jaster220 Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 It's been raining buckets here all morning long...waves and waves of heavy rain with rumbles of thunder. This stationary boundary is working its magic across N IL. After all the sunny, warm days in September, I forgot how dreary cloudy days can get. Great day to catch up on the DVR and watch some flicks!Omg it's a complete deluge out there! Upgraded to a Flood Warning now. Reports of cars stuck in street flooding in Kzoo. Somehow, ive managed to stay north of the front so I'm getting these +RN showers on a Gusty NE wind and a chilly 60 degs to boot. F-cast high is 71 for comparison. If I get anything like this in winter, look out! The National Weather Service in Grand Rapids has issued a * Flood Warning for... Calhoun County in south central Michigan... Van Buren County in southwestern Michigan... Kalamazoo County in southwestern Michigan... * Until 400 PM EDT Sunday * This replaces the Flood Advisory. * At 400 PM EDT, flooding was occurring across the Kalamazoo metropolitan area with vehicles becoming stuck on flooded roads. Road closures are ongoing. Between 2 and 5 inches of rain has fallen across the region since this morning with another 1 to 2 inches or more of rain expected through tonight. This will bring storm total rainfall to the region of 3 to 7 inches by Sunday morning. Both urban and rural areas will experience flooding with some roads becoming water covered up to the depths of headlights. Motorists should heed all road closures and be prepared to find alternate routes. * Some locations that will experience flooding include... Kalamazoo, Portage, Albion, Marshall, South Haven, Paw Paw, Van Buren SP, Westwood, Battle Creek, Vicksburg, Hartford, Galesburg, Mattawan, Lawton, Bangor, Decatur, Homer, Union City, Schoolcraft and Climax. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 @ map above Note the HP due north over The Sault ONT region, just like last storm. Seems a recurring theme.. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 14, 2017 Author Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 ORD broker a daily record today: With already 2.10" of rain at O'Hare today as of 1pm, #Chicago shattered previous 10/14 daily record rainfall of 1.15" set in 2003. #ilwx 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 You guys are getting it good over there. Just checked my gauge and .40" so far today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 Now at 1.06″ of rain for this event. Light rain here with a temperature of 61° Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 14, 2017 Author Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 I don't think I have ever seen the Chicago river flood over its banks....Riverwalk is flooded... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 14, 2017 Author Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 Tornado Watch's hoisted for MO/IL and extreme SE IA...very nasty line of storms is erupting...looks like the main event is spawning several severe cells and its trajectory is up towards N IL. Tornado warnings near Macomb, IL.... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 14, 2017 Author Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 This has been a prolific rain producing system...another 1-3" expected on top of the already 3-5" totals in NE IL... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 Lots of rain here today in SEMI. Raining all day continuously. Dint check because I was too busy today, but, definitely ova an inch of water fell. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 Tornado Watch's hoisted for MO/IL and extreme SE IA...very nasty line of storms is erupting...looks like the main event is spawning several severe cells and its trajectory is up towards N IL. Tornado warnings near Macomb, IL....Geez...I thought that you were referring to Macomb, MI for a sec..... 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 If we get these kind of storms in the Winter and have cold air around...look out. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 Asos saying 1.26" total as of 14:34 The updated NWS graphic is even more impressive. Must be legit, cuz GRR is usually the last regional office to bring any wind headlines to a party. Tab3FileL (1).pngTo all Michiganders on here, hold on to your hats tomorrow.....winds will be very strong!!!! 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Lots of rain here today in SEMI. Raining all day continuously. Dint check because I was too busy today, but, definitely ova an inch of water fell.Gotta be close to 2.5" here now. Shoulda checked my gutters but a day ago this was a MISS north!! 61 all we've managed - 10 degs shy of fcast, ofc a spike towards midnight is not outta the question. Flood, T-storms, and a windstorm tomorrow! Man, did this boring SMI pattern flip hard this week! 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Geez...I thought that you were referring to Macomb, MI for a sec..... Lol Gotcha!! 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Gotta be close to 2.5" here now. Shoulda checked my gutters but a day ago this was a MISS north!! 61 all we've managed - 10 degs shy of fcast, ofc a spike towards midnight is not outta the question. Flood, T-storms, and a windstorm tomorrow! Man, did this boring SMI pattern flip hard this week!Exactly...my local weatherman sounded so definite that everything (especially the heavy precip) will bypass to my north. Well, well, well....looks like they were wrong. I guess this might be a good sign for our Winter. I think we are done with any type of boring weather here in SMI, especially as we head into November. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 15, 2017 Author Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 I just witnessed the craziest clap of thunder I've ever heard. It sounded like a single shot mortar firework x10 blowing up in the sky. It had to be a block away from my place as there was no delay in the lighting/thunder...almost instantaneous. http://climate.cod.edu/data/nexrad/LOT/N0Q/LOT.N0Q.20171015.0035.gif 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 I just witnessed the craziest clap of thunder I've ever heard. It sounded like a single shot mortar firework x10 blowing up in the sky. It had to be a block away from my place as there was no delay in the lighting/thunder...almost instantaneous. http://climate.cod.edu/data/nexrad/LOT/N0Q/LOT.N0Q.20171015.0035.gifImpressive........Hopefully, that heads my way! Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Close to 0.8 inches of rain today so far. Looks like a line of showers/storms is forming to my west along the cold front. Winds are really picking up behind the front, 22mph now in Des Monies. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 15, 2017 Author Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Close to 0.8 inches of rain today so far. Looks like a line of showers/storms is forming to my west along the cold front. Winds are really picking up behind the front, 22mph now in Des Monies.Where are you located again? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Where are you located again?I live in Cedar Rapids, Iowa. I have to ask the Chicago members, is there any particular reason as to why Chicago always bests Iowa in terms of rainfall totals and severe weather? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 15, 2017 Author Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 I live in Cedar Rapids, Iowa. I have to ask the Chicago members, is there any particular reason as to why Chicago always bests Iowa in terms of rainfall totals and severe weather?No particular reason, it's just unlucky placement of the storm track. I remembered back in the day, IA was on a roll stealing snow storms from us consistently. Can't remember exactly what year (s) those were. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Still raining outside, wow. Very impressive rainfall tally's, I would imagine. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 @ Tom How much rain did ya pick up from this rainstorm?! I am thinking definitely more than an inch of water. I haven't checked, but, I am for sure approaching more than 1.50". Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 15, 2017 Author Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 @ Tom How much rain did ya pick up from this rainstorm?! I am thinking definitely more than an inch of water. I haven't checked, but, I am for sure approaching more than 1.50".Prob close to 3.5”...haven’t checked the latest measurements nearby. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Can anyone in Chicago confirm the radar estimates of 6+ inches? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Can anyone in Chicago confirm the radar estimates of 6+ inches?Not a Chicago report, but downstream in SWMI it did hit that: Flood StatementNational Weather Service Grand Rapids MI858 PM EDT SAT OCT 14 2017 MIC025-077-159-152000-/O.CON.KGRR.FA.W.0002.000000T0000Z-171015T2000Z//00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/Calhoun MI-Van Buren MI-Kalamazoo MI-858 PM EDT SAT OCT 14 2017 ...A FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM EDT SUNDAY FORCALHOUN...VAN BUREN AND KALAMAZOO COUNTIES... At 852 PM EDT, Doppler radar and ground truth reports indicate up tonearly 6 inches of rain fell earlier today and this evening. Theheaviest rain fell from Keeler in Southwest Van Buren County,through Kalamazoo to just south of Battle Creek. Another wave of heavy rain and thunder was over the Chicago regionas of 9 PM EDT and will move into Southwest Michigan after 10 PM.This wave could add an additional 1 to 2 inches of rain to alreadysaturated soils. Additional flooding remains a threat. Some locations that may experience additional flooding include...Kalamazoo, Portage, Albion, Marshall, South Haven, Paw Paw, VanBuren State Park, Westwood, Battle Creek, Vicksburg, Hartford,Galesburg, Mattawan, Lawton, Bangor, Decatur, Homer, Union City,Schoolcraft and Climax. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 This system dropped a disappointing 0.73" in my yard. The expected 2+ inch band of rain just ended up splitting north and south. The nw wind is beginning to pick up a bit. Gusts could be hitting 30 mph in a few hours. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 It's been a soggy night as training showers/storms have already dumped .84" at ORD with up to 1.7" in some spots locally. Latest RPM model is targeting SE IA/N IL/ S MI with the heaviest rains... Looks like even short term guidance may have been a bit light..just like Tue No particular reason, it's just unlucky placement of the storm track. I remembered back in the day, IA was on a roll stealing snow storms from us consistently. Can't remember exactly what year (s) those were. 09/10, and Dec '12 bliz iirc Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Brrr! https://m.facebook.com/snowdayweather/photos/a.705056969562705.1073741825.122352087833199/1477808722287522/?type=3&source=48&ref=page_internal&__tn__=EH-R I remember in Flint back in '89 kids had 39 degs and a strong wind for trick-or-treating. Coldest I remember downstate. This Euro map looks chilly too. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Its going to be raining all night. Ton of moisture still to come. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Prob close to 3.5”...haven’t checked the latest measurements nearby.Just checked...my area is @ 1.77" and still raining. I am seeing easily going above 2". Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Brrr! https://m.facebook.com/snowdayweather/photos/a.705056969562705.1073741825.122352087833199/1477808722287522/?type=3&source=48&ref=page_internal&__tn__=EH-RDang! Brrr Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 This system dropped a disappointing 0.73" in my yard. The expected 2+ inch band of rain just ended up splitting north and south. The nw wind is beginning to pick up a bit. Gusts could be hitting 30 mph in a few hours.My rainfall has been @ 1.77" so far. I should surpass the 2" mark, for sure. Yup..its going to get real windy, especially on Sunday. My winds could gusts above 40mph. Temps also plummet in the pm hour as well. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 ame="Tom" post="261995" timestamp="1507985916"]It's been a soggy night as training showers/storms have already dumped .84" at ORD with up to 1.7" in some spots locally. Latest RPM model is targeting SE IA/N IL/ S MI with the heaviest rains... Looks like even short term guidance may have been a bit light..just like Tue 09/10, and Dec '12 bliz iircToms place is bullseye. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Its going to be raining all night. Ton of moisture still to come.Massive system too, must be radar lit up for a 1,000 miles. STJ that rarely works out in winter may come thru this year. 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Massive system too, must be radar lit up for a 1,000 miles. STJ that rarely works out in winter may come thru this year.Exactly, can you imagine if this was all snow. You and I would be digging out from near more than a foot of snow and still snowing with grand tallys at 2'+. Tom would be digging out from 3ft+. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 This has been a prolific rain producing system...another 1-3" expected on top of the already 3-5" totals in NE IL... That shows the STJ and the PJ getting close to each other. Would they have phased if it was winter, or is this a semi-phased storm now? Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Both GEFS and EPS ensemble means (and GFS Fantasyland) are showing first flakes around here with the projected end of the month cold blast. Means nothing obviously as it is 13 days out, but still fun to picture and definitely a possibility. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Both GEFS and EPS ensemble means (and GFS Fantasyland) are showing first flakes around here with the projected end of the month cold blast. Means nothing obviously as it is 13 days out, but still fun to picture and definitely a possibility.Speaking of.. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 15, 2017 Author Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Can anyone in Chicago confirm the radar estimates of 6+ inches?ORD picked up a record 4.19" of rain yesterday...the southern suburbs got hit the hardest 8.44" in Somonauk...a general 5-7" on rain on the south side... Awesome lighting shot... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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