snow_wizard Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 On the anecdotal evidence front for big time stuff coming later on... Today marked the 5th time temperatures have flipped either from much below to much above or much above to much below normal in a little over a month. Historically speaking such a sharp temperature roller coaster is a good sign for cold weather down the road. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 Windstorm do over? Outages ticking up again. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 7 minutes ago, MossMan said: Wonder how many trees fell up there today... Probably a bunch. The winds were basically hurricane force for over 12 hours at that location. Totally insane. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 11 minutes ago, MossMan said: Wonder how many trees fell up there today... Solander island appears to be just a rock out in the open ocean off the coast of northern Vancouver Island. There are no trees there... probably because strong winds are very common. 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 Highest gusts of the day now! 1 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 Heavy band finally letting up here. Picked up 0.46” in 45 minutes roughly to hit 0.75” today. More rain coming in as well. 1 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 1 hour ago, MossMan said: Winter is saved!!!!! As I was getting ready to take the garbage cans down to the road!! Delilah 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 1 hour ago, TacomaWaWx said: Heavy band finally letting up here. Picked up 0.46” in 45 minutes roughly to hit 0.75” today. More rain coming in as well. The heavy stuff missed me but it did get blustery .27 for the day Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 Doing absolutely nothing now. currently 47 degrees. .28” on the day. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 00z GFS Day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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GHweatherChris Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 We are now over 11" of rain here MTD. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 Day 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 Day 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 Day 6 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 Day 7 Be right back Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 52 minutes ago, Jginmartini said: The heavy stuff missed me but it did get blustery .27 for the day Was some pretty heavy rain/hail. Had 0.29” from the cold front this morning and 0.51” this evening to hit 0.80” today and 4.90” on the month. 1 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 Made it down to the Long Beach Peninsula today, seemed fairly typical storm there, though a tree took out a major transmission line and a lot of the pen was out even after we left. Decent waves, but not the largest I've seen. Here's a couple of cell phone pics, almost 1,500 pics on the camera to go through! Surprised at the amount of downed trees too given this seemed fairly typical for the coast. 7 1 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 Andrew is right. Next week is starting to look pretty mild on the GFS. 1 1 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 Day 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 Day 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 Meanwhile... 00z GEM Day 6.5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 This has easily been the worst day in the history of the PNW. Hang in there and we might see brighter days soon. #god’schosenpeople 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 3 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: This has easily been the worst day in the history of the PNW. Hang in there and we might see brighter days soon. #god’schosenpeople A dud for sure. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 I really thought this was “the one.” Back to windstorm Eharmony for me... 1 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 34 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: Andrew is right. Next week is starting to look pretty mild on the GFS. Just calling it like I see it. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 3 hours ago, Phil said: Definitely less of an issue this winter. See 2016/17, 2013/14, 2010/11, etc, all were Niña/+QBO without SSW events. The December 2008 event technically preceded the SSW..that was a backwards-pathway wave-2 type event. Not common. Early winter in PNW doesn’t have much of a correlation to NAM/PV anyway. January and February display a more profound connection, though it’s more consistent outside Niña/+QBO. Mid/late season SSW events in 1988/89, 2018/19, 2008/09, 2003/04, 2017/18, 1984/85, etc. Also late December 1998, early December 1996. I’m sure there are more. Do you think we could see a SSW event in December this year? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 Anything goes after Day 6. Some pretty wild model swings are coming. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 12 minutes ago, AbbyJr said: Do you think we could see a SSW event in December this year? I’m more bullish than the models. I do think something will try to get going up there next month. At least a transitory attempt at w-2? Troposphere has to cooperate for more than a few days at a time, though. So far, it hasn’t. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 2 minutes ago, Phil said: I’m more bullish than the models. I do think something will try to get going up there next month. At least a transitory attempt at w-2? Troposphere has to cooperate for more than a few days at a time, though. So far, it hasn’t. W-2’s typically aren’t sent out until mid to late January. 1 1 3 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 Stupid troposphere didn't send in the W-2 now we all get burned! 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 The IRS does not play fast and loose with top tier cold waves west of the Rockies. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 The IRS just had a big sting operation in the town of Stampede pass. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 I have some WD-40 in the garage... 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 00z ECMWF Day 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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Deweydog Posted November 18, 2020 Report Share Posted November 18, 2020 7 minutes ago, MossMan said: I have some WD-40 in the garage... Sure it’s not UB40? I hope so... Red Red Wine hit #1 on the charts on October 15, 1988. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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