August 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[TT-SEA]

12Z GFS is very troughy... 12Z GEM is very ridgy.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

The smoke is crazy in omak. Worst I've seen.

[Jesse]

I smell a coup for the GEM on the way.

[Farmboy]

Epic model battles. Sweet..

[TT-SEA]

Epic model battles. Sweet..

 

 

ICON has not updated since Tuesday so its no help.  

[ShawniganLake]

ICON has not updated since Tuesday so its no help.

http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=12&mod=dwd_icon&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=dwd_icon&stn2=PNM&hh2=156&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=144

[TT-SEA]

http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=12&mod=dwd_icon&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=dwd_icon&stn2=PNM&hh2=156&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=144

 

 

Thanks for the new link.

 

Its a actually a compromise... less troughy than the GFS and less ridgy than the GEM for next weekend.

[Jesse]

Anyone have the GEM ensemble chart?

[TT-SEA]

Anyone have the GEM ensemble chart?

 

 

Still shows the 00Z run on WB and that did not fully update.

[Farmboy]

ICON has not updated since Tuesday so its no help.

 

Weird, makes it more interesting, since more weight has to be placed on each upcoming run...

[TT-SEA]

Weird, makes it more interesting, since more weight has to be placed on each upcoming run...

That is just the tropical tidbits site... it has actually been running.

[Jesse]

Stressful times.

[Jesse]

The GFS ensembles remain in God’s good graces.

[Front Ranger]

I think the fact that many recent years have rapidly flipped from very dry summers to very wet falls has also warped some people's ideas of normal.

[Front Ranger]

But anyone trying to argue that they haven't been able to enjoy enough summer like warmth this year is just being ridiculous.

[TT-SEA]

I think the fact that many recent years have rapidly flipped from very dry summers to very wet falls has also warped some people's ideas of normal.

I think some of you worry too much about our ideas of normal.

[Jesse]

I think some of you worry too much about our ideas of normal.

Says the guy who obsesses endlessly over Phil’s and Jim’s weather opinions.

[TT-SEA]

But anyone trying to argue that they haven't been able to enjoy enough summer like warmth this year is just being ridiculous.

Too hot. Too smoky.

 

Not so enjoyable.

[TT-SEA]

Says the guy who obsesses endlessly over Phil’s and Jim’s weather opinions.

I said "ideas of normal".

 

Jim has a very good understanding of normal and he hates much of it.

 

And Phil thinks I live at 13,000 feet.

[Jesse]

[TT-SEA]

My relatives in flat Minnesota live at about elevation as we do here.

 

The highest point in the District of Columbia is the same elevation as North Bend.

[Farmboy]

Stressful times.

Mostly for the trees.

[Jesse]

Mostly for the trees.

Very true. They could use a good rain event. GFS ensemble hints at the possibility days 8-10.

[Deweydog]

Seems weird MTV still does Video Music Awards despite never showing music videos anymore. Thanks, climate change.

[Farmboy]

Very true. They could use a good rain event. GFS ensemble hints at the possibility days 8-10.

Or some good counseling.. Xanax maybe?

[Jesse]

Or some good counseling.. Xanax maybe?

No, probably just some rain and cooler weather.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Very true. They could use a good rain event. GFS ensemble hints at the possibility days 8-10.

Where have I heard that before? 8-10 days out. Should be the name of a film we can produce.

[Jesse]

Where have I heard that before? 8-10 days out. Should be the name of a film we can produce.

No doubt. More ridging to close the month really wouldn’t surprise me too much at this point.

[Geos]

Canadian smoke model says that the smoke from BC will be moving back in from the north and east by Sunday.

It's coming early it looks like...

 

[TT-SEA]

It's coming early it looks like...

 

vis (1).jpg

 

 

Yeah... aloft on this side for now.   Then at the surface starting tomorrow.   

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF shows a nice soaking rain for the area to the north and east of Seattle next Sunday.  

 

We need it the most... so that is nice to see.  

 

[ShawniganLake]

Yeah... aloft on this side for now. Then at the surface starting tomorrow.

The brown haze wall is just passing here. The sun is fading. Still blue skies just to my south, for now.

[Jesse]

12z Euro is troughtastic.

[Farmboy]

12Z ECMWF shows a nice soaking rain for the area to the north and east of Seattle next Sunday.  

 

We need it the most... so that is nice to see.  

 

The first of many....

[TT-SEA]

12z Euro is troughtastic.

 

You jinxed it now.   

[Jesse]

You jinxed it now.   

 

We can only pray.

[Geos]

The brown haze wall is just passing here. The sun is fading. Still blue skies just to my south, for now.

 

Hazed up here, especially north and east. Bluer skies to the south and southwest right now. Local forecast showing smoke and areas of smoke through Tuesday night...

 

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-122.23045349121092&lat=47.73285814706651#.W3h5pOhKiUk

[Geos]

New smoke post by Cliff Mass just now.

 

http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/

[VancouverIslandSouth]

The brown haze wall is just passing here. The sun is fading. Still blue skies just to my south, for now.

 

It started out with clear blue sky here, but the haze has arrived now. Going to be pretty disgusting these next few days.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

I don't think there's much in the way of cloudiness around Rathtrevor Beach, I believe this is all smoke entering the Strait of Georgia:

 

http://webcam.beachacresresort.com/webcam/current.jpg