PNW December 2022 - Part II

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

I'm also thankful precip amounts are light during the potential ice window.  Looks like this will be very enjoyable overall if this run is correct.

Yeah... that makes a huge difference.   We get an awesome week of winter weather and it looks like a pretty gentle warm up without being destructive.    At least that is how it has been trending.  

[Rubus Leucodermis]

5 minutes ago, Parrot said:

With November's event, i was at 80' in Edmonds, got nothing. 3 blocks up had 2" and 3 blocks up from that had 4". Elevation matters lol

I had 2 to 3 times as much snow as Downtown and the West End late last month. I’m both higher in elevation and further inland.

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

Similar deal here. Around an inch or so on the ground at my place. 2-3" at my friend's house on Maple Leaf hill around 400'.

We never had more than 2” of snow depth at a time that week but it was still pretty solid. 

[Requiem]

1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said:

Could we get one of these for PDX?

[Slushy Inch]

[Parrot]

Just curious, how do I add a signature? I just want people to know where I'm reporting from if I report anything

[Kolk1604]

1 minute ago, Requiem said:

Could we get one of these for PDX?

 

[Kolk1604]

4 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

Quite the bump up isn't it?

Uhh yeah 

[snow_wizard]

It appears the EPS has settled into a groove of just tiny adjustment now at least into Wednesday.

[SnowPlz]

My iPhone weather app when it starts snowing on Tuesday 

[snow_wizard]

3 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Ice is one of those things though where even a tiny amount causes huge issues.

A little bit is ok as far as tree damage though.  That is my big concern here.

[LowerGarfield]

1 minute ago, Parrot said:

Just curious, how do I add a signature? I just want people to know where I'm reporting from if I report anything

Go click on your name and go to account settings. Then select signature and it will ask you to set it up and then save.

[Requiem]

2 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said:

 

It's not awful, but man.... 

[Slushy Inch]

1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said:

Uhh yeah 

I was talking about EPS, control look good too.

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said:

Uhh yeah 

Wowzers!

[Nov1985]

5 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I'm also thankful precip amounts are light during the potential ice window.  Looks like this will be very enjoyable overall if this run is correct.

If it has to come, 1am to 4am ain't a bad time. The power might go out some places, but few clueless folks on the road. Light accumulation most spots except Olympia area and the usual suspects in/near Oregon.

[OysterPrintout]

16 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said:

Yep, ain't easy being a Portland area weanie the past few years. Didn't you get at least a few inches this season being on the west hills though?

Eventually we will get a 1/2004, 12/2008, 2/2014 or 1/2017 caliber event again....

He's done really well compared to most of us over the last few years, lot of elevation dependent events. I've even done relatively ok in downtown/SE. West and South side metro have to be the worst since 2017.

[Kolk1604]

1 minute ago, Requiem said:

It's not awful, but man.... 

 Been there many times. Arctic air, cold for days, freezing my balls off. But just too D**n dry and then warms up 

[TacomaWx]

Should be a fun day tomorrow quite a few people will probably get snow especially up north. Precip has kinda looked scattered on the models down in the south sound but we will see if there’s any surprises. 

[Slushy Inch]

4 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said:

Uhh yeah 

Can't wait to see Meteogram.

[Jbolin]

6 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said:

Uhh yeah 

 

[OysterPrintout]

1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said:

 Been there many times. Arctic air, cold for days, freezing my balls off. But just too D**n dry and then warms up 

that's not really what this is in pdx

[Terreboner]

11:15 PM

Amateur hour has commenced.

Let's find something else to do.  The weather is going to weather and nothing will be resolved this late night.

Have a great night everyone and let's all listen to some Steve Perry!!!!!

[VancouverIslandSouth]

See the effect of cold Arctic air streaming over the relatively warm NE Pacific waters. Lots of offshore snow squall development out there. There's some very cold air blasting off the Central BC Coast now, currently 21F at Bella Bella down from 34F about 7 hours ago. Closer to home, Chilliwack is now into the outflow, but it doesn't appear to have reached Abbotsford yet, shouldn't have much trouble getting to the north sound at this rate. I've got to think the very long nights at this time of year give it a bit of extra push.

[TacomaWx]

Going to be getting cold in whatcom county soon. 

[thickhog]

4 minutes ago, OysterPrintout said:

He's done really well compared to most of us over the last few years, lot of elevation dependent events. I've even done relatively ok in downtown/SE. West and South side metro have to be the worst since 2017.

PDX snow desert

[snow_wizard]

3 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Should be a fun day tomorrow quite a few people will probably get snow especially up north. Precip has kinda looked scattered on the models down in the south sound but we will see if there’s any surprises. 

King County looks good tomorrow night as well.

[Gradient Keeper]

All ensembles show a major arctic blast Gorge/east. Bring it on.

I need massive sleep. No night shift for me and heck not even sure about 12z GFS.

[TT-SEA]

Just now, snow_wizard said:

King County looks good tomorrow night as well.

Definitely... ECMWF was improved. 

[Perturbed Member]

2 minutes ago, OysterPrintout said:

He's done really well compared to most of us over the last few years, lot of elevation dependent events. I've even done relatively ok in downtown/SE. West and South side metro have to be the worst since 2017.

Yeah I'm in the west metro. It has been pretty rough here after 2017. Had plenty of events before that where we did pretty well but unless you live in the coast range, the west end of town has been screwed pretty bad in recent years. The south metro is even worse. I think south PDX metro to SLE is probably more due than anywhere else around here. 

Regardless of how well I do though, I just like those widespread events where the entire area scores and the termps are not borderline. That is asking quite a lot of our marginal climate though. 

[TacomaWx]

Just now, snow_wizard said:

King County looks good tomorrow night as well.

The precip overall on most of the models looks fairly disorganized…some are a bit better. I’m betting most of them are under doing it a bit though. 

[snow_wizard]

Just looked at the end of GFS.  Wow!

[bishbish777]

I don't think Tuesday/Wednesday is set by any means. Overall track of the system still seems really variable. Could easily be too north or south for the Sound to do well.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Cold in Northern BC, -23F at Dease Lake currently

[LowerGarfield]

I'm going to bed. Currently 24F. Hopefully my sick child continues to sleep. He went to sleep at 11am and we got him up about 4:30pm for two hours while catching up on Survivor and has been asleep the last 5 hours. Wish me luck in getting some sleep. It is certainly cold out. Another sub freezing high likely in the books. Have had quite a few this week.

[TT-SEA]

Wednesday and Thursday are going to be gorgeous in the Seattle area... snow on the ground and cold and partly to mostly sunny.    There are high clouds on Thursday per the ECMWF but overrunning precip does not arrive until Friday morning now.

[Gradient Keeper]

Good night.

[Requiem]

12 minutes ago, OysterPrintout said:

He's done really well compared to most of us over the last few years, lot of elevation dependent events. I've even done relatively ok in downtown/SE. West and South side metro have to be the worst since 2017.

I've undoubtedly done better than a lot of people south and west metro, but I'd daresay there really haven't been too many events that were significantly boosted by my elevation save for April 2022 and a couple early February 2019 snow skiffs. We do pretty badly with most of those onshore flow foothill snow events.

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, bishbish777 said:

I don't think Tuesday/Wednesday is set by any means. Overall track of the system still seems really variable. Could easily be too north or south for the Sound to do well.

Its hard to ignore the ECMWF within 3 days... but I guess it would be nice to have the GEM and GFS on board.    Both of those are way north on Tuesday.  

[Poulsbo Snowman]

6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Wednesday and Thursday are going to be gorgeous in the Seattle area... snow on the ground and cold and partly to mostly sunny.    There are high clouds on Thursday per the ECMWF but overrunning precip does not arrive until Friday morning now.

Agreed, but I think the cold air will hang on until Saturday.