Our (currently) little guy is still off the coast of BC. It will move onshore at the international border around 12z tomorrow. Any model shifts tomorrow will be very telling.

It’s actually sticking here again on the patio and road it’s coming down so hard. Wild. Also no power for 3 hours!

What a forecast bust for this area. We get an Advisory at 5 am after it’s been snowing for 4 hours calling for up to 3 inches and ending at 11am when there was already 3 inches on the ground. Then they extended it to 10 pm saying an additional 2-3 inches forecasted, but we’re sitting at just over 7 now and it keeps going. Just crazy, nobody was prepared.

North trend def stopped on the 18z runs so far NAM: 10-12 RGEM: 15-20 ICON: 15-20 Using 10:1 ratios here with .2-.5 freezing rain for the first wave

Getting a pretty good general idea of how things will play out, but yeah, I don't think the finer details are locked in by any means. Too volatile of a setup. Like for my backyard, there is a way to get a somewhat more wintry outcome than what most of the recent models runs have been indicating. Not necessarily saying it will play out that way, but just saying.