Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 27 minutes ago, 1000'NorthBend said: If mid-February snow doesn’t pan out, we want to spend a couple days east of the Cascades to bask in some snow. What are the best non-touristy/popular areas (so not Leavenworth, Winthrop, etc.) to stay at for maximum snowage? We love Plain but we’d like to try somewhere different. Mazama averages over 120 inches per year. Also holds the WA record for the coldest temo ever recorded in the state at -48 on Dec. 30, 1948. Not as touristy as Winthrop or Leavenworth. Just about 20 minutes from Winthrop if someone wanted to do something touristy. This time of year that are has a lot of cross country skiers, as the whole Methow area has the largest network of nordix trails in North America. We rented a cabin there one time between Christmas and New Years. So quiet and peaceful, especially coming from Leavenworth, when December is so crowded. People are around, but spread out throughout the region. Downside is that it is further away, especially for North Sounders. Stehekin is another great place, haven't been there in winter, but gets good snow and very quiet that time of year. Have to take the ferry to get there though. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 Lillard time! 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 So far by hour 30, it does look like another minor adjustment west. 2 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 Day 1 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 Day 2 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 Yep, this is going to be further west and better merged. Fairly improved over the 18z. It seems that the Euro handles northward height propagation during blocking setups better. 2 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 0.14” so far today. 9.41” on the month. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 Day 3 (Past 4 runs) 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 BC trough digging back better, merger looks healthier too. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 4 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 3 (Past 4 runs) Looking better and better. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 Entire Pacific is adjusted westward. 2 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 Day 4 (Past 4 runs) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Meatyorologist said: Entire Pacific is adjusted westward. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 Merger and ridge strengthening still not nearly as strong as the EURO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 Day 5 Not really seeing it unless there is a dramatic pivot/tilt. (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 31, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 5 Not really seeing it unless there is a dramatic pivot/tilt. (Past 4 runs) Baby steps with the GFS...All you can ask for with that crappy model. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 Nope 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 Much closer and more potent with Arctic air. Really the only thing I'm paying attention to right now. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 7 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Merger and ridge strengthening still not nearly as strong as the EURO. I wonder if we can get Joe biden on these forums? He needs to see how bad this model is. Decommision it until they can pay to upgrade it. Embarrassing 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 Pretty big improvement not going to lie. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 Day 6 This run is toast.... Onto the GEM and big EURO run! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 GFS goes goofus in the LR. As to be expected. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 FWIW, the GFSv16 is even further west than the operational GFS. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 Not tonight! 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 6 minutes ago, 1000'NorthBend said: Thanks for the tips. We are skate skiers so that area would be ideal, but 4 hr+ drive with a 6 mo old is brutal.. Warmest high temp of the last few weeks here today, 43°F! 0.07” of rain today. Yeah you might have to wait a few years. A place like that is worth staying for more than a couple of days. They also have hut to hut skiing. http://www.rendezvoushuts.com/ 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 Prediction: tonight the euro caves! 1 1 1 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 31, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Prediction: tonight the euro caves! Sorry Desert Mat has already claimed that spot. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 Winter is canceled. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Prediction: tonight the euro caves! 00z GEM looks solidly west of the GFS in the 4-6 day period but took a big step towards the GFS in the 7-10 day range. We're going to be on the outside looking in with this... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 This is suddenly turning into a real long night. It happens. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, DJ Droppin said: This is suddenly turning into a real long night. It happens. or short night? (for model riding) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: or short night? (for model riding) This winter has been just been a disaster. Ready for it to be over. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 4 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: Winter is canceled. Listen it's not. I've already cancelled spring. Expect winter weather until June. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 31, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 29 minutes ago, 1000'NorthBend said: Thanks for the tips. We are skate skiers so that area would be ideal, but 4 hr+ drive with a 6 mo old is brutal.. Warmest high temp of the last few weeks here today, 43°F! 0.07” of rain today. Oh yes...Traveling with an infant/young child is always an adventure. We went to Chelan when my youngest daughter was 6 months, first two hours were nap time which was great, but then it was all downhill even with feeding/diaper changes...Oh the screaming memories!! But then a year later we fly to Mexico and both kids were an absolute dream haha! 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 To say this has been a horrid winter is pretty apt as optimistic as I’ve tried to been. At least some of us got a little snow last week, looking forward to spring. 2 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 28 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Prediction: tonight the euro caves! You are not really going out on a limb with that prediction. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 31, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 Sorry night shift but I’m afraid your services will not be needed again until 11/20/21. Fred will be mailing your final check and a $5 Walgreens gift card. 4 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 20 minutes ago, Requiem said: To say this has been a horrid winter is pretty apt as optimistic as I’ve tried to been. At least some of us got a little snow last week, looking forward to spring. 701 days since I last had an inch of snow!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OysterPrintout Posted January 31, 2021 Report Share Posted January 31, 2021 My prediction is the euro will cave but I'm not saying which solution it will even cave to since the GFS can't get its story straight for even 6 hours at a time 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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