Gradient Keeper Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: There it is, Dewey! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: There it is, Dewey! 12/16/1996…. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Signs of block retrogression at the end of the run too. Could be a top tier cold Dec after a top tier cold Nov. That coming after a very top tier warm Jul - Oct. Wowzers. 9 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: There it is, Dewey! The 96 analog is intriguing. 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 3 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: There it is, Dewey! I don't think that means January will be 2006 like though. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 5 minutes ago, Winterdog said: 37 here. Hope we will see better runs in the future. The surface will be cold. Remember cold winters are usually different variations of a cold theme. 2 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North_County Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 8 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: You were dang close! BLI-YWL -26mb! -26mb is getting into "uh oh, this could be dangerous" territory locally. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The surface will be cold. Remember cold winters are usually different variations of a cold theme. Hoping that low just sitting offshore on this Euro run can come to the OR/CA border and deliver a snowstorm for the Willamette Valley. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I don't think that means January will be 2006 like though. Highly doubtful. 2 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Just now, Doinko said: Hoping that low just sitting offshore on this Euro run can come to the OR/CA border and deliver a snowstorm for the Willamette Valley. WA/OR border would work for me. 4 2 1 4 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeepFriedEgg Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Wow that GFS run was nutty. Insane cold pool. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 13 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: That is one serious inversion situation at the end of the ECMWF. Temps being shown for SEA at that time are way too warm for some reason. ICON bias 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, Doinko said: Hoping that low just sitting offshore on this Euro run can come to the OR/CA border and deliver a snowstorm for the Willamette Valley. Not really a big widespread snowstorm setup. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Just now, ShawniganLake said: Not really a big widespread snowstorm setup. Yeah it doesn't look that great for snow at this point but maybe if something like yesterday's 12z euro happens we could see something. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 One year ago today was warning shot number one…Then #2…Then #3…Then pure bliss! 7 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 6 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: When the Euro and the GFS are this far apart this chart is pretty much meaningless 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 00z EPS thru day 12 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 00z CMCE also has a monster low level cold pool Gorge, Columbia Basin! 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 This just has a certain beauty to it. Truly incredible. 4 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Okay I know this is a ways out there, but this is interesting. The Op, EPS mean and Control are all similar. But check out where the Control is going at the end 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Just now, snow_wizard said: This just has a certain beauty to it. Truly incredible. The Control might give you a stiffy 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Nice! One step closer. Ya gotta believe!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2022 Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 7 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: Okay I know this is a ways out there, but this is interesting. The Op, EPS mean and Control are all similar. But check out where the Control is going at the end could it possibly be... a christmas miracle maybe? 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 EPS ends with the strongest signal for the cold to be in the West. 2 1 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Something truly special is happening this season. 3 3 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice_is_Everywhere Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 10 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: Okay I know this is a ways out there, but this is interesting. The Op, EPS mean and Control are all similar. But check out where the Control is going at the end must. not. get. excited. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2022 Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 1 minute ago, Ice_is_Everywhere said: must. not. get. excited. definitely one of those runs you see and then checkout for a week and check back in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Teleconnections are great on the EPS. PNA has trended down the past few runs. Later in the month yesterday's 0z had PNA +0.5, 12z, -0.5, tonight's 0z -1.0. EPO is also quite low long with that. 2 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeepFriedEgg Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 The control at -40  26 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: 00z CMCE also has a monster low level cold pool Gorge, Columbia Basin!  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 I was pretty sure yesterday that we were going to get more snow before drying out... that is looking much less likely tonight. 1 1 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice_is_Everywhere Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 5 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: Oh, how I wish this wasn't clown range. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 I am exhausted, so I won't be here for the Night Shift 6z GFS run. I'll see you all later today maybe for 12z, and definitely for the 00z. Have a good night. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 The blocking has been crazy since late spring... and continues unabated. That can mean warm or cold but tends to lead to cold in the winter due to inversions and the opposite in the warm season. I continue to think the unprecedented level of stratospheric water vapor is at least partially involved. Its pretty silly to mock it and just assume this would not have any impact on weather patterns. 5 3 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Even tonight there are several places in the 0 to 10 range in the Okanogan. Amazing. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 36 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: The blocking has been crazy since late spring... and continues unabated. That can mean warm or cold but tends to lead to cold in the winter due to inversions and the opposite in the warm season. I continue to think the unprecedented level of stratospheric water vapor is at least partially involved. Its pretty silly to mock it and just assume this would not have any impact on weather patterns. That is a very extreme anomaly alright. This could end up being a huge thing for us. Also worth noting there has been no sign of any global warming from the water vapor yet. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Sadly... the 00Z ECMWF shows basically no lowland snow for the entire run. Maybe the next round will come right before Christmas. 1 1 1 1 2 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bishbish777 Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 06Z NAM crushes the entire Puget Sound Friday/Saturday. The track doesn't look too far off from other models...it's not outside the realm of possibility.. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts