Tom Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 00z Euro showing the lowest qpf out of all the models... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 So anywhere between 5-8 inches sounds pretty good. Hoping no downer today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 NAM 6z showing 6-8" with an 8"+ blip in NE IL near lakefront. ...The Artist Formerly Known as RJSnowLover... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 To break it down should start snowing tommorow night by around 10-11pm and probably see 2-4 inches by day-break then another 3-6 inches by dinner with heaviest between mid-morning and early afternoon for total of 5-10 inches. This includes all of N IL. S WI looks solid for 3-6 inches but would not be surprised to see some local 6+ amounts in southern counties ecp if it does end up a bit furthur north. Most of MI/N IN looks good as well for 5-10 inches with some potential spots of 12 inches in C MI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 Little concern NAM cuts it off in far N IN/SE MI. Could end up being screwed Fort Wayne to Detroit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 Snow-band looking mighty tight along I-80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 9-10" for Chicago on this run. That darker red area blew up between 36 & 39hrs. ...The Artist Formerly Known as RJSnowLover... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 9-10" for Chicago on this run. That darker red area blew up between 36 & 39hrs. Yeah and up to a foot in central MI. Detroit gets screwed it looks like. Tight gradient down to Gary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 Snows a good 15hrs to... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 GFS just tad weaker. Now it's vice versa with NAM. Still blend a solid 6-10 inches. Quads dropped to WWA. That was expected they were going with 3-6 inches yesterday anyways so not sure why they started WSW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 LOT going with 6-8 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 Winterstorm Watch for my area with 6-10inches. Nice! Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianJK Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 LOT mentioned a slight northward trend in this mornings media briefing. They also referenced next weeks storm twice which I found interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 Still think 12:1 ratios for Chi town are a bit high. Especially if a NAM like solution comes to fruition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 NAM south ever so slightly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 NAM south ever so slightlyAnd colder. ...The Artist Formerly Known as RJSnowLover... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 Slightly colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 any new maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 Really isn't south just slightly cooler during heaviest precip. A real concrete mixer verbatim for chicago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 Going with 5" imby probably will bust high, but one's got hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 NAM top, GFS bottom. 6z Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 12z NAM Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 loving that NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 Gosh if only the NAM amounts were realistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 LOT warning: Winter Storm WarningURGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL1042 AM CST FRI JAN 31 2014ILZ005-006-008-010>014-019>022-010045-/O.UPG.KLOT.WS.A.0002.140201T0600Z-140202T0000Z//O.NEW.KLOT.WS.W.0003.140201T0300Z-140202T0000Z/MCHENRY-LAKE IL-OGLE-LEE-DE KALB-KANE-DUPAGE-COOK-LA SALLE-KENDALL-GRUNDY-WILL-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WOODSTOCK...WAUKEGAN...OREGON...DIXON...DEKALB...AURORA...WHEATON...CHICAGO...OTTAWA...OSWEGO...MORRIS...JOLIET1042 AM CST FRI JAN 31 2014...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PMCST SATURDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORMWARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THISEVENING TO 6 PM CST SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGERIN EFFECT.* SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING AND INCREASE IN INTENSITY AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH A PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS OF SATURDAY. THE SNOW WILL END BY EARLY SATURDAY EVENING.* STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION 6 TO 10 INCHES.* SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE MID MORNING SATURDAY.* SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS FROM LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY EVENING.* TRAVEL THROUGH CHICAGO O`HARE AND MIDWAY AIRPORTS COULD ALSO BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHERCONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOWARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN ANEMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.&&$$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 MKE advisory SE counties and warning for 5-7 inches Kenosha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dubuque473 Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 http://www.crh.noaa.gov/images/fxc/dvn/wx/File.pnghttp://www.crh.noaa.gov/images/fxc/dvn/wx/File.png Dubuque 2007-2008 Winter 78.1" Total snowfall February Snowfall 32.5" City salt usage : 12,211 tons Days of measurable snow : 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 12z GFS Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dubuque473 Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 WWA for me Dubuque 2007-2008 Winter 78.1" Total snowfall February Snowfall 32.5" City salt usage : 12,211 tons Days of measurable snow : 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 LOT warning: Winter Storm WarningURGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL1042 AM CST FRI JAN 31 2014ILZ005-006-008-010>014-019>022-010045-/O.UPG.KLOT.WS.A.0002.140201T0600Z-140202T0000Z//O.NEW.KLOT.WS.W.0003.140201T0300Z-140202T0000Z/MCHENRY-LAKE IL-OGLE-LEE-DE KALB-KANE-DUPAGE-COOK-LA SALLE-KENDALL-GRUNDY-WILL-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WOODSTOCK...WAUKEGAN...OREGON...DIXON...DEKALB...AURORA...WHEATON...CHICAGO...OTTAWA...OSWEGO...MORRIS...JOLIET1042 AM CST FRI JAN 31 2014...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PMCST SATURDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORMWARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THISEVENING TO 6 PM CST SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGERIN EFFECT.* SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING AND INCREASE IN INTENSITY AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH A PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS OF SATURDAY. THE SNOW WILL END BY EARLY SATURDAY EVENING.* STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION 6 TO 10 INCHES.* SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE MID MORNING SATURDAY.* SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS FROM LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY EVENING.* TRAVEL THROUGH CHICAGO O`HARE AND MIDWAY AIRPORTS COULD ALSO BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHERCONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOWARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN ANEMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.&&$$Crazy how much snow you guys have seen. Does this push you guys into the all time record snowfall in January or just the top 5? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 Crazy how much snow you guys have seen. Does this push you guys into the all time record snowfall in January or just the top 5? We will end up 3rd overall for January Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 We will end up 3rd overall for JanuarySo crazy. And starting February off like a boss. -- Not to be that guy, but what are you guys thinking for totals here from this?? Models are showing 2-3"... Idk though, if you look at the HRRR it's persistent with dry air through tonight too. Snow should have been flying already but it's too dry and not hitting the ground. I'm a tad worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 Phil Schwartz saying 7-11" from city on north, 3-7" Chicago south...models nudged system a little north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildWisconsinWeather Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 Phil Schwartz saying 7-11" from city on north, 3-7" Chicago south...models nudged system a little north. I'm hearing the Euro went south, either way most of Chicago Metro is in good shape for 6-12", somewhere in that range. Enjoy yet another solid snowstorm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 How does EURO look for this event? I heard it was driest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 Don't have EURO numbers but its drier than the NAM GFS for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 Don't have EURO numbers but its drier than the NAM GFS for sure. Not surprising. This system has been wayyy drier out here than expected the other day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 SREF's on the rise for ORD... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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