November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember

[Guest administrator]

1 hour ago, joelgombiner said:

True, haha, I eventually stopped following him because he was so unbearable. 

Before he blocked me (I liked a tweet that called him out for defending the Sharpe), he sent me an expletive laden message to kill my self. Ryan seems like a great guy.

[Phishy Wx]

48 minutes ago, antipex said:

3” yesterday here - 6.5” for the season so far. We missed out on some of the snow just before the arctic front a few weeks ago.

I'm talking temps, -8.2 on temps.  snow seems a little above normal at this point,  I edited the OP

[RentonHill]

Day 10 GEFS has much better staying power with the 850s compared to 00z and 06z, thought the intermediate term did show the same pullback as the OP.

[Phishy Wx]

2 hours ago, Gradient Keeper said:

The GFS Super Ensemble analog composite Day 6-10, 8-14 looks outstanding. 1972, 2008!

oof no on that 72.  gross only 16" of snow on the season here.  one of the worse on record,  more 2008 please 1990 was about normal

[RentonHill]

Lots of members floating down to -10 to -15 after Day 8

[Hawksfan2008]

in the GEM

[Slushy Inch]

1 minute ago, Hawksfan2008 said:

in the GEM

I saw that, looks great!

[SouthHillFrosty]

2 minutes ago, Hawksfan2008 said:

in the GEM

The GEM is the one true king

[Joshua Lake Oswego]

1 hour ago, Nov1985 said:

Yes, modified arctic front at 200 hours which is lala for GFS... Will it be there at 100 hours? We've seen this movie before. 

Just 10 days out ᵗᵐ

[Slushy Inch]

3 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

Just 10 days out ᵗᵐ

GFS OP is far off from GEFS for that system, something to keep in mind.

[Snownerd3000]

5 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

The GEM is the one true king

[Slushy Inch]

11 minutes ago, Hawksfan2008 said:

in the GEM

Also relocates the north pole to B.C at end of the run.

[SouthHillFrosty]

2 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

If the GEM leads the way, I’ll leave this forum and join the Canadian forum. MBG

[Phishy Wx]

28 minutes ago, administrator said:

Before he blocked me (I liked a tweet that called him out for defending the Sharpe), he sent me an expletive laden message to kill my self. Ryan seems like a great guy.

Holy shiit,  that guy is such trash.  Blocked me on Twitter for something Climate Change related.  Can't remember the specifics, was almost 10 years ago.  Dude is such a rube

[Kolk1604]

I feel like this is going to be the best Euro run yet... and Rob will sleep through it

[Hawksfan2008]

If the Euro is close to the GEM the next drunkle run might be an all timer 

[Deweydog]

Friday has trended wetter.

[MossMan]

Tim sure has been quiet…

[Cascadia_Wx]

Some thick fog at times this morning. Haven’t seen much of that this month despite all the clear nights. Ended up falling to 37 for a low after a high of 50 yesterday.

[Cold Snap]

Got down to 39 last night. Ended up with 1.06” for the day yesterday and snuck in 0.01” around 2 am today. Probably was from the little convergence zone that formed.

[SouthHillFrosty]

[Cold Snap]

Trough comes in a little later on the 12z ECMWF compared to 00z. Still gets there though.

[Slushy Inch]

1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

OK? 

[Slushy Inch]

Looks like convergence zone.

[Deweydog]

2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Go Aberdeen!

[Slushy Inch]

[Slushy Inch]

This run is a win so far!

[Cold Snap]

1 minute ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

Kuchera is showing less but still a decent amount for snohomish county.

[Kolk1604]

Day 5!

[SouthHillFrosty]

Just now, 12345WeatherNerd said:

This run is a win so far!

Yup about to post it lol. The run to run comparison is dependent on snow  but I like how it shows overall a general pattern. No huge warm up or rug pull yet.. Still on track!

[MossMan]

If this ends up happening then all I can say is what a hell of a stretch it has been between 2016 to present! Although 16/17 was not great in my area I will count it as we did have an okayish snowfall or two. Christmas 2017 to now has been so great up here! Let’s keep it rolling! 

[Cold Snap]

Just now, SouthHillFrosty said:

Yup about to post it lol. The run to run comparison is dependent on snow  but I like how it shows overall a general pattern. No huge warm up or rug pull yet.. Still on track!

Looks like it will actually be cold enough to snow in that convergence zone so I don’t think it’s phantom snow.

[Slushy Inch]

Heavy breathing intensifies.

[SouthHillFrosty]

Nope

[SouthHillFrosty]

Need that low to come in a lot lower….. still got time

[Slushy Inch]

2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Nope

A lot of potential as it drops south.

[Kolk1604]

3 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Nope

Your early. 850s briefly warm but drop after this 

[Slushy Inch]

1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said:

Your early. 850s briefly warm but drop after this 

850s fall of a cliff!

[Deweydog]

2010!!!

[Cascadia_Wx]

It’s over!!!/just starting!!!