PNW January 2023 Observations and Discussion

[TacomaWx]

12 hours ago, Cold Snap said:

Love how you used a lighter with a toker poker for a size comparison.

Lmao! Yeah I went outside to smoke and it just went crazy with the graupel/snow. I was not expecting that at all. Always great to be surprised even if it ain’t much. 

[Skagit Weather]

7 hours ago, SnowWillarrive said:

BTW this is the nearby Lynch Glacier at the end of the summer. WA cascades are just amazing. Nothing like them in lower 48. 

This is the Lynch Glacier in 1963. Just a small bit of melting since then (all the ice at the bottom of the image is where the lake is today).

[TacomaWx]

34 DP of 25. We will see if we can keep it sub 40 today. Technically it wasn’t legit snow but the snow/graupel last night was definitely enough to be considered a trace accumulation. Pretty awesome to see considering I expected absolutely nothing last night. 

[Kayla]

Dropped down to -17F here this morning. Slight breeze overnight which kept the wind chill around -30F throughout the night.

Currently -13F.

[MossMan]

2 minutes ago, Kayla said:

Dropped down to -17F here this morning. Slight breeze overnight which kept the wind chill around -30F throughout the night.

Currently -13F.

Got a spare room for me, my wife, 2 kids, 3 dogs, and 15 fish? I’m loading the U-Haul as we speak. 

[TacomaWx]

14 hours ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Heavy graupel/snow. Ground is covered!

Wow! Wasn’t that crazy here but close. Atleast we got something out of this busted “event”

[Rubus Leucodermis]

25 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Pics from yesterday evening.  I'm on gold mountain looking west towards the hood canal and the Olympics. 

I remember seeing cloud formations like that during Fraser outflow conditions when I lived on Bainbridge.

[Kayla]

3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Got a spare room for me, my wife, 2 kids, 3 dogs, and 15 fish? I’m loading the U-Haul as we speak. 

That's a lot of fish!

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Got a spare room for me, my wife, 2 kids, 3 dogs, and 15 fish? I’m loading the U-Haul as we speak. 

15 fish??   

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

15 fish??   

That is not a particularly large number.

[Kayla]

Looks like Elk Park MT dropped down to -45F this morning.

 

[MossMan]

Already up to 25.5. Must be the ever increasing sun angles. 
My grass should be fairly nuked by the end of this dry blast. Going to be a gorgeous day though! 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

By the way, I did see the comet earlier this morning, but it wasn’t worth the lost sleep and freezing my keister off to see. It was very faint. Binoculars necessary.

[MossMan]

8 minutes ago, Kayla said:

That's a lot of fish!

Yeah…It was just 4 fish about 6 months ago…They keep multiplying!! 

[MossMan]

11 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

That is not a particularly large number.

It is with a small tank lol! And there could be more, I lost track. Anyone know of a fish spay/neuter clinic in the area?

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Next weekend looks nice and mild.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

It is with a small tank lol! And there could be more, I lost track. Anyone know of a fish spay/neuter clinic in the area?

Guppies, I presume?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Another decent GFS run. It’s coming. 

[MossMan]

15 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Guppies, I presume?

Just cleaned the tank a little over a week ago and it’s already terrible again…The poor snail cannot keep up! Going to clean it before the game starts today. 

[ShawniganLake]

11 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Another decent GFS run. It’s coming. 

We need an active pattern. The snow pack in BC is in rough shape, With the exception of the Okanagan. 

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Just cleaned the tank a little over a week ago and it’s already terrible again…The poor snail cannot keep up! Going to clean it before the game starts today. 

We gave up on fish because it was too much work to keep the tank clean.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Really enjoy this electric bike I got.

I've ridden dirt bikes since I was 6 years old and I'm 50 now! This is the first battery powered bike I've owned and it's impressive. So far the range is pretty good I'd say, yesterday I left my house on a full charge and when I got back I was at 53% battery and had gone 19.3 miles of aggressive trail riding at a fast pace. A few things that are different is the weight, this thing is light at only 123lbs! To give you a idea for comparison.

Adult full size dirt bike like a 250 2 stroke is about 225lbs.

Kids 85 cc 2 stroke motocross bike about 155lbs.

Riding it feels more like a mountain bike bicycle than a dirt bike.

Power is decent and has a bunch of low end torque like anything electric has.

Top speed in stock form is 48 mph with the stock gearing but I've geared mine way down for much more low end power and torque, my top speed is only 36mph but it gets there in  hurry! 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Really enjoy this electric bike I got.

I've ridden dirt bikes since I was 6 years old and I'm 50 now! This is the first battery powered bike I've owned and it's impressive. So far the range is pretty good I'd say, yesterday I left my house on a full charge and when I got back I was at 53% battery and had gone 19.3 miles of aggressive trail riding at a fast pace. A few things that are different is the weight, this thing is light at only 123lbs! To give you a idea for comparison.

Adult full size dirt bike like a 250 2 stroke is about 225lbs.

Kids 85 cc 2 stroke motocross bike about 155lbs.

Riding it feels more like a mountain bike bicycle than a dirt bike.

Power is decent and has a bunch of low end torque like anything electric has.

Top speed in stock form is 48 mph with the stock gearing but I've geared mine way down for much more low end power and torque, my top speed is only 36mph but it gets there in  hurry! 

I bet it’s quiet, too. And 36 mph is plenty fast for the back roads.

[TT-SEA]

PV is still solid at the end of the 12Z GFS... actually better shape than it is right now.    I don't think we are going to be getting any help from a SSW event.  

 

[snow_wizard]

Dropped to a nippy 25 here last night.  A delightful crisp, cold, sunny day out there.

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

PV is still solid at the end of the 12Z GFS... actually better shape than it is right now.    I don't think we are going to be getting any help from a SSW event.  

 

The 500mb PV is what ultimately matters and it gets booted out of Canada.

[TT-SEA]

Just now, snow_wizard said:

Ther 500mb PV is what ultimately matters and it gets booted out of Canada.

Pretty sure 500mb is not the stratosphere.    I don't think a SSW event is coming.

[snow_wizard]

8 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Really enjoy this electric bike I got.

I've ridden dirt bikes since I was 6 years old and I'm 50 now! This is the first battery powered bike I've owned and it's impressive. So far the range is pretty good I'd say, yesterday I left my house on a full charge and when I got back I was at 53% battery and had gone 19.3 miles of aggressive trail riding at a fast pace. A few things that are different is the weight, this thing is light at only 123lbs! To give you a idea for comparison.

Adult full size dirt bike like a 250 2 stroke is about 225lbs.

Kids 85 cc 2 stroke motocross bike about 155lbs.

Riding it feels more like a mountain bike bicycle than a dirt bike.

Power is decent and has a bunch of low end torque like anything electric has.

Top speed in stock form is 48 mph with the stock gearing but I've geared mine way down for much more low end power and torque, my top speed is only 36mph but it gets there in  hurry! 

Electric motors are incredibly strong and useful in a number of applications.  My main problem is when the government tells me I have to use an electric car.

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Pretty sure 500mb is not the stratosphere.    I don't think a SSW event is coming.

It already happened.  This is for the 10mb level for 65N to 90N and it suddenly warmed.

[snow_wizard]

15 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

We gave up on fish because it was too much work to keep the tank clean.

I've always thought that would be a drag.

[snow_wizard]

Here's another view of the SSW.  Pretty amazing!

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

It already happened.  This is for the 10mb level for 65N to 90N and it suddenly warmed.

I understand... but that is completely irrelevant if it does not impact the lower atmosphere. 

[snow_wizard]

50 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

By the way, I did see the comet earlier this morning, but it wasn’t worth the lost sleep and freezing my keister off to see. It was very faint. Binoculars necessary.

I totally forgot to check on that last night.  Tonight should be a great night too, but it sounds like it's not worth the trouble.  What part of the sky and what time did you see it?

[MossMan]

Conflicting Reports! 

[snow_wizard]

6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I understand... but that is completely irrelevant if it does not impact the lower atmosphere. 

I was simply addressing the fact a lot of people don't seem to think it actually happened.  As of now it remains to be seen if it will actually disrupt the 500mb PV or not.

[snow_wizard]

Another GFS run that strongly hints things might get good after Feb 10.

[Cascadia_Wx]

There was a SSW this week, the Cascade glaciers are actually growing,  and our winters are getting colder. People need to stop just seeing what they want to see!

[joelgombiner]

Beautiful morning. Dry, northerly flow in late January is hard to beat! Especially after the dismal grey we've been having.  

[snow_wizard]

7 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

There was a SSW this week, the Cascade glaciers are actually growing,  and our winters are getting colder. People need to stop just seeing what they want to see!

The SSW happened.  See proof that I posted.  I have also repeatedly bemoaned the melting of the Cascade glaciers.  I think you are guilty off seeing what you want to in my posts.

[BLI snowman]

Over/under 45 at PDX today!!?