Ground Hog Day Blizzard/Snowstorm Part II

[FarmerRick]

Had a huge lightning flash around 6:15 as I was leaving for work. Took 40 minutes to make the trek, usually takes 20.  About 20ft. visibility.

[jcwxguy]

looks like reports are coming in around lincoln, 3.5-4", and power out in parts of town

 

 

edit: 5.5" at 40th and vine from broadcast media

[Jaycee]

This is crunch time here for OMA/LNK folks. If this dry air punch fills in and kicks SE you can guarantee we'll be seeing huge totals. But it looks like it's going to stop here soon.

 

Edit: also 5.5" at 27th and Alvo

[Snowlover76]

This is crunch time here for OMA/LNK folks. If this dry air punch fills in and kicks SE you can guarantee we'll be seeing huge totals. But it looks like it's going to stop here soon.

 

Edit: also 5.5" at 27th and Alvo

I doubt it fills in. If anything it's getting bigger.

[WildWisconsinWeather]

I doubt it fills in. If anything it's getting bigger.

 

You have to be ready to pay up soon (to Money)!

[Snowlover76]

Man that radar better fill in or else we might be in trouble here.

[jcwxguy]

looks like is going to be a wide spread of amounts across lincoln, based of bands on radar

[jcwxguy]

i-80 just closed from exit 396 going west

[Snowlover76]

Just entered the dryslot here.

[jcwxguy]

Just entered the dryslot here.

still snowing here in north lincoln

[Snowlover76]

still snowing here in north lincoln

It's tapered down pretty good here

[jcwxguy]

taper down and dry slot are different

 

 

 

.radar is filling in on southeast side of town

[Jaycee]

With the radar filling in on the SE side looks like the actual dry slot may pass just to our SE, going to be close. Keep the moisture coming!

[CentralNebWeather]

I-80 closed Holdrege exit east to Utica. I would at say least a foot here but who the heck would know. Winds are sustained at 40 mph gusts to 50 and zero visibility in town. Most snow I have seen at my house and I have lived at this location for 13 years. Most forecasts still give me 5-9 more inches and the the wind really cranks later

[pack402]

Filling back in from Crete to neb city. We're gonna need it to keep this churning around linc and omaha

[pack402]

Filling back in from Crete to neb city. We're gonna need it to keep this churning around linc and omaha

[Snowlover76]

I-80 closed Holdrege exit east to Utica. I would at say least a foot here but who the heck would know. Winds are sustained at 40 mph gusts to 50 and zero visibility in town. Most snow I have seen at my house and I have lived at this location for 13 years. Most forecasts still give me 5-9 more inches and the the wind really cranks later

told ya you'd see close to 24" 

 

the drift pictures from your area are gonna be nuts 

[CentralNebWeather]

I just peaked out the back. We are protected in my neighborhood and there are drifts over my neighbors 6 foot privacy fence. My alley has drifts close to 5 feet. I will get pictures today but right now it is a mighty beast that has descended on Holdrege

[CentralNebWeather]

You were right snowlover76

[FarmerRick]

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0071.html

 

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/mcd0071.gif

[CentralNebWeather]

Is the low along 1-70 in central Kansas?

[jcwxguy]

Is the low along 1-70 in central Kansas?

[jcwxguy]

700mb low

 

 

[Snowshoe]

Can't wait! Just a few more hours.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
605 AM CST TUE FEB 2 2016

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 307 AM CST TUE FEB 2 2016

ALL EYES FOCUSED DIRECTLY ON THE IMPENDING WINTER STORM. LEADING
EDGE OF THE FRONTOGENETIC DRIVEN RADAR RETURNS ALREADY INTO
NORTHERN WI AND SOUTHERN WI. NOTHING REACHING THE GROUND INITIALLY
AS THERE IS A DRY LOWER LAYER THAT HAS TO BE OVERCOME FIRST. THE
MAIN DYNAMICALLY DRIVEN SNOW IS STILL WELL TO THE SOUTH IN
KS/MO/NE AND SOUTHERN IA. BUT THAT AREA IS QUICKLY MOVING
NORTHEAST AS THE MAIN UPPER SYSTEM CONTINUES TO CHURN NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE PLAINS. IMPRESSIVE JET ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE TROUGH
WITH THE INITIAL SHORT WAVE EMBEDDED IN THE CLOSED CIRCULATION.
BROAD UPPER DIFLUENCE SEEN IN BOTH SATELLITE IMAGERY AND MODEL
PLAN VIEW GRAPHICS. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REACH ITS PEAK STRENGTH
AS IT MOVES INTO WESTERN IA AROUND SUNSET. UPWARD LIFT IS
INCREDIBLY STRONG WITH OMEGA ACTUALLY WRAPPING AROUND THE COLOR
SCALE ON OUR DISPLAYS. PERUSAL OF CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL INDICATES
BOTH UPRIGHT AND SLANTWISE COMPONENTS AVAILABLE DURING THE PEAK
FROM AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING...SO CANNOT COMPLETELY RULE OUT
A RUMBLE OR TWO OF THUNDER AS WELL. WILL NOT ADD IT TO THE
FORECAST JUST YET...

THE RECENT TREND OF A SLIGHTLY MORE NORTHERLY TRACK IS STILL
THERE...WITH MORE WARMER AIR SNEAKING INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS
OF OUR SERVICE AREA. THIS COULD PUT A LITTLE OF A DENT INTO THE
EVENTUAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS...WITH SOME OF THE PRECIPITATION FALLING
AS RAIN. HAVE CONTINUED THE TREND THAT PREVIOUS SHIFTS STARTED BY
HAVING A WINTRY MIX IN THE SOUTHEAST THIRD OF OUR AREA. BUT
DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF THE WARMER AIR AND THE SLIGHT SHIFT...
STILL THINK IMPRESSIVE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE SEEN. WHEN IT
DOES SNOW...CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL AND STRONG LIFT SUGGEST IT WILL
SNOW PRETTY HARD...WITH 1-2 INCH RATES FOR AT LEAST A FEW HOURS AT
EACH LOCATION.

ONCE THE INITIAL SURGE OF HEAVY SNOW BEGINS TO TAPER OFF...AND THE
MAIN DEFORMATION AREA SHIFTS A BIT TO THE NORTH...WE COULD HAVE A
PERIOD WHERE ONLY LIGHT SNOW PREVAILS. BUT THERE IS A SECONDARY
SHORT WAVE TROUGH THAT WILL ROTATE AROUND THE MAIN SYSTEM AND WILL
PASS ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. THIS
WILL PROVIDE ANOTHER PERIOD OF SIGNIFICANT LIFT...AND COULD DROP
SEVERAL MORE INCHES OF SNOW. THIS DOUBLE-BARREL EFFECT SHOULD HELP
US REACH THE FORECAST SNOW TOTALS OF 6 TO AS MUCH AS 12 INCHES.

[mlgamer]

Meanwhile, here in Topeka we are totally sunny, 45 degrees and pretty much calm winds after some morning rain.

 

It is a very nice winter day here in the dry slot! 

[james1976]

Just getting going here. Cant even see a block!! DMX talking 1-3" per hour and thundersnow with this band moving through.

[Snowlover76]

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0071.html

 

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/mcd0071.gif

gonna be super close here in Lincoln.

 

Gut feeling is that we miss out on it. 

[CentralNebWeather]

700mb low

. Thanks for the maps

[jcwxguy]

snow just picked up here in north lincoln again

[Snowlover76]

snow just picked up here in north lincoln again

do you think we get dry slotted? 

[Jaycee]

Winds have switched gears to now NNE, meaning the banding will likely follow suit correct? If you look at radar, that heavy band over Lancaster has a tilt that would support it lagging over us til the low eventually pushes east, if so, the dry slot over Neb City would follow what the RGEM showed.

[jcwxguy]

just measured between 6 and 7 

[jcwxguy]

do you think we get dry slotted? 

gonna be close, edit, but i think we do for a little bit

[FarmerRick]

the Low is moving a bit slower than I'd like it to.  Areas to the nw of Lincoln/Omaha look like they should stay in the heavy snow.

[jcwxguy]

Winds have switched gears to now NNE, meaning the banding will likely follow suit correct? If you look at radar, that heavy band over Lancaster has a tilt that would support it lagging over us til the low eventually pushes east, if so, the dry slot over Neb City would follow what the RGEM showed.

we would want N or NNW

[james1976]

Snowing very very hard. Its a wet snow. Temp is 30. Already 1.6" and it just started!

[hlcater]

I've had 5 rhunderclaps out here. Truly amazing

[CentralNebWeather]

Large band moving in. Could be 1-2 inch rates an hour with gusts of 55 mph. It looks like snowmagedden here

[jcwxguy]

so far wind guests of 41mph here

 

[Snowlover76]

yea, the dryslot is gonna hit lincoln.  D****T