SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 Through Friday morning at 4am http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_gfs/images_d2/snow24.36.0000.gif This puts Salem in the bullseye. 8-10" for my location. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 Here is what the RPM has to say... http://www.cascadeaccess.com/~mnelsen/RPM_72_SNOW_00z.jpg Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shadow Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 I am right on the edge of this. Quote http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KWAGOLDE19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 I'm a bit nervous about the WRF-GFS. Shows the precip missing Portland entirely tomorrow, just barely. It was still a huge improvement over the 12z run but still.I hope this low spreads precip much further north than predicted. Yeah, like 200-250 miles north. Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brody Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 Here is what the RPM has to say... http://www.cascadeaccess.com/~mnelsen/RPM_72_SNOW_00z.jpgSWEET, there is a 1/2" blob over the Kitsap peninsula but D****T that doesnt help me Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 That blob might be my inch! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 00z RPM http://www.cascadeaccess.com/~mnelsen/web_RPM_Text_00z_PDX.jpg 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 Through Friday at 4 p.m. http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_gfs/images_d2/snow48.48.0000.gif Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 That blob might be my inch! Have those words ever been written together like that? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 Have those words ever been written together like that? Oops. I need to watch what I say in here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 00z RPM http://www.cascadeaccess.com/~mnelsen/web_RPM_Text_00z_PDX.jpg Dewpoint up to 34 by Saturday afternoon? Odd with an east wind still being shown. And 40 degrees on Friday? I have no idea how this model does in these situations. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 Currently 16 degrees at my house and dropping rapidly. Going to be one very cold night! I was working outside in Pasco this morning where it was about 10 degrees with a 15 to 20MPH wind, now that was brutal cold!! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 Dewpoint up to 34 by Saturday afternoon? Odd with an east wind still being shown. And 40 degrees on Friday? I have no idea how this model does in these situations.Yeah, the temperature on Friday is ridiculous with snow cover and east wind. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 Rpm looks much too quick of a warm up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 We certainly need the traditional northward trend to happen this time! I'll never forget the dramatic jump northward in Nov 2010. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 Through Friday at 4 p.m. http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_gfs/images_d2/snow48.48.0000.gif 4"+ from Eugene to the south metro area. The E. Wind is going to kill a lot of the precip near the gorge. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 We certainly need the traditional northward trend to happen this time! I'll never forget the dramatic jump northward in Nov 2010. I guess we better start praying Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 We certainly need the traditional northward trend to happen this time! I'll never forget the dramatic jump northward in Nov 2010. Apples to oranges comparison. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 4"+ from Eugene to the south metro area. The E. Wind is going to kill a lot of the precip near the gorge. Is that why the RPM showed 7.5" for Hood River? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 NWS has just upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning for the South Willamette Valley. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 Is that why the RPM showed 7.5" for Hood River? February 28, 1996 look it up... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 What Niño are you referring to, exactly? We've been dead neutral for a few years.The big transition beginning in the stratosphere right now will allow the MJO/tropical circulations to "unload" this summer, aided by the Solar maximum..forcing us into a weak or moderate El Niño by October or November 2014.This graphic explains why the QBO is so important in regards to uplift/instability in the tropics, hence the MJO:http://img834.imageshack.us/img834/7809/z90g.jpgyeah the pacific ssts have not been any where close to an el nino look this year as you said it been dead neuture the past 2 years.which had been a great enso call by you. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 February 28, 1996 look it up... PDX had a high of 39 that day and Salem was 48. Your point? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 Through Saturday at 4 p.m. http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_gfs/images_d2/snow72.72.0000.gif Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 Fairbanks reporting 13F and freezing drizzle. Their NWS even issued an advisory for a large part of the interior for freezing drizzle. Very odd! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 PDX had a high of 39 that day and Salem was 48. Your point? Snowed quite a bit in Eugene that morning. It was forecast to make it all the way to PDX. Very strong offshore flow and dry air evaporated everything north of Albany...Of course now I realize gradients will be slackening a bit tomorrow... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brody Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 Early look at KSEA NWS AFD 9PM SEATTLE NWS AFD..... A MAJOR SNOW STORM WILL SLAM THE WILLAMETTE VALLEY AND LEAVE POINTS FROM OLM DRY, COLD AND WISHING FOR MORE OUT OF LIFE....GOODNIGHT Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 Early look at KSEA NWS AFD 9PM SEATTLE NWS AFD..... A MAJOR SNOW STORM WILL SLAM THE WILLAMETTE VALLEY AND LEAVE POINTS FROM OLM DRY, COLD AND WISHING FOR MORE OUT OF LIFE....GOODNIGHTThats about all the need to say. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 Whats the Canadian saying? Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 Whats the Canadian saying?too far south to be a serious contender Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brody Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 Whats the Canadian saying?Eh? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 Whats the Canadian saying?Eh. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 Whats the Canadian saying? I am still waiting... its stuck at 12 hours, Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 OOZ GFS for tomorrow at 4pm. Can you believe it's only 19 hours away. The afternoon/evening commute is going to be a mess and the public doesn't know yet. http://oi59.tinypic.com/123slf4.jpg Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 Hard to imagine we go all weekend with no snow with so much happening so close. That dont happen to often when it rains. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 Hard to imagine we go all weekend with no snow with so much happening so close. That dont happen to often when it rains. What is this 'rain' you speak of?? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 OOZ GFS for tomorrow at 4pm. Can you believe it's only 19 hours away. The afternoon/evening commute is going to be a mess and the public doesn't know yet. http://oi59.tinypic.com/123slf4.jpg Ummmm...There are winter storm watches and warnings. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 What is this 'rain' you speak of??when portland gets a big rain storm so do we most of the time. Most.. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brody Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 Hard to imagine we go all weekend with no snow with so much happening so close. That dont happen to often when it rains.With that much action so close Tim would say it might as well be Minnesota for all we care Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 6, 2014 Report Share Posted February 6, 2014 What is this 'rain' you speak of??Just thinking as though this was all rain and how it would play out. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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