SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Wife just texted and said it’s snowing heavily again. Picked up a little more overnight. 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Forgot to add the satellite shot 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 3 minutes ago, Jginmartini said: Have the weather channel on this morning and they say this is and AR hitting down south at least currently. Looks like the target zone is Fresno area. Interesting. Does not look like a traditional AR to me on the IR satellite... but I could be wrong. Either way... if everything was farther north then it would likely be all rain up here anyways. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 27, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 25 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z ECMWF shows some snow up north next Tuesday morning... Randy! Well all I got is lumpy rain from my current shades of grey. Hope this works out a little better. 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Ridge pinches off over AK by day 10 on the 12Z ECMWF... so not as much potential at the end of this run. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 It’s happening Tim. 1 1 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 27, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: It’s happening Tim. Early spring? 1 1 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 13 minutes ago, MossMan said: Early spring? You know I really hate it when people are so negative. The climate KNOWS. 1 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 27 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Interesting. Does not look like a traditional AR to me on the IR satellite... but I could be wrong. Either way... if everything was farther north then it would likely be all rain up here anyways. I was reading the forecast discussion for lake Tahoe area and they called it that also. I think they just mean the jet and energy is aimed at them causing a train or river of moisture. 3 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 27, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 The light lumpy rain has ended and the sun is coming out! Wow what a winter storm that was!! 1 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 3 minutes ago, MossMan said: The light lumpy rain has ended and the sun is coming out! Wow what a winter storm that was!! Yeah so far i give the pile of a winter a d. 2 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 9 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: You know I really hate it when people are so negative. The climate KNOWS. Pro tip, if a January 1950 redux is the only thing you are going to be able to get it up for you're probably going to be sad for the rest of forever. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 27, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Yeah so far i give the pile of a winter a d. Yeah I’m downgrading from a C+ to a C- That little dynamic snow in December and the big windstorm a few weeks ago are saving it from being a D-. This is turning out to be a terrible winter and the latest PNA forecast looks bad so I think this one might be over. Hope I’m wrong. I’m wrong a lot. 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Mark Nelsen thought the hi res WRF did well yesterday. I find for here the WRF ensemble mean is by far more accurate than any other model. Has mailed our snow amounts time after time. Only one bust, when it rained and was 34, and the WRF forecast snow. It beats the NWS more than 80% of the time when there are major differences. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 19 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: I was reading the forecast discussion for lake Tahoe area and they called it that also. I think they just mean the jet and energy is aimed at them causing a train or river of moisture. Also, if the trough was less stretched out and more compact, it's very possible it could have brought snow to the lowlands up here given the amount of cold air that was pulled into it. I mean it brought snow to Redding down there where the best dynamics were. We just happen to be more up in no mans land with this particular type of pattern. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 if the snow won’t come to you, go to the snow, and it looks like it’s about to pick up. I could see that ridge when I first got here but it is quickly disappearing 6 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Good looking EPS. 7 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 4 minutes ago, Jesse said: Also, if the trough was less stretched out and more compact, it's very possible it could have brought snow to the lowlands up here given the amount of cold air that was pulled into it. I mean it brought snow to Redding down there where the best dynamics were. We just happen to be more up in no mans land with this particular type of pattern. I honestly have zero doubt we will enter a very good lowland snow pattern in the next few weeks sometime. 2 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: I honestly have zero doubt we will enter a very good lowland snow pattern in the next few weeks sometime. There are always excdeptions, but late winters during a moderate La Nina like this is usually a pretty good bet for a shot at something. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 We really are a bunch of dummies sometimes here. Same thing happened in January 19 everyone was talking about forks and jet ski's and gardens and then it hit! 5 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 4 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Good looking EPS. Much better ending there... I was just about to check it but should know if it's good then you will have already posted it! 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said: We really are a bunch of dummies sometimes here. Same thing happened in January 19 everyone was talking about forks and jet ski's and gardens and then it hit! Does not mean it will happen like that every time or even the majority of the time. 2 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 45 and partly to mostly sunny here... no wind at all now. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Justin's mid-February call is looking better today... 3 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Justin's mid-February call is looking better today... Exactly why all the winter cancel posts in mid to late January are ridiculous. Ensembles look decent still. Still a solid chance it works out...doesn’t mean it will but there’s a good chance. 2 1 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Low of 36 this morning...0.16” of cold rain. Didn’t end up going to green mountain today as my friend bailed last minute and didn’t feel like going by myself. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 38 degrees and raining again. The cold rain week continues! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 25 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Good looking EPS. Yeah it looks good at the end. People are discounting the long range already, but just a 150 mile shift westward would bring artic air into Washington and Oregon. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 10 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Exactly why all the winter cancel posts in mid to late January are ridiculous. Ensembles look decent still. Still a solid chance it works out...doesn’t mean it will but there’s a good chance. Yeah... this is not the year to be cancelling winter early. 3 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Do we ever max out on cancels/uncancels? Kind of like attempts to open your iPhone? 1 2 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 6 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: Yeah it looks good at the end. People are discounting the long range already, but just a 150 mile shift westward would bring artic air into Washington and Oregon. That ridge is plenty far enough west 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 7 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Do we ever max out on cancels/uncancels? Kind of like attempts to open your iPhone? Phred should make it so you get locked out of the forum after 3 cancels and uncancels! 3 1 1 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 42 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said: if the snow won’t come to you, go to the snow, and it looks like it’s about to pick up. I could see that ridge when I first got here but it is quickly disappearing Apparently the roads were in ok shape. Looks beautiful and peaceful and it’s all yours 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 The snow this morning has pushed my season total to 12”. Could be worse. 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 9 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: That ridge is plenty far enough west Only by the end of the run 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, ShawniganLake said: The snow this morning has pushed my season total to 12”. Could be worse. 2” of snow here the last 2 winters combined lol. We only average like 6” a year though. 1 2 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 I'll make a bet that by the end of February my total lands somewhere over 20". In March anything could happen. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 8 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: The snow this morning has pushed my season total to 12”. Could be worse. 21 would be better. 1 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Up to 40 now...8.94” on the month. Should come close to 10” on the month by Sunday night. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Wow!!! Major improvements on the EPS. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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