bud2380 Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 minute ago, shakjen said: Yep, by the looks or the radar now, the moisture isn't wrapping around or filling in. Just splitting and being pushed east. That is what models indicated would happen though, see below the 00z run of the HRW FV3 that lines up pretty decent with the current radar. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 3 minutes ago, shakjen said: Yep, by the looks or the radar now, the moisture isn't wrapping around or filling in. Just splitting and being pushed east. This was showing up on all the models. You'll be fine. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 Ripping nicely, a little over 2" now, not sure how I feel about current radar trends. Looks to be filling in more to the SW at least. 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 OAX had hyped up the Falls City area as the jack zone (less so in the past day) and they've been getting ZR all morning. Might really cut into totals in the SE corner of the state if it doesn't change over soon. Even Beatrice had sleet for a bit (now back to snow) Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just measured 5” as of 9:30 AM 6 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 Sorry for the triple post but this place is a morgue rn lol. Winter wx map from OAX this morning is 10-14" for Lincoln. LOW end is 9" and high is 15", so they seem pretty confident with that range. Steady moderate/heavy snow right now, but nothing too insane. Jack time might be between noonish-3. 3 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 This thing is moving at a snails pace. I think it will be at least 3pm before any flakes start flying over here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 12z GFS 10:1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 5 minutes ago, bud2380 said: This thing is moving at a snails pace. I think it will be at least 3pm before any flakes start flying over here. It's like we don't get any closer to this event. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 8 minutes ago, snowstorm83 said: Sorry for the triple post but this place is a morgue rn lol. Winter wx map from OAX this morning is 10-14" for Lincoln. LOW end is 9" and high is 15", so they seem pretty confident with that range. Steady moderate/heavy snow right now, but nothing too insane. Jack time might be between noonish-3. Short term models really highlighting the noon to 6pm timeframe for the 1 to 2" rates for Omaha and Lincoln... Most of the models had us only at an inch or two by noon. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 12Z GFS 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 Models still showing a strong system in eastern Iowa through N Illinois, but you can forget about any one foot totals. Models are all under 10" at this point. Most in the 5-8" range depending on location. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 4 minutes ago, Bryan1117 said: Short term models really highlighting the noon to 6pm timeframe for the 1 to 2" rates for Omaha and Lincoln... Most of the models had us only at an inch or two by noon. Yeah I haven't measured in a bit but I've got to be approaching 3" already and the show's barely started. 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 Seeing most reports in Central Nebraska at 4-5” as of 9:30 am. I would think 10-12” for much of the region is doable with tomorrow’s 1-3” system. We’ll see. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 Idk how much we can trust globals at this point but I'm holding out on the GFS lol. I'll take 9" of snow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 The 12z GFS really dropped the totals over east-central IA. It had been one of the more bullish models, now one of the driest. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 The GFSv16 has a similar drying in my area as the GFS. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 Grid forecast of 10-16”, Sref mean of 14”, pretty map that shows me in the 12”+ range. What could go wrong? Mother Nature doing whatever the hell she wants 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 2 minutes ago, OmahaSnowFan said: Grid forecast of 10-16”, Sref mean of 14”, pretty map that shows me in the 12”+ range. What could go wrong? Mother Nature doing whatever the hell she wants I've felt pretty great about this for the past couple days but we're golden. KOMA and KLNK could easily both sneak past 12" by this evening, going to be one we talk about for many years. 5 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 minute ago, snowstorm83 said: I've felt pretty great about this for the past couple days but we're golden. KOMA and KLNK could easily both sneak past 12" by this evening, going to be one we talk about for many years. Really feeling like the one nore'easter I experienced in DC. Loving it. Sadly I got 3 hours of sleep because I was so excited. Work tonight is going to be painful. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 Quote It's definitely come down steadily, but flake size has been a bit underwhelming. Hopefully it will really start ripping some fatties this afternoon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 minute ago, Stormhunter87 said: Really feeling like the one nore'easter I experienced in DC. Loving it. Sadly I got 3 hours of sleep because I was so excited. Work tonight is going to be painful. Luckily I managed 6 hours somehow haha 2 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FV-Mike Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 LOT Update at 9:50am There are no major updates being made to the forecast this morning. Targets of opportunity for the afternoon forecast package will be refining snow totals: (1) Between I-39 and I-355 where a local minima may materialize between the heavier snow rates to our west and lake enhancement, respectively (2) Along the IL/WI border where persistent lift through the DGZ may lead to fluffier snow ratios (3) Along I-80 where a tight snow gradient is anticipated due to the dry slot "squeezing" the DGZ northward, and (4) After daybreak Tuesday as snow ratios increase and the upper- level wave finally pulls through. At this point the highest snow totals are expected across lakeshore communities and especially Cook county where 4 to 8, locally more, are probable. The steadiest snow rates, approaching 1"/hr, are expected from roughly 6 PM to midnight, with rates gradually decreasing toward daybreak Tuesday. Snow rates may remain heavy along the Lake Michigan shore through daybreak Tuesday due to lake enhancement 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 Intense band coming through Lincoln, ripping hard and flake size is even decent, visibility probably around 1/5 of a mile. I remember NAM last night only having around 3" by noon but I wouldn't be surprised to have 6" by then. 3 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 HRW FV3 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FarmerRick Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 Still just light snow in Omaha. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FV-Mike Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 2 minutes ago, snowstorm83 said: Intense band coming through Lincoln, ripping hard and flake size is even decent, visibility probably around 1/5 of a mile. I remember NAM last night only having around 3" by noon but I wouldn't be surprised to have 6" by then. You may have mentioned it before but do you know when the last double digit snowfall for Lincoln was? Best of Luck 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 7 minutes ago, snowstorm83 said: Intense band coming through Lincoln, ripping hard and flake size is even decent, visibility probably around 1/5 of a mile. I remember NAM last night only having around 3" by noon but I wouldn't be surprised to have 6" by then. I measured a 1/2” about 15 minutes ago. We’re supposed to be 1-2” by noon and then rippage after that. OAX put out an updated graphic a bit ago. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 Models keep tossing warning snows imby except the RAP. Still concerned about dry air. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 Nice returns popping up in west central IA Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 Anyone have a link to a decent radar as most out there aren't very good Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 minute ago, Tony said: Anyone have a link to a decent radar as most out there aren't very good This is for OAX but jim flowers passed it on. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=OAX-N0Q-0-24-100-usa-rad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 It's ripping here wow! I would guess at 1.5 - 2. Ahead of schedule! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dubuque473 Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 2 minutes ago, Tony said: Anyone have a link to a decent radar as most out there aren't very good I really like the MyRadar app. Simple and straight forward. 1 Quote Dubuque 2007-2008 Winter 78.1" Total snowfall February Snowfall 32.5" City salt usage : 12,211 tons Days of measurable snow : 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 The UK has followed the GFS with its driest run yet for east-central Iowa. The drier models are showing a line from about Waterloo to CR/IC where it suddenly becomes drier to the east. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bellona Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 I will be very surprised if Waterloo winds up with more than CR/IC. Definetly could happen. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 25 minutes ago, Stormhunter87 said: It's ripping here wow! I would guess at 1.5 - 2. Ahead of schedule! Current radar looks great, those heavy returns in Northeast Kansas and Southeast Nebraska look like they will be rotating in and will help increase snowfall rates within the next couple of hours. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 It’s getting wicked out there. Measuring around 4.5-5” 6 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 25, 2021 Report Share Posted January 25, 2021 24 minutes ago, Bellona said: I will be very surprised if Waterloo winds up with more than CR/IC. Definetly could happen. DMX bumped you from 4-7 to 5-7 fwiw Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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