Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Brrrr! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather1011 Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Prepare for the let down now 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Wow. Good for early November 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 00z GFS Ensembles continue the slightly colder trend. Through November 9th Seattle mean temp -7c, PDX -6c 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 9 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Wow. Good for early November I’m in the purple. 1 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 31, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Clear and down to 43F. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 A little odd to be tracking a possible major blast less than 10 days out while watching Halloween 4: The Return of Michael Myers. Anyway, currently down to 38 degrees. 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather1011 Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 1 minute ago, MossMan said: A little odd to be tracking a possible major blast less than 10 days out while watching Halloween 4: The Return of Michael Myers. Anyway, currently down to 38 degrees. I watched the 2018 Halloween last night 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 The period the models are showing the big cold is only a few days earlier than it happened in 1955 so who knows. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Here we go. EURO time. Fabulous run tonight! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 27 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Wow. Good for early November That is from the 12Z earlier this morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The period the models are showing the big cold is only a few days earlier than it happened in 1955 so who knows. When did 55 commence? I was just going to ask if we have ever seen a major blast during the timeframe currently predicted? Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 It’s coming... 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Just now, MossMan said: When did 55 commence? I was just going to ask if we have ever seen a major blast during the timeframe currently predicted? The 11th. That cold wave was insane with lows dropping to around zero in some places and highs in the low 20s. Ridiculously anomalous. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 00z ECMWF Day 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 November 2010 was ten years ago. Man time zips by! 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Some morning rain and afternoon clearing today. 60/42. Currently clear with a bright moon out, and 44. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Day 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Canadian ensembles colder more inline with GEFS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Day 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Need the block to pivot and tilt hard right ---> Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 I was bored and looking at old climate records for Eugene. Here's a tidbit that I found surprising: In Jan, 1949 it reached 32 degrees or colder in all 31 days of the month. That is pretty wild for a location west of the Cascades. 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Day 9 nope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Chilly onshore flow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 I thought the EURO was going to deliver..... Not yet. Patience Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Day 10 6z GFS in 2 hours 33 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 11/20/2020 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 The ECMWF isn't quite as good as the other models, but it is within the window where it can get much better over the next couple of days. The ECMWF has been far from flawless this year so it has no better chance of being right than the others at this point. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Looks like it will probably frost tonight. It cleared out a little bit ago and is now down to 44. Rather impressively all of my min temps have been 41 or lower over the last 10 days. Not too shabby. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 It appears the X factor in the coming pattern is going to be whether or not a ridge bridge develops across Northern Canada. The good runs seem to have that feature. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 31, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Not sure I can make it to 3-4AM. Gotta be up at 7:15. I'll take a peek at the overnight run when I inevitably have to take a whiz. Up to 43F with some fog forming. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 We are 4-5 days before the Aleutian ridge takes shape. A lot is going to change over the next few days of model runs. Colder runs ahead! 6z GFS in 1 hour 20 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 The high pressure cell that becomes our Aleutian ridge and Alaskan block is currently just west of Japan. It will take 4 to 5 days before it reaches the central Aleutians which means different model solutions are likely the next 2-3 days. That's why earlier I said I really wanted to see what 00z Monday evening runs look like. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 06z running, initial conditions look more analogous to the 00z than the 18z. As you'd expect. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 12 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: 06z running, initial conditions look more analogous to the 00z than the 18z. As you'd expect. Ideally Day 6-7 I'd like to see the block set up a bit further east, not much, but a few notches and better tilt of course. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 6z GFS Day 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Day 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Day 5 past 4 runs. Looking for any trends. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.