Money Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 Ukie looks a but south from last night Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 The Canuck is relatively toasty.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 Tons of very strong members in there, if true, this thing is going northwest and nothing can stop it. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 Tons of very strong members in there, if true, this thing is going northwest and nothing can stop it.Right. I think I am gonna get liquid here at this point Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 I'll give it till 12z tomorrow to come back South. If it's still trends North, I'm punting. Soon it'll go so far North that no South trends will bring it here. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 The Canuck is relatively toasty.... Tons of very strong members in there, if true, this thing is going northwest and nothing can stop it. LOL, so much for the "seasonally adjusted Jet Stream theory"..GEM looks like a carbon copy of Dec 4-6 N MN special Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 LOL, so much for the "seasonally adjusted Jet Stream theory"..GEM looks like a carbon copy of Dec 4-6 N MN specialAnd this storm will only work on moving the baroclinic zone to the north Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLIZZARD09 Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 these are the tracks storms normally take in November ,not mid January! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 Gotta love it when the low is in your backyard. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 And this storm will only work on moving the baroclinic zone to the north these are the tracks storms normally take in November ,not mid January! But... "On an interesting note, Paducah KY received 7.1" of snow this week, (including 5PM climate report today) almost as much as their annual average of 9.1" Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 I think everyone needsvto stop freaking out lol. Its 6 days out and 12z gefs mean moved south as opposed to 6z. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 I think everyone needsvto stop freaking out lol. Its 6 days out and 12z gefs mean moved south as opposed to 6z.Nobody's really freaking out. Just commenting based on what we're seeing. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 Nobody's really freaking out. Just commenting based on what we're seeing.It's also not like what everyone is saying is false. Many of these observations are straight true when it comes to a strong system. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 I think everyone needsvto stop freaking out lol. Its 6 days out and 12z gefs mean moved south as opposed to 6z.Freaking out? What post represents freaking out? Deep down you are probably the one that is truly freaking out 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 Euro heads directly into the Iowa SLP magnet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 Euro low at 120 hours in Southwest Kansas, low at 144 hours in Northwest Missouri. Typically a very good path for Central Nebraska. Will be interesting to see the precipitation. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 Euro is slower with the SLP. Think it'll still show a snow miss for us here. Maybe some sloppy backside action. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 Wind at 144 hours over Central Nebraska is very impressive. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tabitha Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 European looking good for the Black Hills of western South Dakota.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 ******* Norfolk. Snow thieves every year. Is it looking more South to anyone? Precip shield looked every so slightly further South. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 SLp is where similar to 00z correct? At least it doesnt look any further north than it was yesterday. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 SLp is where similar to 00z correct? At least it doesnt look any further north than it was yesterday.Yeah it's literally the exact same track down here at least. Idk what I was seeing. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 I take it Southern Michigan is out at this point? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 Accumulated precip. Euro smash job. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tabitha Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 I think the major shifts (more than 100 miles north or south) are now over and what the 12z European showed will be fairly close to the final outcome (again, within 100 miles either way). The blizzard track from NE Nebraska through SE SD (including Sioux Falls)...up through Minneapolis...then the Arrowhead of Minnesota, northern Wisconsin and, of course the UP of Michigan has considerable historical climatological precedent...as many, many storms have taken that path. It is still possible that Lincoln, Omaha and, to a lesser extent, Des Moines could fall under the heavy snow band...but I would not expect anything south and east of there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 This is why i prefer clippers. Cutters rarely pan out for mby. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 Lol. Another fail Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tabitha Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 Lol. Another fail You are 75 miles from heavy snow. You don't think 75 miles is within the model's margin for error a full 5 days out? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 You are 75 miles from heavy snow. You don't think 75 miles is within the model's margin for error a full 5 days out?It's over Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tabitha Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 It's over Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V8lT1o0sDwI 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 I take it Southern Michigan is out at this point? No, Its not looking great though. Stranger things have happened. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 It's overDude you are such a troll. It's still 5 days out. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 I think the major shifts (more than 100 miles north or south) are now over and what the 12z European showed will be fairly close to the final outcome (again, within 100 miles either way). The blizzard track from NE Nebraska through SE SD (including Sioux Falls)...up through Minneapolis...then the Arrowhead of Minnesota, northern Wisconsin and, of course the UP of Michigan has considerable historical climatological precedent...as many, many storms have taken that path. It is still possible that Lincoln, Omaha and, to a lesser extent, Des Moines could fall under the heavy snow band...but I would not expect anything south and east of there.I agree. Besides a couple of minor ones,models are coming to a general consensus. Minor shifts will still happen as additional data comes out. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 It's overNice contribution. Storm cancel 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 Euro has had a west bias all winter with storms early on not to mention how strong they make them Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 Stronger high pressure to the north would help but no models are showin much of that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 Even here it doesn't look to cold during the storm this weekend. If it materializes, it would be a fairly wet snow that with strong winds could cause travel concerns. When the storm departs it is not Arctic Cold that follows. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianJK Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 Still days away but not looking so hot for Chicago and NWI peeps!!! I think we have a decent chance of thunderstorms. Pretty typical for January around these parts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted January 16, 2018 Report Share Posted January 16, 2018 I have never seen OAX post a graphic like this before........ 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.