April 2022 (April 2008/2011 redux)

[Phil]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

And on the opposite end... everything has just stopped progressing here.  

Yeah, nature likes to balance these things out. I’m sure our regions will end up pretty close on timing in the end.

[snow_wizard]

1 hour ago, Phil said:

One could argue this pattern/regime is the “opposite extreme” given the slew of warm/ridgy springs/summers in recent years.

Not sure I’ve ever seen such a consistent Niña background state. Not even 2011 or 2008 can match this insanity. Check out the persistence of the NH subtropical -AAM anomaly.  

Might be our year.

[Phil]

Our grass is 7” high now, lol. Gonna try and cut it tomorrow if it’s not storming.

[snow_wizard]

2 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

Assuming no further warming, today's 44/32 spread ties the record for all time coldest April day at KSEA! Wow!!!

Even crazier, that record of 38°F was set on the fourth of the month in 1975, whereas today's was set on the 13th! This is beyond record breaking, this is literally tying all time cold figures for this time of year.

I'll have to some digging WAY back and see if anything equals this.  A freeking -13 departure for SEA today.

[Phil]

4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Might be our year.

Could be. Stronger Niña/NPAC High signal than last year by most metrics.

I’m still nervous for the SW US, though. Good chance that 4CH is a beast yet again, even if it doesn’t extend as far N/W this year.

[snow_wizard]

It's pretty mind boggling that SEA actually tied their coldest April day on record even with the extra runway, increased urbanization, and all of that.  We're talking about even beating any April day in the late 1940s / 1950s.  Really special pattern.

[TacomaWaWx]

The last 8 days have been pretty crazy. 
4/6   59/32

4/7   73/40

4/8   57/41 0.25”

4/9   51/36 0.12”

4/10 48/37 0.04”

4/11  51/36 0.02”

4/12 47/32 0.05” Tr. Snow

4/13 42/32 0.17”

[snow_wizard]

6 minutes ago, Phil said:

Could be. Stronger Niña/NPAC High signal than last year by most metrics.

I’m still nervous for the SW US, though. Good chance that 4CH is a beast yet again, even if it doesn’t extend as far N/W this year.

The SW could be going into one of the mega droughts that paleo climatologists have found evidence of in the past.  We'll have to wait and see.

[snow_wizard]

Just now, TacomaWaWx said:

The last 8 days have been pretty crazy. 
4/6   59/32

4/7   73/40

4/8   57/41 0.25”

4/9   51/36 0.12”

4/10 48/37 0.04”

4/11  51/36 0.02”

4/12 47/32 0.05” Tr. Snow

4/13 42/32 0.17”

Your high of 42 is one for the ages.  Might not even be an equal in the 1850 to 1890 period.  I'll try and look through that stuff over the next couple of days.

[snow_wizard]

Down to 40 and dead calm here now.  Clouds seem to be thinning out pretty good.  Now to see how many freezing low temps we can string.

[TacomaWaWx]

3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Down to 40 and dead calm here now.  Clouds seem to be thinning out pretty good.  Now to see how many freezing low temps we can string.

37 here…looks like showers are decreasing. Could be pretty icy tomorrow morning. 

[TT-SEA]

View from North Bend this evening... with snow on the ridge.   

[Deweydog]

Hangin’ in there!

[smerfylicious]

1 hour ago, snow_wizard said:

Might be our year.

[MossMan]

Down to 37. 

[The Blob]

39 and raining at work.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

32 and partly cloudy. Doubt we can stay in the 30s tomorrow, but it could be close if we have good afternoon shower activity. 

[snow_wizard]

SEA is already only 4 degrees away from tomorrow's record low.  If they pull it off that would 3 in a row and all over 50 year old records.  VERY impressive!

[snow_wizard]

These temps are insane.  Already seeing a number of 33s out there tonight.  This thing is working out colder than I expected.  Currently 36 here.

[smerfylicious]

Looks like Tahoe airport is in for another good night of powder. Cool shot tbh. Can clearly see how big the flakes are in the light.

 

https://truckeetahoeairport.com/webcam

[Blizzard777]

High of 45* and the snow/rain mix as well earlier…..brrrrrr

 

35* currently 

[Omegaraptor]

Any sort of long-range warmup is getting progressively delayed and diluted. We're probably going to be waiting a while for any sort of warm sunny outdoor activities. Forecast looks 2011-like for here with no highs even breaking out of the mid-50s. Could be running at a strong negative monthly departure.

What I do like about living in a NW flow rainshadow is in these patterns having at least some sun is almost guaranteed in any given day. If it was overcast all the time, I think I'd go insane.

[Phil]

00z GFS has 4 significant storms for N-Cal in the next 8 days. Cannot understate how important that would be heading into the warm season.

[Phil]

Look at all this beautiful precipitation in N-Cal/S-OR.  

[snow_wizard]

Looks like the April 1911 cold snap was similar to this one for intensity and lowland snowfall, but this one will be longer duration.

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, Phil said:

Look at all this beautiful precipitation in N-Cal/S-OR.  

Love seeing some jet suppression.

[snow_wizard]

This GFS run shows another shot of -6 850s three days out now.  Solid cold for at least another 3+ days.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

SLE didn’t make it to 50 today.

[Omegaraptor]

My college friends from warmer locales are probably going to be getting stir-crazy and complaining a lot over the next week.

I'm not exactly enjoying this pattern but I don't hate it either. Happens somewhat often in places like Sunriver this time of year (maybe for not this long, however), but I'd still give my left nut to live in that climate. Both their winter and summer climo is nothing short of phenomenal.

[Deweydog]

16 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

My college friends from warmer locales are probably going to be getting stir-crazy and complaining a lot over the next week.

I'm not exactly enjoying this pattern but I don't hate it either. Happens somewhat often in places like Sunriver this time of year (maybe for not this long, however), but I'd still give my left nut to live in that climate. Both their winter and summer climo is nothing short of phenomenal.

A friend of mine from high school lost his left nut to cancer but he didn’t get to relocate to a preferred climate as a result.

Edited April 14, 2022 by Deweydog

[smerfylicious]

Starting to snow in Tahoe City. I like watching snow webcams don't judge me

 

https://tahoetopia.com/webcam/tahoe-citydowntown-webcam

[smerfylicious]

12 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

A friend of mine from high school lost his left nut to cancer but he didn’t get to relocate to a preferred climate as a result.

You went to high school with the owner of Juan Pelota? Small world!

[Deweydog]

12 minutes ago, smerfylicious said:

You went to high school with the owner of Juan Pelota? Small world!

Hah! We actually got him a Juan Pelota t-shirt a few years ago.

Then of course when I got bit by a melanoma mosquito I ended up being presented with a Buck Melanoma t-shirt.

[Meatyorologist]

Deformation band keeping things mixed tonight. Around 37°F-ish here. Probably won't reach freezing tonight given current meso guidance keeping this thing overhead into the morning.

[snow_wizard]

The ECMWF shows some snow for the Tacoma area late tonight.  Maybe a little bit here as well.

[snow_wizard]

9 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Deformation band keeping things mixed tonight. Around 37°F-ish here. Probably won't reach freezing tonight given current meso guidance keeping this thing overhead into the morning.

It's right in the 32 to 33 degree range here.

[The Blob]

Currently 36 and partly cloudy here

[Tyler Mode]

Hit 30 at 1:30, now sitting at 33.  I'll take it.

[The Blob]

Still 36 here

[The Winter Warlock]

Early AM CZ? Snowing in Covington.