December 2014 Observations for the Pacific Northwest

[Abbotsford_wx]

46F with heavy rain here... Pretty large fetch of moisture coming up from the south. Barometer is actually rising at the moment.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

I remember the inauguration day storm I was waiting and waiting for the wind to start, it went from calm to blowing 65 or 70 in a instant. There were plow truck plowing the roads from all the limbs. That was a hard hitting storm.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

This storm is taking a almost same path only about 7mb weaker.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Close to same.

[seattleweatherguy]

Close to same.

so its going to get windy!

[antipex]

Wind is increasing here steadily. Still pretty sunny and very warm but clouds have been zipping by overhead.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

In North salem. Not that windy

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I just parked under a fir tree!

[Farmboy]

So what ever happened to this?:

Euro weeklies update:  cold looks probable later in month...~20th...kicking in ~Xmas thru New Years.

 

http://i61.tinypic.com/x1iz55.jpg

 

http://i57.tinypic.com/2ypdp9d.jpg

 

http://i58.tinypic.com/15rdttd.jpg

 

http://i62.tinypic.com/ddpeoi.jpg

[Snow]

Eugene sustained winds out of the SSW at 38 mph and gusting to 52 mph as of 1:54 pm!

 

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?sid=KEUG

[antipex]

It's getting blustery here. Estimate 35-40mph gusts.

 

Looks like KRDM lost power...

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Eugene sustained winds out of the SSW at 38 mph and gusting to 52 mph as of 1:54 pm!

 

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?sid=KEUG

Impressive

[chinook]

Just recorded a 44 mph gust near McMinnville. 

[Abbotsford_wx]

What's the central pressure currently? Has it peaked yet?

[Deweydog]

What's the central pressure currently? Has it peaked yet?

Probably 975-978. And yes.

[Snow]

What's the central pressure currently? Has it peaked yet?

 

According to the buoy off Tillamook 973 mb.

 

https://twitter.com/ScottSKOMO/status/543167593868054528

[seattleweatherguy]

scott from komo says the buoy off timock says 973mb

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

I would enjoy having a 935mb storm come in at Astoria with a 1070 high parked in sw bc.

[antipex]

KUAO (Aurora, OR) is gusting to 61mph!

 

Portland is now sitting at 63F with gusts to 40. It's getting very windy at my place...

[chinook]

Gust of 47.

[Deweydog]

KUAO (Aurora, OR) is gusting to 61mph!

 

Portland is now sitting at 63F with gusts to 40. It's getting very windy at my place...

 

Kudos to the NWS, the HWW has verified.  I didn't think it would at any major reporting stations.  

 

McMinnville also gusted 61.  

[chinook]

Gust of 54.

[Deweydog]

Cue the Jaws music!

 

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=360&image=data%2Fgfs%2F18%2Fgfs_namer_360_500_vort_ht.gif&model=gfs&area=namer&param=500_vort_ht&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20141211+18+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=area

[Tyler Mode]

Finally picking up here in Battle Ground.  Gust of 35 mph.  Pressure 29.16" and slowly rising. 62 degrees with mostly cloudy skies.

[snow_wizard]

Cue the Jaws music!

 

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=360&image=data%2Fgfs%2F18%2Fgfs_namer_360_500_vort_ht.gif&model=gfs&area=namer&param=500_vort_ht&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20141211+18+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=area

 

Oh boy!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Oh boy!

Oh lord

[snow_wizard]

Pretty amazing to see how all of the models weaken the low so quickly as it moves up the WA coast.  If the thing had decided to keep intensifying it could have been a huge event for Seattle.  As it is the 18z GFS makes the storm look like nothing by the time it hits Vancouver Island.

 

I did see a gust to 60 for Newport.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Kudos to the NWS, the HWW has verified. I didn't think it would at any major reporting stations.

 

McMinnville also gusted 61.

Yep. Credit where credit is due.

[Snow]

Winds really ripping right now, just lost power but its back on now. Eugene still having sustained winds at S 36 mph and gusting to 45 mph at 2:54 pm.

[snow_wizard]

Oh lord

 

The latest CFS run (Wednesday update) on the site I look at showed a couple of decent cold shots in January.  It keeps going back to that.

[antipex]

PDX set a new record high today of 63, breaking the old record of 61 set in 1955.

[snow_wizard]

The Seattle NWS has some serious balls sticking with the widespread gusts to 60 forecast.  The ECMWF and GFS operational runs have been less than impressive with the event up here.

[TT-SEA]

The latest CFS run (Wednesday update) on the site I look at showed a couple of decent cold shots in January.  It keeps going back to that.

 

 

Yes... and its very reliable as been established.    When it flips around between 3 possible scenarios (cold, warm, and normal) its definitely worth discussing to keep your psyche soothed.

 

It is VERY meaningful when it shows cold.   

[TT-SEA]

The Seattle NWS has some serious balls sticking with the widespread gusts to 60 forecast.  The ECMWF and GFS operational runs have been less than impressive with the event up here.

 

Serious balls indeed.   People really care if the wind gusts only to 55 mph as opposed to 60 mph.

 

If they fail by 5 mph its all anyone will be talking about tomorrow.   This is also VERY important!

 

Millions will be watching their anemometers this evening to validate the NWS     

[Snow]

The Seattle NWS has some serious balls sticking with the widespread gusts to 60 forecast.  The ECMWF and GFS operational runs have been less than impressive with the event up here.

 

They are probably basing it off the HRRR model.

 

[Jesse]

Yep. Credit where credit is due.

Non-event.

[MossMan]

The Seattle NWS has some serious balls sticking with the widespread gusts to 60 forecast.  The ECMWF and GFS operational runs have been less than impressive with the event up here.

They explained their reasoning, and it sounds...reasonable! Lots at play with this.

[snow_wizard]

Serious balls indeed.   People really care if the wind gusts only to 55 mph as opposed to 60 mph.

 

If they fail by 5 mph its all anyone will be talking about tomorrow.   This is also VERY important!

 

Millions will be watching their anemometers this evening to validate the NWS     

 

I think even 55 will be pushing it except maybe at Alki Point or something like that.

[snow_wizard]

They are probably basing it off the HRRR model.

 

 

That pretty much only shows high winds right on Puget Sound.

[TT-SEA]

I think even 55 will be pushing it except maybe at Alki Point or something like that.

 

Wow... this is going to be national news when people find out the NWS issued a warning which by definition is 60+mph.    My God their balls are HUGE.    They are insane... this is absolute suicide.   Probably going to be all fired tomorrow by Obama personally to save face.