snow_wizard Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Nice looking run! 5 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Just now, gusky said: Essay done. Thanks for the help @Meatyorologist I never actually banned you. The discipline came from within 1 6 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 4 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said: 00z ECMWF has the Friday low coming in well north of the 18z. Bummer. It sinks south of PDX 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Last few HRRR runs have not been promising for snow, each has a switch to rain occuring sooner. 1 2 My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 All hail Prince GFS! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Is the Euro caving…… 3 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 5 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said: 00z ECMWF has the Friday low coming in well north of the 18z. Bummer. I think it will come out fine. 4 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Just now, Meatyorologist said: I never actually banned you. The discipline came from within Haha, well played. 1 1 My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 2M temps 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said: Timing is sped up, and cold air dynamics are a bit better. Some 33/30 type spreads during heavy precip. Could get around 4-6" on the high end now IMO I realize it won't reach 8.8 depth. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 The Euro may try here 4 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Snowier over the weekend as well 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 2 minutes ago, gusky said: Last few HRRR runs have not been promising for snow, each has a switch to rain occuring sooner. I've seen enough of these. I probably get screwed tomorrow night while NW King County gets the goods. I'm thrilled about the prospects for here Wednesday night and Thursday though. 4 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 5 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: I'll take that 8.8 inches over me, highest EURO has shown yet! Yuck, that Olympic shadow is brutal. The GFS would have this area at 2~4" of accumulation in Victoria, while the ECMWF and WRF have effectively zero snowfall. At least the ECMWF actually looks reasonable over the Fraser Valley. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Meatyorologist Posted November 29, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 1 minute ago, gusky said: Last few HRRR runs have not been promising for snow, each has a switch to rain occuring sooner. Ignore it. HRRR is out of wack with marginal stratoform events. It was spitting out 40/34 type spreads in the midst of the 12/24/2017 snow event...while it was snowing... 10 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Last 3 runs snowier for 24 hour period saturday 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: It sinks south of PDX It does but almost all the precip is done just as it gets cold enough and the low is far enough south. This track will result in lots of wet snow and rain/snow mix but little to no accumulation. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CliffMassYelledAtMe Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 30 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Like a claw scooping up cold from Alaska and stretching out to scratch us with its cold talons. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 00z Euro Day 5: 4 Run Trend: 1 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 1 minute ago, gusky said: Last few HRRR runs have not been promising for snow, each has a switch to rain occuring sooner. This ran warmer and higher dew points today. Think it's off. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 1 minute ago, Perturbed Member said: It does but almost all the precip is done just as it gets cold enough and the low is far enough south. This track will result in lots of wet snow and rain/snow mix but little to no accumulation. Yeah temps 34-36, but with that east wind I have to wonder. If the runs continue to trend colder the next 48 hours that too could make all the difference. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post snow_wizard Posted November 29, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Actually an insanely good run. Shaping up to be an extraordinary event for early December. 11 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 What a sadistic run for PDX lol 1 1 1 2 2 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 hmmmmmm 4 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 5 minutes ago, gusky said: Last few HRRR runs have not been promising for snow, each has a switch to rain occuring sooner. HRRR is Garbage 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Just now, Gradient Keeper said: Yeah temps 34-36, but with that east wind I have to wonder. If the runs continue to trend colder the next 48 hours that too could make all the difference. I think you guys are still in the running. Anything south of Portland would be a real stretch though. 4 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfylicious Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Down to 25/23 here. Cozy. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 5 minutes ago, gusky said: Last few HRRR runs have not been promising for snow, each has a switch to rain occuring sooner. One thing is will say about the HRRR is that it was a fun model when it first came out. But then when it start to show little to no consistency, people tend to ignore it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 4 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Ignore it. HRRR is out of wack with marginal stratoform events. It was spitting out 40/34 type spreads in the midst of the 12/24/2017 snow event...while it was snowing... what is your preferred rapid 1 hour hi res model? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Meatyorologist Posted November 29, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 This run looks super good for the weekend. Might actually become a thing now 12 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 I have no vested in NW King County for FWIW. I really think that area does well tomorrow night. 2 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Pretty awesome tonight watching it snow a bit outside while watching the models run. Things are looking pretty good right now. Not a fan of the trend with the low going up far enough north to kinda scour out the cold air here and in BC (from an 850mb perspective still chilly at the surface) but I’ll always take short term improvements and hope the stuff down the road trends better. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said: hmmmmmm 2 1 1 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 HRRR sniffed out the 3" I got today when all other short term models were showing little to nothing, maybe a 1/2" 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Just now, Meatyorologist said: This run looks super good for the weekend. Might actually become a thing now I've had a feeling about that for a couple of days. The block moves into a nice position. 6 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeepFriedEgg Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Man that low track is going to have to be perfect for PDX snow on Friday 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 4p Friday to 4am Sunday, 24-hr Kuchera snowfall 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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