VancouverIslandSouth Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 993mb low into central Oregon Tuesday. -euro The southward track sure has it moving rapidly, it's as if the block collapses on it and ejects it through the path of least resistance. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 Precip amounts on the cold side of that midweek low are trending more towards pathetic anyways. It doesn't look likely to be a >2" setup for anyone on the westside at this point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 Precip amounts on the cold side of that midweek low are trending more towards pathetic anyways. It doesn't look likely to be a >2" setup for anyone on the westside at this point. Models have been all over the place. Tonights euro just brings the low in way too far south. Plenty of changes to come I'm sure over the next 72 hours. Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 The southward track sure has it moving rapidly, it's as if the block collapses on it and ejects it through the path of least resistance.Really looking to be a great winter in southern Oregon ..I hope Portland can get some too. Seems like they are so close but so far from something good. They are due! I think this next week will be much better down there! Fingers crossed for our neighbors! 2 Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 Models have been all over the place. Tonights euro just brings the low in way too far south. Plenty of changes to come I'm sure over the next 72 hours.It's not a low position issue. It's a system issue as the low is decaying and not really wrapping up with any significant deformation in a borderline air mass. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 Models have been all over the place. Tonights euro just brings the low in way too far south. Plenty of changes to come I'm sure over the next 72 hours. More latitude would definitely help at face value, but the juicier solutions shown on some earlier runs look to be backing off. No one would do too great with the 00z GFS or 00z Euro. Which corresponds with the idea of a weaker, filling low. And of course weaker usually means southward as well. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 Really looking to be a great winter in southern Oregon ..I hope Portland can get some too. Seems like they are so close but so far from something good. They are due! I think this next week will be much better down there! Fingers crossed for our neighbors!This is worse. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 Love this. I hope you guys can actually finally score down there. It is looking pretty good right now. Do you really? Sarcasm? How much have you had to drink? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 Well, it is not that bad you get used to it after a few years of it happening multiple times. at least it was close and you may have more chances coming up. Fingers crossed! Well tomorrow's another day with a new set of possibilities. Might even get some good old fashion rain; I'm starting to miss it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 Really looking to be a great winter in southern Oregon ..I hope Portland can get some too. Seems like they are so close but so far from something good. They are due! I think this next week will be much better down there! Fingers crossed for our neighbors!This block must die. Time to start over! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 00Z ECMWF does show about an inch of snow across most of the King County on Tuesday morning. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 This is worse.Just have come to accept what we get or don't get does not matter. I really do hope you can score down there. It's all okay. Let's see how the winter plays out maybe we will all do well. Time will tell. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 00Z ECMWF does show about an inch of snow across most of the King County on Tuesday morning.Maybe that will entice snowwiz back Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 Do you really? Sarcasm? How much have you had to drink? yes I really do and nothing to drink. Just accepting the fact it is what it is and just letting the passion and hope go. I really do like to see others do well and our time will come some day. It's all good! 1 Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 Well tomorrow's another day with a new set of possibilities. Might even get some good old fashion rain; I'm starting to miss it. 00Z ECMWF shows 3-4 inches of snow over a good part of Vancouver Island tomorrow... except right near the water. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 Maybe that will entice snowwiz back Not sure... its very quick moving so not sure its accurate. And it still shows upper 30s that day so it would be gone rather quickly. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 Well tomorrow's another day with a new set of possibilities. Might even get some good old fashion rain; I'm starting to miss it.Yep... some rain would be a nice change for awhile then back to cold and snow later on I hope. Fun to see how it plays out. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
van city Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 00Z ECMWF shows 3-4 inches of snow over a good part of Vancouver Island tomorrow... except right near the water.Can you post the Snowfall map. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 Well today definitely panned out as forecast. Winter Storm Warning said 3-6 inches, I got 5" today. Most interesting was the part entering the snow event. It was still arctic with temps below 10 when it started to snow. (just yesterday I had a low of -19 with a high of 7, hadn't cooled much that next evening/night, stayed above 0.) Then quickly climbed from 14-32 degrees from 7:53am to 9:53am. Eventually light rain fell in the afternoon, occasionally mixing with flakes at 34-37 degrees. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 22 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, 5/15, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lisa0527 Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 00Z ECMWF shows 3-4 inches of snow over a good part of Vancouver Island tomorrow... except right near the water.Just wondering what it show for Vancouver tomorrow? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 Can you post the Snowfall map. Through Monday morning... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 Well today definitely panned out as forecast. Winter Storm Warning said 3-6 inches, I got 5" today. Most interesting was the part entering the snow event. It was still arctic with temps below 10 when it started to snow. (just yesterday I had a low of -19 with a high of 7, hadn't cooled much that next evening/night, stayed above 0.) Then quickly climbed from 14-32 degrees from 7:53am to 9:53am. Eventually light rain fell in the afternoon, occasionally mixing with flakes at 34-37 degrees. You'll end up freezing that solid and getting a couple inches on top. The one thing about Klamath is you probably won't get a big rain to wash it all away...Over here we often get a "pineapple express." Or.... 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 00Z ECMWF shows 3-4 inches of snow over a good part of Vancouver Island tomorrow... except right near the water. It's going to be pretty borderline here in Victoria even away from the water, we don't have the optimal setup for cold damming but we are in the path of the outflow. I did just take another look out and it is snowing lightly here right now at 38F, amazing the temperatures snow can fall at with dry air. Oddly enough the dewpoint has fallen while the temperature hasn't budged a bit under steady precipitation. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 More latitude would definitely help at face value, but the juicier solutions shown on some earlier runs look to be backing off. No one would do too great with the 00z GFS or 00z Euro. Which corresponds with the idea of a weaker, filling low. And of course weaker usually means southward as well. Yeah great point, didn't even notice the strength of the low or lack thereof. Point still being though that these are some pretty small changes that could shift our way or not over the next 72 hours. Still not really a trend one way or another, yet. 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 You'll end up freezing that solid and getting a couple inches on top. The one thing about Klamath is you probably won't get a big rain to wash it all away...Over here we often get a "pineapple express." Or.... Yeah, mostly true. I recall a few all-day moderate rain events in winter here but definitely no where close to a real express in Portland. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 22 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, 5/15, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 Yeah great point, didn't even notice the strength of the low or lack thereof. Point still being though that these are some pretty small changes that could shift our way or not over the next 72 hours. Still not really a trend one way or another, yet. Yeah, it will change again before Tuesday night for sure. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 You'll end up freezing that solid and getting a couple inches on top. The one thing about Klamath is you probably won't get a big rain to wash it all away...Over here we often get a "pineapple express." Or.... What a well timed photo. Lol 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 What a well timed photo. Lol That is the famed Mark Nelsen from his younger years... I've seen it has been pretty cold out in Oklahoma, but a big warm up is on the way. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 Euro says Alaska may have some winter. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 Rod Hill has foreseen something... http://www.portlandweather.com/assets/images/7DayForecastTemplatePM.jpg "WEDNESDAY: A good chance of snow, heaviest in the morning, 2-4" of possible accumulation. " Book it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 Rod Hill has foreseen something... http://www.portlandweather.com/assets/images/7DayForecastTemplatePM.jpg "WEDNESDAY: A good chance of snow, heaviest in the morning, 2-4" of possible accumulation. " Book it. Nice!!! Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 Rod Hill has foreseen something... http://www.portlandweather.com/assets/images/7DayForecastTemplatePM.jpg "WEDNESDAY: A good chance of snow, heaviest in the morning, 2-4" of possible accumulation. "[/size] Book it. [/size]That dude is crazy. I have seen him drink more than any other person i know. At one time he was sponsored by Budweiser. 3 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 Things still look shitty for western washington... next! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luterra Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 00Z Euro brings the midweek low through Tuesday afternoon, never really reloads the Columbia basin cold pool, then sends warm air up to 60º latitude by hour 240. Uncertainty is the rule... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 Things still look shitty for western washington... next!Yah... but at least we may have a chance at some point. Lots of winter left and things could change. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 Euro says Alaska may have some winter.The beginnings of our 1989 redux at the end of the month. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 The beginnings of our 1989 redux at the end of the month. The blast will initiate on January 29th and I will be stranded in Kansas City at one of the crummiest airports in America until crews can clear the runway at PDX. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DareDuck Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 Well today definitely panned out as forecast. Winter Storm Warning said 3-6 inches, I got 5" today. Most interesting was the part entering the snow event. It was still arctic with temps below 10 when it started to snow. (just yesterday I had a low of -19 with a high of 7, hadn't cooled much that next evening/night, stayed above 0.) Then quickly climbed from 14-32 degrees from 7:53am to 9:53am. Eventually light rain fell in the afternoon, occasionally mixing with flakes at 34-37 degrees.Got about 6" in Bend. Snow depth is up to 2' with snow banks lining the streets of 3-5'. Got up to 16 around 10am then dropped to 9 throughout most of the day, now at 5. Hoping the transition from snow to rain is quick tomorrow because there could be significant damage from ice on all this snow. Quote Bend, ORElevation: 3550' Snow History:Nov: 1"Dec: .5"Jan: 1.9"Feb: 12.7"Mar: 1.0"Total: 17.1" 2016/2017: 70"2015/2016: 34"Average: ~25" 2017/2018 Winter TempsLowest Min: 1F on 2/23Lowest Max: 23F on 12/24, 2/22Lows <32: 87Highs <32: 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 That is the famed Mark Nelsen from his younger years... I've seen it has been pretty cold out in Oklahoma, but a big warm up is on the way.Going to be nice for a few days. Got a few days to prepare for what looks like a January 2009 repeat. Going to be disgusting. 2.5 inches of ice is devastating out here in the wooded areas where I live. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted January 8, 2017 Report Share Posted January 8, 2017 28 degrees and raining here. The roads are a sheet of ice. Will be interesting to see how things play out during the day. The gradient through the gorge is at 13 mb, strongest in years. Crown Point gusted to 89 mph. Won't be getting many reliable wind speeds soon as things ice up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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