Iowawx Posted January 9, 2018 Report Share Posted January 9, 2018 I feel like this is going to go down to the wire. GFS made a large shift east. If it comes even further east by another 75 miles or so, I would be in the all snow side. Currently, models suggest my area starting off with rain then changing to mix then snow. If 00Z runs come east, could really be on to something. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted January 9, 2018 Report Share Posted January 9, 2018 Damnit i sure hope the GFS isn't on to something lol. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted January 9, 2018 Report Share Posted January 9, 2018 I doubt we'll see a significant jump at this point being this close in. I'll believe it when the hi-rez models pick up on it, but I think we'll be okay in Eastern Nebraska as of now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted January 9, 2018 Report Share Posted January 9, 2018 I have never seen so many shifts in one storm. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted January 9, 2018 Report Share Posted January 9, 2018 I have never seen so many shifts in one storm. It’s insane. If you take a consensus of all of them though we’re still in the best spot to be, given this is just outside 24 hours now. Models suck this close in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted January 9, 2018 Report Share Posted January 9, 2018 RGEM sucks but it looks super juicy, some parts of NC KS get 22". This is going to be a hell of a snowstorm for someone, I can feel it.I don't know. I don't like the rapidly weakening/elongated surface low as it moves east. It's hard to get really heavy snow when the dynamics are weakening. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted January 9, 2018 Report Share Posted January 9, 2018 It’s insane. If you take a consensus of all of them though we’re still in the best spot to be, given this is just outside 24 hours now. Models suck this close in.Yeah with the NAM has it just north and the gfs just south that would put I-80 in the middle. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 9, 2018 Report Share Posted January 9, 2018 Some of you on here are something else 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 9, 2018 Report Share Posted January 9, 2018 Some of you on here are something elseI'd love to hear your explanation. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 9, 2018 Report Share Posted January 9, 2018 http://m.startribune.com/springlike-warmth-today-404 error Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 9, 2018 Report Share Posted January 9, 2018 Im just reading thru this thread. I love it. I hope some of you score big. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted January 9, 2018 Report Share Posted January 9, 2018 I'd love to hear your explanation.don't feed the troll. Money's obviously above everyone else on this forum Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NH4NU Posted January 9, 2018 Report Share Posted January 9, 2018 Wow, SPC has a large marginal risk area stretching from Des Moines all the way back southwest to Albuquerque (includes: LNK & OMA) for Thursday. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 9, 2018 Report Share Posted January 9, 2018 GFS has gosaints in the jack band now.Im so close to it that i could literally throw a snowball and hit it. Lmao Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 9, 2018 Report Share Posted January 9, 2018 Wow, SPC has a large marginal risk area stretching from Des Moines all the way back southwest to Albuquerque (includes: LNK & OMA) for Thursday. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.htmlThundersnow potential on the table....Dynamics all over this thing. Almost reminds me of a spring storm. (Minus the cold air plunge that follows)Whoever gets under that band will be one happy camper. And it literally might only be ONE from this forum. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted January 9, 2018 Report Share Posted January 9, 2018 Thundersnow potential on the table....Dynamics all over this thing. Almost reminds me of a spring storm. (Minus the cold air plunge that follows)Whoever gets under that band will be one happy camper. And it literally might only be ONE from this forum.Yep, my thoughts exactly. Doesn’t get more stressful than this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NH4NU Posted January 9, 2018 Report Share Posted January 9, 2018 This low track is a bit concerning. http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/lowtrack_circles.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 9, 2018 Report Share Posted January 9, 2018 Thundersnow potential on the table....Dynamics all over this thing. Almost reminds me of a spring storm. (Minus the cold air plunge that follows)Whoever gets under that band will be one happy camper. And it literally might only be ONE from this forum.Eh, I think the weakening sfc low puts a sizable damper on things, just my 2 cents though. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 9, 2018 Report Share Posted January 9, 2018 This low track is a bit concerning. http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/lowtrack_circles.gifThat's misleading because it digs into central OK before lifting thru E IA to that spot in WI. 2 Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 9, 2018 Report Share Posted January 9, 2018 My link was Star / Tribune in Mpls now calling for snow to miss heart of the Cities but still saying there is a chance! Lol. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 9, 2018 Report Share Posted January 9, 2018 This low track is a bit concerning. http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/lowtrack_circles.gifThat completely contradicts every model trend that has occurred today. In fact, that looks like a track that a Euro run from last week would have taken. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 RPM model also has LNK/OMA in the bullseye, but it's a 3-4" bullseye. EDIT: Ohhhhh, that's why. It's way North with the low. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Southern shortwave will be about 90 percent over land for the 0z runs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NH4NU Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 (edited) Do any of you follow Ken Siemek on Twitter? Was the NAM he posted the 00z? https://twitter.com/KenSiemek/status/950890554107285505 Looks just like 18z but amounts deviate a bit from some sites like pivotal. Edited January 10, 2018 by NH4NU Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Do any of you follow Ken Siemek on Twitter? Was the NAM he posted the 00z? https://twitter.com/KenSiemek/status/950890554107285505 Looks just like 18z but amounts deviate a bit from some sites like pivotal.Yeah it's the 18z for sure, as much as i wish it was the 00z. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Not the 00z as it's just about ready to start. 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NH4NU Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 (edited) No snow!..through hour 18...Starting to creep into western neb at 22hr Oh and it is way north from where it was with 18z Jk all good..Looks weird though. -- Low hanging out in OK panhandle at 27hr Edited January 10, 2018 by NH4NU Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 4mb weaker at 27 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Same strength at 33 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Looks like there’s less precip and farther east through 36 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 My link was Star / Tribune in Mpls now calling for snow to miss heart of the Cities but still saying there is a chance! Lol.Star Tribune? Is their chief meteorologist a junior intern? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 ooZ nam appears slightly E with snow field... Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Star Tribune? Is their chief meteorologist a junior intern? it was a NWS MET -- I will post it now that I'am on desktop http://www.startribune.com/springlike-warmth-today-plowable-snow-and-cold-by-wednesday-night/468434923/?om_rid=1581381065&om_mid=68180425 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NH4NU Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Showing same very narrow band of heavy snow through 36hrs -- 4.7" for LNK and 4.5" OMA Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Def less precip Very very thin band of 6+ Most of eastern NE only gets 2-4 compared to 6+ on 18z and central NE gets barely anything Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NH4NU Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Model shows the Low moving from central Oklahoma to western Wisconsin in 1hr (between 34-35h) https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus®ion=us&pkg=ref_frzn&runtime=2018011000&fh=35 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 NAM is crap here. Well we will see. Around here nothing surprises me anymore. On to GFS and Canadian I guess. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Model shows the Low moving from central Oklahoma to western Wisconsin in 1hr (between 34-35h) https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus®ion=us&pkg=ref_frzn&runtime=2018011000&fh=35That’s not the actual center of the low 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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