Tom Posted February 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 12z GGEM... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 12z UK precip.... even farther ne. http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/accum/PA_000-060_0000.gif Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Looking forward to see what this Clipper produces around here. Need to cover up some of the "dirty" snow poppin' up that have been absorbing the "heat energy" from the sun. Even if NE IL gets 2-3", I'll be happy...even 2" would do. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Winter Storm Watch only 1 county away from me. Looking interesting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Des Moines in wsw. Should have been with morning update... Dmx Nws one of the most anti snow offices around. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 I think the wide model spread caused them to delay. Coming closer to agreement although the nam and gfs remain further west than the rgem, ggem, And uk Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Skilling's RPM model was bullish with the snowfall in N IL with widespread 2-3" snows. It was even farther N and E from last night's run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Euro further ne than American models. So we still have a significant spread on the models, although in general agreement, there's a good 50-100 mile difference on heaviest placement Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 12z Euro...looks like it pivots right over C IA....this storm is going to look really nice on radar tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Updated grids from nws dmx give 5-11" just W of DSM. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Skilling's in-house model going with 3-4" lakeside counties...pretty interesting Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 This clipper pretty much blows up over Iowa and then dies. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FV-Mike Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Skilling's in-house model going with 3-4" lakeside counties...pretty interestingSaw the noon broadcast. Widespread 3" totals across northern IL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 This has quickly become way more exciting than the weekend "storm" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 On phone so I could be wrong.. But did the 18z Nam take a jog SW? Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 On phone so I could be wrong.. But did the 18z Nam take a jog SW?Not much change on the NAM. SREFS pretty far the other direction Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Not much change on the NAM. SREFS pretty far the other directionshard to tell on srefs though. As usual they are being stupid with ratio in certain areas Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Can someone post the 18z Nam snow map? Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxim Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 This clipper pretty much blows up over Iowa and then dies.Exactly, which is why I'm thinking no more than 2" IMBY, which might even be too high. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Winter Storm Warning for my area!!! from a "clipper" Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 NAM HI-RES- Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Enjoy central Iowa- looks like all of the models have settled in on a path and amounts for the most part. Shouldn't see too many surprises out of this tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 D**n, Brant Miller just posted the RPM model painting 4-6" pockets in NE IL. Pretty impressive LehS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Looking great. That 6" area is nudging closer to me. WWA for my county for 3-5". The county just to my SW is in a warning. Just a nudge to the east and I could be hitting the jackpot. I always do well with these clippers. And they always seem to track more to the northeast as the event gets close. Hopefully that pattern continues. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Des Moines is right in the jackpot. Looking like a great chance of 8+ there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 This would be the 2nd Clipper on roids this season for IA that may produce 6-8" totals. Last one was in January if I remember correctly. Similar situation with higher snow fall ratios. I'd be stoked if ORD can pick up 3-4" from the LehS snow fall. ORD is roughly 7" shy of the all-time snowiest February on record. Let's see how we finish this month. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 Hrrr looks further northeast to me at hour 15. We'll see how that pans out Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 25, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 Hrrr looks further northeast to me at hour 15. We'll see how that pans outYou just read my mind buddy...Here is the precip map... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 You just read my mind buddy...Here is the precip map...That would be heading right at me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 00Z NAM more N and E Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 Wow can't believe the amount of shifting this close. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 RAP and HRRR see it also-- my call from yday of the max totals being E of I-35 appear to have some merit. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 25, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 00z NAM...here it is... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 00z NAM...here it is..6" for me. If all 00z models come in a bit east I wonder if they will expand the Warning to the east. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 00z GFS more amped-- Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 Love it. Keeps getting better. All models have the 6 inch line all the way to me now and C IA is still looking at 10" potential. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 NEW GFS foi DSM WED 12Z 25-FEB -8.7 -3.9 1015 80 99 0.00 545 533WED 18Z 25-FEB -7.5 -5.5 1015 96 99 0.24 542 531THU 00Z 26-FEB -8.4 -9.7 1017 95 99 0.27 538 525THU 06Z 26-FEB -13.1 -16.0 1026 91 100 0.09 535 515 18Z WED 18Z 25-FEB -6.9 -6.5 1015 96 99 0.19 542 530THU 00Z 26-FEB -7.7 -9.0 1017 95 99 0.22 537 524THU 06Z 26-FEB -13.5 -16.8 1026 91 100 0.06 533 513 i will take it Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 25, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 00z RGEM... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 New update from DMX:AREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA958 PM CST TUE FEB 24 2015.UPDATE...ISSUED AT 958 PM CST TUE FEB 24 2015MODELS CONTINUE TO COME IN FARTHER NORTHEAST WITH EACH RUN AND THE00Z NAM AND GFS KEEPS THE TREND GOING. HAVE INCLUDED A FEW MORECOUNTIES INTO THE WARNING AREA AND THIS MAY NEED TO BE MODIFIEDEVEN MORE WITH THE OVERNIGHT PACKAGE. FORCING STILL VERYIMPRESSIVE WITH THE SYSTEM AND RAW OUTPUT FROM BOTH NAM AND GFSSUGGEST AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES WITH SOME AMOUNTS APPROACHING 10FROM NEAR KFOD TO KTNU AND KOTM BY MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THISWILL NEED TO BE TO BE EVALUATED DEEPER BY OVERNIGHT SHIFT WITHADDITIONAL AMOUNT ADJUSTMENTS LIKELY AS WELL. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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