PNW January 2023 Observations and Discussion

[BLI snowman]

1 hour ago, MossMan said:

Nice little event that was! 

Looks like that one mostly screwed you, judging from the 6" or so I see in the pic.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

00Z Euro really isn’t that different from the 18Z IMBY tonight.

[WeatherGeek2022]

14 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Really cold fart from the Hudson Bay PV

lol brace for impact maine

[BLI snowman]

Looking like our run of fabulous Febs may be in danger.

[Gradient Keeper]

3 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Looking like our run of fabulous Febs may be in danger.

Maybe. Nah. As long as we don't have dry split-flow we'll be okay.

[Gradient Keeper]

11 PM Peter Sinks -51, 24hr ago -35

[snow_wizard]

GEFS looking really decent later in the run.

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said:

11 PM Peter Sinks -51, 24hr ago -35

We need about 3 or 4 of the shivering guys for that.

BTW I saw a couple of -35s in Idaho last night.  Wicked cold!

[LowerGarfield]

20F outside. Subfreezing day once we hit midnight.

[snow_wizard]

30.0 here.  Not bad for being cloudy.

[snow_wizard]

Loving how the GOA ridge just sits there and pumps up on this GEFS run.

[snow_wizard]

Nice run to run change.  Might be something.

[Gradient Keeper]

4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Loving how the GOA ridge just sits there and pumps up on this GEFS run.

Yeah definitely improved. Looks ripe with potential.

Night Shift 6z GFS in 3 hours 4 minutes

[Rubus Leucodermis]

05Z HRRR lookin' good.

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GEFS much improved. It's not there yet, but ripe with potential.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Eastern Oregon this morning. 

[Gradient Keeper]

00z ECMWF Day 1-10

[snow_wizard]

The ECMWF shows New England going from torch to ridiculous cold to torch again in about 5 days time.   The TPV finally gets the boot and shredded.

[snow_wizard]

21 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

00z GEFS much improved. It's not there yet, but ripe with potential.

The ECMWF at day 10 is very interesting.  Building GOA ridge and a deep trough digging over the NW Pacific.  We might be in for something pretty decent.

[Gradient Keeper]

00z ECMWF. Much improved Euro run in terms of La Nina pattern returning.

10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals

[SilverFallsAndrew]

8 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

00z ECMWF. Much improved Euro run in terms of La Nina pattern returning.

10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals

Anything better than that trash GFS run. 

[Gradient Keeper]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Anything better than that trash GFS run. 

That's the spirit!

12z GFS in 8 hours 8 minutes

[WeatherGeek2022]

at least we won't be the only weenies torching on the west coast

[Gradient Keeper]

11:45 PM Peter Sinks -54, 24hr ago -38

[Skagit Weather]

21 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

11:45 PM Peter Sinks -54, 24hr ago -38

Sounds like someone is running an experiment with liquid nitrogen at the weather station. It's only 87 degrees warmer here at the moment. So I'm closer to the all-time Washington record high right now than I am to the temperature in a sheltered Utah location. Pretty crazy.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Currently 38 in downtown Las Vegas. 

[Gradient Keeper]

39 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Currently 38 in downtown Las Vegas. 

Lots of cold hookers on the strip tonight.

Night Shift 6z GFS in 31 minutes

[Gradient Keeper]

Impressive system spinning around near Hawaii with a ton of lightning.

[ShawniganLake]

32F with a bit of light snow starting to fall.  

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Light snow. 31.0˚F. Just a dusting so far.

[ShawniganLake]

Moderate snow.  Close to 1/2”. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

5 hours ago, Gradient Keeper said:

11:45 PM Peter Sinks -54, 24hr ago -38

Maybe this morning will be the time when they break their old record of -69 and Utah ties or bests Montana for being the coldest state in the lower 48? I know by personal experience how bitter the winters in that part of Utah can be.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

I don’t think @MossMan will get skunked on this one.

 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Latest model runs, snowfall to 10 AM today (beyond which time phantom snow becomes an issue).

[Doinko]

14 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Maybe this morning will be the time when they break their old record of -69 and Utah ties or bests Montana for being the coldest state in the lower 48? I know by personal experience how bitter the winters in that part of Utah can be.

Their temp unfortunately kind of flattened out at around -50 it seems.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Got the cut-off time wrong on those maps. Sorry. Not trying again. Going to go back to bed and get more shut-eye if I can.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Just now, Doinko said:

Their temp unfortunately kind of flattened out at around -50 it seems.

Figures. They have had over 30 years to best their old record. I think it's right around the coldest that site can get, but it would take only another 2 degrees to take the crown away from Rogers Pass, MT.

[Gradient Keeper]

Up to feed the Cat. I figured the high clouds over Washington had probably drifted south resulting in temps warmer around 31-32. NOPE! 19.9 currently! Brrrr!!!!

[Everleigh]

Currently 27.1*f here in Yelm. Radar shows snow, but that's a big fat lie! Is the costal radar still down? It's been showing up as red on my Radar Scope for a few days now....

[Gradient Keeper]

1 minute ago, Everleigh said:

Currently 27.1*f herein Yelm. Radar shows snow, but that's a big fat lie! Is the costal radar still down? It's been showing up as red on my Radar Scope for a few days now....

Yeah, KLGX is still down.