PNW January 2022, Contact Info for Phil

[jakerepp]

Hey @Brian_in_Leavenworth, any melting going on there?

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

Not really.  May have briefly made it above 32, but not for long.  Lots of compacting of the snow, went down about 15 inches mainly from compaction.  Had an inch of new snow then light freezing rain.  Lots and lots of backhoes, dumptrucks, etc trying to widen roads, clear others etc.  Snow has to be removed and not just pushed around, because there are no places to push it too 

Had the National Guard come by the neighborhood to check on everyone.  I know my neighbors and which ones are away for the winter, which have died, and one that moved into a long term care facility. 

[Tyler Mode]

111 pages on 1.11

Yep I'm one of those people.

[The Blob]

Just now, Tyler Mode said:

111 pages on 1.11

Yep I'm one of those people.

Did you make a wish?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

16 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Ridge gets pretty amplified in the mid to long range on the 12z GFS Midwest and east gets cold would be nice to see that pattern retrograde toward the last 1/3 of the month 

Kinda starting to remind me a bit of 2011

[Tyler Mode]

2 minutes ago, The Blob said:

Did you make a wish?

You know it!  More snow this winter...

[jakerepp]

Soooo....anyone have anything interesting happen lately? This can go to the banter thread I guess, but there ain't much going on here right now.

Both my parents have Omicron, but they're fine. The usual mild symptoms. Man alive, it's spreading like crazy. 

Cooper turns 3 months old on Thursday. He's hoping for more snow this year.

Anyone else seeing their investments get annihilated lately, particularly the last week or so?

[KingstonWX]

34 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

Not really.  May have briefly made it above 32, but not for long.  Lots of compacting of the snow, went down about 15 inches mainly from compaction.  Had an inch of new snow then light freezing rain.  Lots and lots of backhoes, dumptrucks, etc trying to widen roads, clear others etc.  Snow has to be removed and not just pushed around, because there are no places to push it too 

Had the National Guard come by the neighborhood to check on everyone.  I know my neighbors and which ones are away for the winter, which have died, and one that moved into a long term care facility. 

Ugh, I'm so worried about my cabin. I have no idea what shape its in and the plow guy isn't responding (which is understandable right now). I'm sure it's fine, but it's super weird to not know. 

[TacomaWaWx]

35 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Kinda starting to remind me a bit of 2011

Which winter 2010/2011 or 2011/2012? Both were good. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

19 minutes ago, jakerepp said:

Soooo....anyone have anything interesting happen lately? This can go to the banter thread I guess, but there ain't much going on here right now.

Both my parents have Omicron, but they're fine. The usual mild symptoms. Man alive, it's spreading like crazy. 

Cooper turns 3 months old on Thursday. He's hoping for more snow this year.

Anyone else seeing their investments get annihilated lately, particularly the last week or so?

Fortunately in large part due to my 4 children my investments are rather limited... I did put some money in Crypto last year which hasn't turned out so well. 

Our first son is due the end of February, but it wouldn't surprise me if he came a bit sooner. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, TacomaWaWx said:

Which winter 2010/2011 or 2011/2012? Both were good. 

2010-11. After the model fail around the 10th of January 2011, things got pretty boring for about a month. 

[TacomaWaWx]

22 minutes ago, jakerepp said:

Soooo....anyone have anything interesting happen lately? This can go to the banter thread I guess, but there ain't much going on here right now.

Both my parents have Omicron, but they're fine. The usual mild symptoms. Man alive, it's spreading like crazy. 

Cooper turns 3 months old on Thursday. He's hoping for more snow this year.

Anyone else seeing their investments get annihilated lately, particularly the last week or so?

Yeah tons of people I know came down with covid in the last couple months…myself included. Which is interesting since not many people I knew came down with it until the omicron came around. Todays day 7 for me but I started feeling much better this morning think I’m finally getting out of the woods. 

[TacomaWaWx]

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

2010-11. After the model fail around the 10th of January 2011, things got pretty boring for about a month. 

That means we’re due in February! That January bust was brutal but forgettable since we had such great events in November and February it didn’t matter much. 

[MossMan]

25 minutes ago, jakerepp said:

Soooo....anyone have anything interesting happen lately? This can go to the banter thread I guess, but there ain't much going on here right now.

Both my parents have Omicron, but they're fine. The usual mild symptoms. Man alive, it's spreading like crazy. 

Cooper turns 3 months old on Thursday. He's hoping for more snow this year.

Anyone else seeing their investments get annihilated lately, particularly the last week or so?

Knock on wood everyone in the family is healthy at the moment. I’m hoping what we all had before Christmas was Omicron but down really know. 
Oh and the kids new sled came! It must snow again this winter now! 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Yeah tons of people I know came down with covid in the last couple months…myself included. Which is interesting since not many people I knew came down with it until the omicron came around. Todays day 7 for me but I started feeling much better this morning think I’m finally getting out of the woods. 

I really think I had it when I was in Oklahoma. Lost taste/smell, had a sore throat, felt kind of weird. I took a test when I got home, but my symptoms had subsided by then and it was negative. So I'll never know. 

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Yeah tons of people I know came down with covid in the last couple months…myself included. Which is interesting since not many people I knew came down with it until the omicron came around. Todays day 7 for me but I started feeling much better this morning think I’m finally getting out of the woods. 

Jared doesn't know of anyone except himself.    This drama about it spreading so fast and effectively is just hog wash and anecdotal evidence according to him.  

[TacomaWaWx]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

Jared doesn't know of anyone except himself.    This drama about it spreading so fast and effectively is just hog wash and anecdotal evidence according to him.  

Lol…don’t want to get into covid on this thread too in-depth. I just find it interesting that so many people that I know in my personal life and on this forum came down with covid in the last 3 months or so. More than the whole pandemic combined. 

[Deweydog]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

Knock on wood everyone in the family is healthy at the moment. I’m hoping what we all had before Christmas was Omicron but down really know. 
Oh and the kids new sled came! It must snow again this winter now! 

Red! Just like the 500mb height anomalies over the PNW!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, TacomaWaWx said:

That means we’re due in February! That January bust was brutal but forgettable since we had such great events in November and February it didn’t matter much. 

Those events were MUCH better in your area than down here. PDX-south mostly got screwed in the snow department. Salem and PDX had sub-freezing highs in November 2010, which is incredibly rare for November. The February event was pretty chilly down here too, but there wasn't much lowland snow, except Corvallis and Kelso got nailed. 

Where I live in the foothills they were both really big events. Silver Falls had a 26/14 day in November 2010 and a 27/10 day in February 2011. It was one coldest days that late on record (2/27/11). 

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Lol…don’t want to get into covid on this thread too in-depth. I just find it interesting that so many people that I know in my personal life and on this forum came down with covid in the last 3 months or so. More than the whole pandemic combined. 

Its absolutely crazy for sure.   Seems strange to not have it or had it recently at this point.  And you are right... we have a separate thread to discuss this. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Lol…don’t want to get into covid on this thread too in-depth. I just find it interesting that so many people that I know in my personal life and on this forum came down with covid in the last 3 months or so. More than the whole pandemic combined. 

You should go join the branch covidians over on the other thread.

[TacomaWaWx]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Those events were MUCH better in your area than down here. PDX-south mostly got screwed in the snow department. Salem and PDX had sub-freezing highs in November 2010, which is incredibly rare for November. The February event was pretty chilly down here too, but there wasn't much lowland snow, except Corvallis and Kelso got nailed. 

Where I live in the foothills they were both really big events. Silver Falls had a 26/14 day in November 2010 and a 27/10 day in February 2011. It was one coldest days that late on record (2/27/11). 

February 2011 was one of the biggest boom or bust events I can remember for many people. Some locations got a trace to 1”…some people got 6” or even 2’ like the north Puget sound. I was in one of the boom locations had 7” of snow. 

[TacomaWaWx]

Very wet morning 0.82” since midnight and 5.47” this month. We will probably be close to 7” of rain by the end of the event…less than halfway through January. 

[The Blob]

34 minutes ago, jakerepp said:

Soooo....anyone have anything interesting happen lately? This can go to the banter thread I guess, but there ain't much going on here right now.

Both my parents have Omicron, but they're fine. The usual mild symptoms. Man alive, it's spreading like crazy. 

Cooper turns 3 months old on Thursday. He's hoping for more snow this year.

Anyone else seeing their investments get annihilated lately, particularly the last week or so?

The mystery knit along for Rose City Yarn crawl has started and I'm thinking of going back to school to pursue my bachelor's. Amazon will pay $5,250 year with no life time limit for associates and bachelor's degrees.

[The Blob]

15 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Fortunately in large part due to my 4 children my investments are rather limited... I did put some money in Crypto last year which hasn't turned out so well. 

Our first son is due the end of February, but it wouldn't surprise me if he came a bit sooner. 

Congratulations, my middle child was due in February, but came March 2nd. She missed out on all the snow we had in 2018.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Early February 2011 was really nice. A lot of sunny days and chilly nights. Highs were around average with the sunshine, ridge was more over us with the central US getting blasted with arctic air, then the pattern shifted west. 

[BLI snowman]

7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Its absolutely crazy for sure.   Seems strange to not have it or had it recently at this point.  And you are right... we have a separate thread to discuss this. 

I know I will jinx it here but I really haven't been sick at all since the fall of 2018. Incredibly fortunate though.

[SouthHillFrosty]

41 minutes ago, jakerepp said:

Soooo....anyone have anything interesting happen lately? This can go to the banter thread I guess, but there ain't much going on here right now.

Both my parents have Omicron, but they're fine. The usual mild symptoms. Man alive, it's spreading like crazy. 

Cooper turns 3 months old on Thursday. He's hoping for more snow this year.

Anyone else seeing their investments get annihilated lately, particularly the last week or so?

I’m big into DeFi and Web 3.0 right now. I invest in “dao’s” and stuff like that. I am in the “wonderland time” project. Down like 30% on the week alone. My brokerage account for stocks is faring a lot better. Crypto can have some crazy swings especially in alt coins. 

[jakerepp]

18 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Fortunately in large part due to my 4 children my investments are rather limited... I did put some money in Crypto last year which hasn't turned out so well. 

Our first son is due the end of February, but it wouldn't surprise me if he came a bit sooner. 

Ive done okay with crypto so far. Doubled my Cardano investment and cashed out. Still hodling Bitcoin and Ethereum. Don't plan selling for a long time.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, jakerepp said:

Ive done okay with crypto so far. Doubled my Cardano investment and cashed out. Still hodling Bitcoin and Ethereum. Don't plan selling for a long time.

I've decided to hold, at this point why not. 

[jakerepp]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I've decided to hold, at this point why not. 

I think it will pay off. I really think Bitcoin hits 6 figures within a year or two, and the growth could be limitless. Although I've started putting more into ETH since it's performed way better over the past year than BTC has.

[SouthHillFrosty]

2 minutes ago, jakerepp said:

I think it will pay off. I really think Bitcoin hits 6 figures within a year or two, and the growth could be limitless. Although I've started putting more into ETH since it's performed way better over the past year than BTC has.

@jakerepp yea Eth has made huge strides so far. Have u looked into alternate networks like Avalanche (Avax)? Way less gas fees then the ETH network 

[jakerepp]

10 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

I know I will jinx it here but I really haven't been sick at all since the fall of 2018. Incredibly fortunate though.

I usually get a cold at least once a year but I've had nothing more than allergies since Fall of 2019.

[jakerepp]

1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

@jakerepp yea Eth has made huge strides so far. Have u looked into alternate networks like Avalanche (Avax)? Way less gas fees then the ETH network 

I'll look into it!

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

33 minutes ago, KingstonWX said:

Ugh, I'm so worried about my cabin. I have no idea what shape its in and the plow guy isn't responding (which is understandable right now). I'm sure it's fine, but it's super weird to not know. 

How old is it? If it somewhat modern, and built to code, it should be ok.  Leavenworth has a code that requires a snow load 4.25x the national average.  Lake Wenatchee requires a code 7x the national average.  

December 1996 saw 90 inches of snow fall so probably the load on roofs was greater than today.  January 1969 had 3 days with a snow depth of 93 inches.  If your cabin is that old and has had a new roof since then, it should be ok I would think.  Point is that our area has seen greater snow depth and greater weights of snows.

This big snow was fairly fluffy and light, based on the shoveling that I did, and based on how much it has compacted since Friday.

[jakerepp]

32 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Fortunately in large part due to my 4 children my investments are rather limited... I did put some money in Crypto last year which hasn't turned out so well. 

Our first son is due the end of February, but it wouldn't surprise me if he came a bit sooner. 

Your son will be your 5th?

[SouthHillFrosty]

[jakerepp]

1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Woah, better tell my family in Lancaster County to prepare!

[KingstonWX]

1 minute ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

How old is it? If it somewhat modern, and built to code, it should be ok.  Leavenworth has a code that requires a snow load 4.25x the national average.  Lake Wenatchee requires a code 7x the national average.  

December 1996 saw 90 inches of snow fall so probably the load on roofs was greater than today.  January 1969 had 3 days with a snow depth of 93 inches.  If your cabin is that old and has had a new roof since then, it should be ok I would think.  Point is that our area has seen greater snow depth and greater weights of snows.

This big snow was fairly fluffy and light, based on the shoveling that I did, and based on how much it has compacted since Friday.

It's somewhat modern, built in 1982, and it's a dome so in theory it should hold well, but being a dome i'm always worried about leaks. I am more concerned about the secondary buildings like the garages and ADU. Plus I'd be willing to bet the greenhouse roof is toast, but that happens every couple years anyway.

[AlTahoe]

34 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

2010-11. After the model fail around the 10th of January 2011, things got pretty boring for about a month. 

Yep we had a 6 week dry spell that winter. It looks like were going to have another 6 week dry spell this winter. We are pretty even on moisture and snowfall up to this point with the winter of 2010-2011. 2010-2011 was the last winter lake level Tahoe picked up over 300" of snowfall.