It sort of does, actually. Solid marine push as it treks north.
At least the CMC solution is physically possible. I’ll cut off my d**k if the GFS solution verifies.
What a night 4.85 inches of rain has fallen with this round and steady rain is still falling. Flash flood warnings are in effect and for the first time in almost 3 years all of our farm ponds are full. ATM my 3 day storm total is at 7.65 inches and I wanna give a nod to the GFS and HRRR for being the only models to consistently show this much rain. More rain is expected today and a slight risk for severe weather this afternoon.
2.41" at my place and still coming down although it's probably winding down. No severe weather in town, but there was a strong tornado not too far to the SSW of Tulsa. Some other weaker tornadoes in the general area as well. All in all an interesting event and I am glad storms didn't get any closer.
Models are showing another chance this afternoon with some decent instability and enough shear to potentially pop a supercell.
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Posted by Phil,
i will personally make sure this happens
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