Gradient Keeper Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 2:20 AM near West Gresham Temp: 53.8 with a drippy, light rain falling. .04" for the day so far and 3.59" for the month now. So much for that decent weekend we were supposed to have. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 6z GFS Day 1-5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 Day 6 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 Day 7 (Past 4 runs) 850s Western Canada (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 Day 8 Ohhh.... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 Day 9'er Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 Day 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 Another GFS Op run with a very strong 1050mb+ Canadian high leading to big time Fraser winds, and ripping Gorge winds too! 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 6z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 5 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 The coldest ensembles yet for the Gorge and Columbia Basin. Nice chunk of chilly members. 1 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terreboner Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 4 hours ago, Gradient Keeper said: Day 10 Shorts and t-shirt weather in Denver. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 4 hours ago, Gradient Keeper said: 6z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 11" of snow in Vancouver BC! 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 The models are sure struggling with the details of the upcoming block. All runs show very cold air in BC and a very strong surface high, however. 3 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 4 hours ago, Gradient Keeper said: Another GFS Op run with a very strong 1050mb+ Canadian high leading to big time Fraser winds, and ripping Gorge winds too! Strong gorge winds will be fun! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 5 hours ago, Gradient Keeper said: 6z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals Christmas comes early. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 It's coming into view..... 2 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 11 hours ago, Gradient Keeper said: 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals Still aways out but I can get behind this. Currently 54 degrees and overcast. 1 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 10 hours ago, Doinko said: Clown Range is fun but gotta understand it's too far out to get your hopes up. 3 1 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 So far so good on the 12z GFS. At least as far as Weatherbell has updated. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 1 minute ago, LowerGarfield said: Clown Range is fun but gotta understand it's too far out to get your hopes up. It's likely some kind of a cold snap is going to happen. Just based on the PNA and EPO forecasts that would be pretty hard to escape. As always the all important details are as clear as mud. 1 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 The 12z still digs out over the ocean too much, but less than the 0z and 6z as the second trough unfolds. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 9 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said: Still aways out but I can get behind this. Currently 54 degrees and overcast. Sounds like July 3 was. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 Damn that is an impressive blob of cold air! 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 Just now, Mr Marine Layer said: Sounds like July 3 was. That was an impressive cold shot. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 Was a blustery SE wind at the lake this morning but dry. Raining a bit back here at home. .03” so far on the day, 3.27” for the month, 37.88” for the year. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 Very interesting. 2 2 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 5 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Very interesting. Shows snow in the Sound with temps around 32 and mid-upper 20s in SW BC and NW WA, 925mb temps around -2 to -5 as well. 5 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 I have to say the suspense is killing me on how this is going to unfold. Potential for something pretty special for so early. Interestingly November cold snaps aren't terribly common in La Nina seasons. 4 2 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I have to say the suspense is killing me on how this is going to unfold. Potential for something pretty special for so early. Interestingly November cold snaps aren't terribly common in La Nina seasons. Assume we get to this point - whats best case evolution for the pattern from there forward? Avoid a ridge bridge, another shot of cold air makes its way around the ridge and the existing trough kind of sucks back up northwards and the two pieces of energy meet over the PNW while the ridge resets in the right spot? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 GEMMY 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 Really cold run for Seattle. Afternoon temps in the low to mid 30s on day 9. Impressive! 2 5 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 6 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Assume we get to this point - whats best case evolution for the pattern from there forward? Avoid a ridge bridge, another shot of cold air makes its way around the ridge and the existing trough kind of sucks back up northwards and the two pieces of energy meet over the PNW while the ridge resets in the right spot? That's about right. Impossible situation to have any kind of confidence. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 5 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: GEMMY Impressive evolution. 4 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 7 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Assume we get to this point - whats best case evolution for the pattern from there forward? Avoid a ridge bridge, another shot of cold air makes its way around the ridge and the existing trough kind of sucks back up northwards and the two pieces of energy meet over the PNW while the ridge resets in the right spot? That or that lob of arctic air pinches off over Tim's house and forms a nice displaced polar vortex and new glaciers in North Bend. either one 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 3 minutes ago, Eujunga said: You need to understand that model-riding, like gambling, isn't really about results. It's about the thrill of anticipation. It's about chasing the high. Everyone knows that any given model run showing snow is unlikely to pan out, just as any spin of the roulette wheel is unlikely to come up on your number. The excitement itself is the goal. The next model run to get excited about is never more than 6 hours away, and hey, if the snow and cold it depicts happen to come true, that's just icing on the cake! We need a roulette emoji 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 Nice to be back model riding for snow instead of model riding for normal fall rain. 7 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 Oh?? 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 Spokane still running a whooping +7.2 on temps for October. good grief 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 Could be a wet/dry Veteran’s Day… 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 11 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Oh?? nvm this sucks 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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