020 Report Share Posted October 23, 2020 2 hours ago, Hawkeye said: Today was rather disappointing. All week it looked like 70s, but we couldn't even get out of the 50s and fog. That’s amazing because I had a high of 76°, the exact temperature that the NWS. point forecast had for me since yesterday or earlier. They got it right for me but not north of I-80. BTW, the cold front moved through not long ago and temp is dropping fast. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted October 23, 2020 Report Share Posted October 23, 2020 Crazy weather. I've been 36-37 for the past few hours with full on t-storms. My dish went out a couple times. This has been one heck of a pattern. 3 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 23, 2020 Report Share Posted October 23, 2020 My temp still at 54F under very foggy conditions. Now, I mention the word "Still" because, I am anxiously waiting to get into the warmer air. It will feel great. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 23, 2020 Report Share Posted October 23, 2020 Next week looks downright chilly and gets even colder by the following weekend. November enters the picture next Sunday and it sure will show its presence. Highs looking to be in the 40s all week and lows in the 30s, w a few 20s in spots I would imagine, especially in the northern terrain. 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 23, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 23, 2020 5 hours ago, GDR said: Is that part of the new space force? I don't think so..politicians have been trying to pass this for a number of years but Trump got it done from what I've learned. Is it a coincidence it happened under his term and he launched the Space Force? Could be. I'll tell you one thing, he's certainly bringing the USA back in Space. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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