The snowpack for the largest part of the Colorado basin is near normal. The southern part, however, is below normal. With all the Pacific storms moving across the mountain west, i would think the snowpack would be deeper. Wonder if Denver area is the exception? I think the Rockies are wringing almost all the water out of these storms leaving the downwind states dry. Either that or the atmospheric rivers are just not that wet. The corn and wheat states Kansas, Nebraska, and Dakotas rain seems kind of skimpy of late? Big storms are beating up the West coast, but inland we are too dry. What's going on?

Stuck at 36 and nothing but rain. This one sure fizzled into nothing fast. NWS FSD says there a chance for 1-2 inches after the changeover in a couple hours but I'm doubtful.

I really want to have rose colored glasses, but the main thing I see at the end of the 12Z cycle is split flow setting up. I would be over the moon if I saw this and still lived in the Upper Midwest.

Looks like GEPS. This timeline is looking good.

I think that’s what you would expect with a long range ensemble mean because the ENSO state is the only thing that has predictive value at that time range. The individual members are just a random mess of spaghetti. I wonder if they would even have positive skill scores if the ENSO signal is removed.