January 2017 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

[HighlandExperience]

No longer looking like a devastating ice storm for Portland, either. Some ice tomorrow, but nothing overall like what was being shown yesterday.

 

Even for Portland this doesn't seem that impressive anymore. Atlanta, and Tampa Florida getting more snow. Zimbabwe too. 

[Dave]

 

 

I've got a frog signature.  It's all but a lock now for snow.

 

This is an unproven theory.  I'm pretty sure you need a froggy as your avatar.

[Deweydog]

No longer looking like a devastating ice storm for Portland, either. Some ice tomorrow, but nothing overall like what was being shown yesterday.

Yeah, looks fairly manageable at this point. Most areas away from the river should moderate too enough during the day tomorrow to keep impacts in check.

[TT-SEA]

Looks like back edge of precip coming through Eugene now.

[Front Ranger]

Even for Portland this doesn't seem that impressive anymore. Atlanta, and Tampa Florida getting more snow. Zimbabwe too. 

 

At one point, it was looking like they could have steady to moderate freezing rain from late this afternoon until late tomorrow night or even Monday morning. Looks like considerably less now.

[FroYoBro]

Coming down the hardest it has all day. The ground is starting to get pretty snowy. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

K-Falls gusting out of the south to 40 mph now. 

[Deweydog]

18z gets pretty chilly.

[The Swamp]

Looks like back edge of precip coming through Eugene now.

Good. Now it can slide off to the SE and I don't have to stare into the street lights tonight.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The 18z then drops a small low in for another 1-3" across NW Oregon on Thursday morning. That would be more insult to injury for Puget Sounders.

[Dave]

It's pretty easy to see the progression of the storm up the valley simply by looking at the accidents on tripcheck.

[Deweydog]

The 18z then drops a small low in for another 1-3" across NW Oregon on Thursday morning. That would be more insult to injury for Puget Sounders.

Those lows have popped up here and there for weeks.

[Front Ranger]

18z gets pretty chilly.

 

-13C to BLI, -11C to SEA with legit Fraser outflow on Thursday.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Next Saturday looks almost exactly like today...

[HighlandExperience]

The 18z then drops a small low in for another 1-3" across NW Oregon on Thursday morning. That would be more insult to injury for Puget Sounders.

Thursday morning is an eternity from now. I'm sure Portland NWS will hype it up though.

[FroYoBro]

Next Saturday looks almost exactly like today...

 

This winter is just like Groundhog Day

[Perturbed Member]

Even for Portland this doesn't seem that impressive anymore. Atlanta, and Tampa Florida getting more snow. Zimbabwe too. 

 

I honestly don't think anything all that impressive has happened in Portland this entire season. I'm not sure why a lot of WA posters seem  to think we've been scoring big here. Eugene and areas south have been doing really well, but not us. 

 

For all this talk of snow in Portland, I have just a dusting today and the back edge of the precip is already on radar. 

[Jesse]

Coming down moderately now. Would be nice to see this keep up for a few hours.

[bainbridgekid]

My friend just posted a picture of her standing on Greenlake and said people were skating "out in the middle."

Just got home from skating on a good sized pond near my house.

 

Despite the lack of snow, this has been a pretty impressive coldsnap and it is nice to get some fun out of it.

[Jesse]

My friend just posted a picture of her standing on Greenlake and said people were skating "out in the middle."

 

Just got home from skating on a good sized pond near my house.

 

Despite the lack of snow, this has been a pretty impressive coldsnap and it is nice to get some fun out of it.

Nope, this sucks, life sucks, I luv snow.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I honestly don't think anything all that impressive has happened in Portland this entire season. I'm not sure why a lot of WA posters seem  to think we've been scoring big here. Eugene and areas south have been doing really well, but not us. 

 

For all this talk of snow in Portland, I have just a dusting today and the back edge of the precip is already on radar. 

 

Salem and EUG were the big winners with snow. It is sleeting here now, but apparently it is still snowing down in Silverton. 

[Brennan]

-13C to BLI, -11C to SEA with legit Fraser outflow on Thursday.

 

Could have some serious ICE on Lake Whatcom by next friday. Which is insane because there was considerable ice on the northern end two mornings ago, and probably again this morning. As disappointing as all of this LACK of snow has been up here, the persistent cold IS somewhat fascinating. It's almost as fascinating as having it be below freezing for like 3 weeks and only get a few inches of snow. 

 

For those who know nothing about Lake Whatcom... It's a 14 mile long lake with 3 basins, increasing in depth from north to south. The north end has a maximum depth of 100', which is the area that ice began to expand on. 

 

The only years I know of that featured Ice coverage on the north end of the lake of any kind were years like 1989, 1969, 1950, 1916 etc...  In 1950 the first two of three basins froze over completely from one side to another.... I guess what I'm trying to say is the fact that there is any ice at all is pretty astounding and hasn't happened in over 25 years. 

[The Swamp]

My friend just posted a picture of her standing on Greenlake and said people were skating "out in the middle."

 

Just got home from skating on a good sized pond near my house.

 

Despite the lack of snow, this has been a pretty impressive coldsnap and it is nice to get some fun out of it.

 

That does sound like a really fun time.

 

Be very careful though.  If the ice isn't thick enough you could die.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

The latest HRRR shows some snow showers quickly working their way up the east side of Vancouver Island this evening (wasn't showing anything like that before), otherwise things have really trended drier over the next 12~24 hours.

[Front Ranger]

Could have some serious ICE on Lake Whatcom by next friday. Which is insane because there was considerable ice on the northern end two mornings ago, and probably again this morning. As disappointing as all of this LACK of snow has been up here, the persistent cold IS somewhat fascinating. It's almost as fascinating as having it be below freezing for like 3 weeks and only get a few inches of snow. 

 

For those who know nothing about Lake Whatcom... It's a 14 mile long lake with 3 basins, increasing in depth from north to south. The north end has a maximum depth of 100', which is the area that ice began to expand on. 

 

The only years I know of that featured Ice coverage on the north end of the lake of any kind were years like 1989, 1969, 1950, 1916 etc...  In 1950 the first two of three basins froze over completely from one side to another.... I guess what I'm trying to say is the fact that there is any ice at all is pretty astounding and hasn't happened in over 25 years. 

 

Good chance this ends up as the coldest 6 week period the PNW has seen since 1978-79.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Some very light snow here.

[FroYoBro]

It sounds like sleet is mixing in now. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I am looking forward to it not being quite so cold. The week straight of sub-freezing highs with 6"+ snow on the ground has made it a huge pain in the a** from the perspective of caring for my livestock. Not only making sure the sheep have enough food, but also making sure everyone's water bowls and troughs aren't constantly iced over. 

[Front Ranger]

Heavy snow/sleet in Salem per my brother.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

I am looking forward to it not being quite so cold. The week straight of sub-freezing highs with 6"+ snow on the ground has made it a huge pain in the a** from the perspective of caring for my livestock. Not only making sure the sheep have enough food, but also making sure everyone's water bowls and troughs aren't constantly iced over.

 

Yeah busting the ice in the horses water trough is not fun.

[James Jones]

Good chance this ends up as the coldest 6 week period the PNW has seen since 1978-79.

 

November-December 1985 was pretty chilly, though obviously December was mostly fake cold.

[Perturbed Member]

Looks like T-1 inch for PDX will probably be the final snow total. Warm nose is not far from SLE now and the precip is going to end soon. 

 

I think  Dewey called for T-1, nicely done. Just couldn't get good enough consistent precip rates to accumulate much.

[crf450ish]

I am looking forward to it not being quite so cold. The week straight of sub-freezing highs with 6"+ snow on the ground has made it a huge pain in the a** from the perspective of caring for my livestock. Not only making sure the sheep have enough food, but also making sure everyone's water bowls and troughs aren't constantly iced over.

http://www.globalindustrial.com/p/storage/bins-totes-containers/stocktanks/2x2x4-galvanized-hog-waterer?infoParam.campaignId=T9F&gclid=CMaCzOSPsdECFcGXfgodw8wLUQ

 

https://goo.gl/images/cHT1Bp

[HighlandExperience]

[crf450ish]

I don't think Jim is going to post again this winter until he's got 2" minimum of snow on the ground in his yard

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I switched back from sleet to snow a bit ago and the temp dropped 2 degrees too. Wasn't expecting that. 

[Perturbed Member]

Wasn't rod hill calling for 4 inches

 

Several days ago he went crazy and said maybe 6 inches, but then he lowered it to 1-3 inches. PDX NWS went with 2-4 this morning. I was feeling pretty good about 1-2 inches but this precip just doesn't' have the ooomph to get this done. Not able to really overcome the dry gorge winds which keep eating away at the moisture. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Heavy snow/sleet in Salem per my brother.

 

My friend in S. Salem just measured 3" 

 

2" Silverton

 

1 1/2" Mt. Angel 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Several days ago he went crazy and said maybe 6 inches, but then he lowered it to 1-3 inches. PDX NWS went with 2-4 this morning. I was feeling pretty good about 1-2 inches but this precip just doesn't' have the ooomph to get this done. Not able to really overcome the dry gorge winds which keep eating away at the moisture. 

 

The NWS made an assumption based on a false premise. 

[FroYoBro]

More snow than sleet now with this heavier band coming through. Getting close to half an inch on the deck.