Gradient Keeper Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 Day 2.5 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 Day 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 Day 2.5 850s trending a bit colder over Western Washington, Northwest Oregon 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 Day 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 GFS spins up a 976mb low in the GOA where there was nothing last run, at just 96 hours out. Some serious forecast differences for just one run apart and within four days. 1 1 2 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 Day 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 20 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Lots of places below freezing already and a few upper 20s too. 42 here currently. Yikes. You live in a tough spot if you enjoy extreme temperatures. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 Day 6 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 Day 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 Day 7.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 Day 8 That is one heck of a trough Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 12 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: Yikes. You live in a tough spot if you enjoy extreme temperatures. Yeah the coldest I’ve been at this location the past 15 years is 14 degrees. Really hard to even get down into the teens here during big cold snaps. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 1 hour ago, Jbolin said: Jim, do you have any data for your location in previous nina years that come even close to the anomalies we're seeing right now? This is pretty abnormal behavior for the early part of a major Nina season. There are a few like 1916, 1924, and 1964. Based on this and some other years I've been looking at there two likely scenarios emerging. One is we continue to see the recurring cold snaps with a climax of a major blast in December. The other is for pretty much steady cold (with a few breaks of course) through January and probably into February. If we have the major blast in December the remainder of the winter will probably be relatively mild. It's as if the big stuff holding off keeps the overall cold regime going. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 29. 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 9, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 Down to 34F. 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 Day 8.5 Big chunk of arctic air progressing south into north-central BC/AB. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 Day 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 40 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 1.5 (Past 4 runs) Early week through digging back a bit better. No doubt the models have a warm bias in the short range on these cold troughs. All of them over the past few weeks have verified colder than progged at just a couple of days out. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: No doubt the models have a warm bias in the short range on these cold troughs. All of them over the past few weeks have verified colder than progged at just a couple of days out. Yep. Agreed. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: This is pretty abnormal behavior for the early part of a major Nina season. There are a few like 1916, 1924, and 1964. Based on this and some other years I've been looking at there two likely scenarios emerging. One is we continue to see the recurring cold snaps with a climax of a major blast in December. The other is for pretty much steady cold (with a few breaks of course) through January and probably into February. If we have the major blast in December the remainder of the winter will probably be relatively mild. It's as if the big stuff holding off keeps the overall cold regime going. You should write children’s books. These are the stories of our childhood. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 Day 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 8 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Yeah the coldest I’ve been at this location the past 15 years is 14 degrees. Really hard to even get down into the teens here during big cold snaps. It got down to 8 here in November 2010. Amazing I've lived here for 20 years and the coldest min I've seen is in November. I recorded a zero in December 1990 when I was living in Bothell. The best I've ever seen in January was 9 in 1996 in Woodinville. When I was a kid I seem remember something around zero in Jan 1972, but I wasn't keeping records yet. The 5 I recorded in February 1989 was another really cold one. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 10 Getting interesting again. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: Getting interesting again. Windstorm? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: Getting interesting again. Indeed. A lot of potential ahead. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 2 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: Windstorm? Another block setting up / potential cold. We will have a pretty stormy period later this week. There could be a good wind in there. I think the overall background state will be too cold for that though. Usually big windstorms happen in an overall warmer context. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 #2cold4storms 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 Lots of mountain snow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 10 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: It got down to 8 here in November 2010. Amazing I've lived here for 20 years and the coldest min I've seen is in November. I recorded a zero in December 1990 when I was living in Bothell. The best I've ever seen in January was 9 in 1996 in Woodinville. When I was a kid I seem remember something around zero in Jan 1972, but I wasn't keeping records yet. The 5 I recorded in February 1989 was another really cold one. Yeah we hit 16 in February 2019...14 in November 2010. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 30 degrees now. Should be easy to make the mid 20s tonight. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 9, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 Very nice!! 1 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 00z GEM Day 5 and 6.5 has back to back lows 973, 972mb into Central Vancouver Island. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 3 minutes ago, puyallupjon said: Lots of mountain snow. No doubt. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 8 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: 30 degrees now. Should be easy to make the mid 20s tonight. Wind finally died down here and it’s 41. Should freeze at the very least tonight at the best upper 20s here. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 Just hit freezing here. Impressive. Meanwhile it is still 37 at pdx. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 18 minutes ago, Deweydog said: #2cold4storms Just sayin the trajectory usually isn't that favorable in a situation with cold zonal flow for a classic windstorm. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 8 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: Just hit freezing here. Impressive. Meanwhile it is still 37 at pdx. Who’s turn is it to go kick the sensor? 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 35 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals I’m in the white. 1 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 9, 2020 Report Share Posted November 9, 2020 3 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Who’s turn is it to go kick the sensor? That drunk fisherman guy. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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