Gradient Keeper Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 Well......... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 Day 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 Well........... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 Gfs is still colder with the trough to end the month than the euro. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 Perhaps Feb's coldest period will be later in the month then. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 Day 8 trying to improve as the ridge builds up into southern Alaska. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 Day 9'er Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 Not great, but it's not far also from being quite good. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 Day 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 00z GEFS Day 6 - Well unfortunately the ridge is much weaker and cold trough is sliding east instead of previous runs which dug it south over us. Poops! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 Yeah I think it's over for this one. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 GEFS definitely moving towards the lackluster CMCE and EPS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, DJ Droppin said: GEFS definitely moving towards the lackluster CMCE and EPS. Hopefully just delayed until the fifth or something. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: GEFS definitely moving towards the lackluster CMCE and EPS. CMC with more ridging over Alaska than previous runs, like GFS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 Pretty impressive how much more widespread the cold is now than a couple of days ago. Looks like the Gorge is finally kicking in. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 15 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals Looks like several inches of snow over my house! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 6 minutes ago, luminen said: Yeah I think it's over for this one. Yup, looks like our last hope is the second half of February. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 5 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: CMC with more ridging over Alaska than previous runs, like GFS. Yes, but this time it's too close to us. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 GFS still gets us into a nice pattern. It has to be the Maritime Continent MJO wave it's prognosticating. FWIW the GFS has outdone the ECMWF on MJO forecasts a number of times this season. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 5 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Yup, looks like our last hope is the second half of February. Sure looks like the early part could be good too. People give up way too easily on here. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 Well, December was fun. Many of you had a White Christmas too. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: GFS still gets us into a nice pattern. It has to be the Maritime Continent MJO wave it's prognosticating. FWIW the GFS has outdone the ECMWF on MJO forecasts a number of times this season. When did that happen? 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 Nice GFS run. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, Phil said: When did that happen? Not sure of exact dates, but it happened. The ECMWF has kind of lost its luster this winter IMO. 4 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 00z GEM 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 5 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Well, December was fun. Many of you had a White Christmas too. I'm surprised you aren't happier with the Gorge finally getting its act together. Cold air is pouring into the WV now. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, snow_wizard said: I'm surprised you aren't happier with the Gorge finally getting its act together. Cold air is pouring into the WV now. Yeah the gusty east winds and sunshine are nice.... That's about it. Unless it leads to wintry precip chances it's nothing great. 4 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 We'll see how the 00z ECMWF and EPS look, then how models look in 2-3 days. I know things can change rather quickly. 00z ECMWF in 28 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 37 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals Classic sporadic NW flow signature. Sunny valleys snowy mountains. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 Looks like the idea of a progressively amplifying dirty ridge off the coast is gaining some momentum right now for next week. It ends up leading to a really nice outcome on tonight's GFS. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 Actually not a bad GFS run. Not amazing, fairly cool, and pretty dry. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 22 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Sure looks like the early part could be good too. People give up way too easily on here. Not giving up. It's just not in the cards at the moment. When in doubt, climo is king. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 0.5” of precip at EUG in the last 20 days. 1 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 Fog trying to redevelop over the eastside tonight. Right around 36° in a lot of locations. 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 00z ECMWF Day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 58 minutes ago, MossMan said: Looks like several inches of snow over my house! I could live with this too in SE WA. 1 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 17 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: 0.5” of precip at EUG in the last 20 days. Likely less than that in the next 10+ days too. Janugust. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 26, 2022 Report Share Posted January 26, 2022 Day 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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