uticasnow Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 And so it begins..... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 00z HRRR is north of 18z run. And a 974 mb low near IND. Wow 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uticasnow Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 HRRR Snow total Saturday Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uticasnow Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 HRRR Total Snowfall Ending Saturday Regional view Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uticasnow Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 21 minutes ago, uticasnow said: HRRR Total Snowfall Ending Saturday Regional view WPC Winter Storm Impacts Days 1-3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 Looks like the 00z NAM is finally starting to fall more in line toward other models. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 Nice summary from DTX (afd was a novel, lol). IF I end up with white rain, there's always the possibility of a little road trip to the good stuff However, confidence continues to increase in the following areas of the forecast... Snow will be the primary precipitation type for most of the region. The highest confidence in rain mixing in is still south of the M-59 corridor. Where rain potentially occurs, snow totals will be reduced. The Friday evening commute will be significantly impacted. The peak of the event looks to occur between 4pm-10pm. Where the heaviest snow occurs, peak hourly snowfall rates of 1-2+ inches per hour may occur. Snow character will be heavy and wet in nature, and with rapid accumulation rates, area roadways may become extremely difficult for travel. Before the evening commute and with the arrival of the precipitation shield, anticipate the potential for rapidly deteoriating conditions as snow quickly overspreads the region. At precipitation onset, a brief period of freezing rain is still possible, although trends continue to decrease in this possibility. Any freezing rain accumulations will be limited to a light glaze. Wind gusts of 35-45 mph will be possible Friday afternoon into Friday night. The combination of falling snow and gusty winds will lead to visibility restrictions. Isolated power outages will be possible with heavy wet accumulating snow coupled with the gusty conditions. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 4 minutes ago, jaster220 said: Nice summary from DTX (afd was a novel, lol). IF I end up with white rain, there's always the possibility of a little road trip to the good stuff However, confidence continues to increase in the following areas of the forecast... Snow will be the primary precipitation type for most of the region. The highest confidence in rain mixing in is still south of the M-59 corridor. Where rain potentially occurs, snow totals will be reduced. The Friday evening commute will be significantly impacted. The peak of the event looks to occur between 4pm-10pm. Where the heaviest snow occurs, peak hourly snowfall rates of 1-2+ inches per hour may occur. Snow character will be heavy and wet in nature, and with rapid accumulation rates, area roadways may become extremely difficult for travel. Before the evening commute and with the arrival of the precipitation shield, anticipate the potential for rapidly deteoriating conditions as snow quickly overspreads the region. At precipitation onset, a brief period of freezing rain is still possible, although trends continue to decrease in this possibility. Any freezing rain accumulations will be limited to a light glaze. Wind gusts of 35-45 mph will be possible Friday afternoon into Friday night. The combination of falling snow and gusty winds will lead to visibility restrictions. Isolated power outages will be possible with heavy wet accumulating snow coupled with the gusty conditions. I'm dreading the drive home tomorrow. Right about when conditions look to be at their worst. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 16 minutes ago, Hoosier said: I'm dreading the drive home tomorrow. Right about when conditions look to be at their worst. You’ll be fine. Marginal temps. Wet roads 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 1 hour ago, uticasnow said: NWS DETROIT SNOWFALL PREDICTION In light yellow for the 2nd time this season/year. For true impacts on roads and such, you want to be in the gold zone. This is reminding me of 4/2&3 '75 about a month earlier. That was very heavy wet snow, incredible rates, high winds. 18" where I was in eastern Genesee Cnty. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 2 minutes ago, Stacsh said: You’ll be fine. Marginal temps. Wet roads Daylight, road crews with nothing to do all winter over eager. Internet data feeds and radar right in the road crew trucks. There's just no element of surprise anymore for any storm to gain an advantage via surprises. Prolly never see another road closer storm in my life time. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 7 minutes ago, Stacsh said: You’ll be fine. Marginal temps. Wet roads I'll believe the wet roads when I see it. Assuming very heavy rates pan out, that will overcome marginal temps and almost any degree of preceding warmth. It was only in the upper 30s here today and cloudy. I think tomorrow is one of those days where it would stick on roads even if it had been 70 today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shakjen Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 Winter storm watch is now canceled. Lol. Models have been absolute garbage this winter. Went from 4-8” this morning to 1”. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 1 hour ago, uticasnow said: And so it begins..... This was a typical spring storm in ways but it was intense, tightly packed. For early March it’s a very strong start. The sky was an ugly green. I thought we were about to get very large hail or a tornado. Tornado sirens blared from all directions. Pretty unnerving. I only got pea size hail but it was like a cloud burst. A whale of a lot of water in this tight packed storm. It seems to be gathering strength as it progresses east. Big start for spring. 63*. Rain till about 4am High of 62 tomorrow. 2 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted March 3, 2023 Author Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 So, I log in and saw this: Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 1008 PM EST Thu Mar 2 2023 MIZ068>070-075-076-082-083-031115- /O.UPG.KDTX.WS.A.0003.230303T1700Z-230304T0700Z/ /O.NEW.KDTX.WS.W.0004.230303T1800Z-230304T0900Z/ Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- Including the cities of Howell, Pontiac, Warren, Ann Arbor, Detroit, Adrian, and Monroe 1008 PM EST Thu Mar 2 2023 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 4 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy wet snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches likely. Winds gust as high as 35 to 45 mph. * WHERE...Livingston, Oakland, Macomb, St Clair, Washtenaw, Wayne, Lenawee and Monroe Counties. * WHEN...From Friday afternoon through late Friday night. * IMPACTS...Plan on rapid deterioration of travel conditions during late afternoon. The hazardous conditions will impact the evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... Very heavy snow rates, on the order of 1 to 2+ inches per hour, are likely over a short three to six hour window. The peak rates occur Friday afternoon into Friday evening followed by moderate snow after midnight. Winds gusting to 45 mph may result in rapid reductions to visibility and isolated power outages will be possible from the cumulative impacts of accumulating wet snow and gusty winds. 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville, IL 919 PM CST Thu Mar 2 2023 .UPDATE... Issued at 918 PM CST Thu Mar 2 2023 A Winter Storm Warning is in effect along and southeast of Interstate 57, and a Winter Weather Advisory for areas along Interstate 55. All eyes are on the developing and convectively invigorated low pressure system along the AR/OK border ahead of a negatively-tilted upper-level shortwave zooming through the Southern Plains. Notwithstanding remaining modest differences in exact path and magnitude of the surface low over the next 24 hours, incoming 00Z guidance appears to be converging on a solution where the heaviest axis of precipitation will develop near Interstate 57 tomorrow afternoon and evening. (Note we are discounting the NAM/NAM3 which continue to look much too amplified, likely due to an overreaction to convection across the Southern Plains). All the ingredients for intense snow rates appear to be lining up, even if for a brief period of time, tomorrow afternoon and evening. As the low approaches tomorrow morning, a band of rain will spread northeastward into Illinois and Indiana. The rapid deepening of the low toward minimum pressure of 975-979mb will lead to intense low-level frontogenesis beneath the coupled region of 120kt 250mb upper-level jets across the Lower Great Lakes. In addition, high resolution model guidance continues to advertise a region of steep mid-level lapse rates (>7 K/km) and negative ePV overlapping the deep column of lift. Taken together, an unusually deep and strong layer of mesoscale and synoptic lift is expected to develop with upward motion magnitudes in excess of 35ubar/sec. As a result, intense forcing and wet-bulb cooling will force rain to snow within a narrow band with thundersnow and intense snow rates of 2-3"/hr (if not higher). Even with marginal surface temperatures near or just above freezing, the pure magnitude of snow rates will overwhelm roads leading to difficult to dangerous travel conditions during the Friday afternoon and evening commute. The Winter Storm Warning area represents where such a band of intense snow is most likely, and includes the I- 65/80/94 corridors through eastern Illinois and northwestern Indiana. Forecast guidance advertises strong frontogenesis extending as far north as the Wisconsin state line, though remain steadfast in a layer of dry air between 4-10kft feet chewing up all precipitation before reaching the ground. Given the intense forcing, we opted to aggressively forecast snow occurring a hair further north than guidance would suggest including across the Chicago metropolitan area overlapping the Friday afternoon and evening commutes. For these reasons, we opted to issue a Winter Weather Advisory as far north as central Cook/DuPage counties, though admittedly, how far northwest saturation will occur remains an opportunity for additional refinement. Observational trends will no doubt need to be monitored overnight and tomorrow morning as the low approaches. Updated products have been sent. Borchardt 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 This is knots, not mph 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 I have spring fever, so I'm fine with this storm missing me. However, I would love to experience the snow rates in the max band later Friday. 3 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 Ran a trend analysis on multiple models and noticed something interesting. Generally speaking, the surface low has trended stronger and SOUTH. That goes against how we typically associate these things like stronger=north and weaker=south. Those relationships often hold, but it's not always true. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 7 hours ago, Hoosier said: Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville, IL 919 PM CST Thu Mar 2 2023 .UPDATE... Issued at 918 PM CST Thu Mar 2 2023 A Winter Storm Warning is in effect along and southeast of Interstate 57, and a Winter Weather Advisory for areas along Interstate 55. All eyes are on the developing and convectively invigorated low pressure system along the AR/OK border ahead of a negatively-tilted upper-level shortwave zooming through the Southern Plains. Notwithstanding remaining modest differences in exact path and magnitude of the surface low over the next 24 hours, incoming 00Z guidance appears to be converging on a solution where the heaviest axis of precipitation will develop near Interstate 57 tomorrow afternoon and evening. (Note we are discounting the NAM/NAM3 which continue to look much too amplified, likely due to an overreaction to convection across the Southern Plains). All the ingredients for intense snow rates appear to be lining up, even if for a brief period of time, tomorrow afternoon and evening. As the low approaches tomorrow morning, a band of rain will spread northeastward into Illinois and Indiana. The rapid deepening of the low toward minimum pressure of 975-979mb will lead to intense low-level frontogenesis beneath the coupled region of 120kt 250mb upper-level jets across the Lower Great Lakes. In addition, high resolution model guidance continues to advertise a region of steep mid-level lapse rates (>7 K/km) and negative ePV overlapping the deep column of lift. Taken together, an unusually deep and strong layer of mesoscale and synoptic lift is expected to develop with upward motion magnitudes in excess of 35ubar/sec. As a result, intense forcing and wet-bulb cooling will force rain to snow within a narrow band with thundersnow and intense snow rates of 2-3"/hr (if not higher). Even with marginal surface temperatures near or just above freezing, the pure magnitude of snow rates will overwhelm roads leading to difficult to dangerous travel conditions during the Friday afternoon and evening commute. The Winter Storm Warning area represents where such a band of intense snow is most likely, and includes the I- 65/80/94 corridors through eastern Illinois and northwestern Indiana. Forecast guidance advertises strong frontogenesis extending as far north as the Wisconsin state line, though remain steadfast in a layer of dry air between 4-10kft feet chewing up all precipitation before reaching the ground. Given the intense forcing, we opted to aggressively forecast snow occurring a hair further north than guidance would suggest including across the Chicago metropolitan area overlapping the Friday afternoon and evening commutes. For these reasons, we opted to issue a Winter Weather Advisory as far north as central Cook/DuPage counties, though admittedly, how far northwest saturation will occur remains an opportunity for additional refinement. Observational trends will no doubt need to be monitored overnight and tomorrow morning as the low approaches. Updated products have been sent. Borchardt Wow, I haven't read a write-up like that in a while...just getting on the comp and combing through the data. Looks like your area right up through S/SE MI is reeling in a late season Big Dog. #thundersnow. Congrats! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 0z Euro... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 Holy smokes! Flagstaff got pummeled...tack on another 30" or so...No big deal! 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 Sheesh, I haven't seen LOT going hard on the CRIPPLING potential and Thundersnow for NW IN peeps... @indianajohn @Hoosier Quote 000 FXUS63 KLOT 031144 AFDLOT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville, IL 544 AM CST Fri Mar 3 2023 .SHORT TERM... Issued at 345 AM CST Fri Mar 3 2023 Through Saturday... Key Messages: * Due to the combination of high snowfall rates and wind gusts over 45 mph, concerns are increasing that dangerous to potentially crippling travel conditions develop this afternoon for areas east of I-57 (Winter Storm Warning) * Sharp northwest cut-off of snowfall amounts and winter impacts with the southern Chicago metro right along the gradient in snowfall totals * Confidence in the west and northwest extent of snowfall remains low and amounts could still overperform in the Winter Weather Advisory areas * Mesoscale feature could bring period of gusts to near 60 mph during the afternoon and accordingly exacerbate blizzard conditions and power outages (low confidence) * Combined liquid from snow and rain could exceed 2 inches and result in ponding in poor drainage areas and river rises generally southeast of a Pontiac, IL to Gary, IN line 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 Is a surprise Blizzard Upgrade coming in the late morning package? Quote With a deep surface low comes strong surface winds due to the tightening surface pressure gradient. Confidence is high in seeing frequent wind gusts in excess of 45 mph along and southeast of I-57. With these winds in mind, blizzard-like conditions cannot be ruled out but confidence in a longer duration and greater coverage of these conditions preclude an upgrade with this forecast package. Will note that hi-res guidance, and in particular the HRRR, is trying to resolve a mesoscale feature (possible gravity wave?) with a period of winds gusting to near 60mph this afternoon. Confidence in winds of this magnitude actually occurring is low though it will be something to monitor very closely as it would ramp up impacts a couple notches, including exacerbating blizzard-like conditions. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 My goodness, an incredible 36" one-day snowfall total at Snowbowl in Flagstaff...a whopping 322" so far this season! https://www.snowbowl.ski/the-mountain/weather-conditions-webcams/ 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 06z Euro... 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIKEKC Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 Ya know, the NAM was not too bad after all for KC. The storm is here this morning and it has been raining really good. I'm at 35 degrees. Closing in on .60 already, with what appears to be several more hours to go. The NAM was consistent with the farthest west track. The only thing the NAM misread, the thermals.....yes, kind of a big deal. But, if you know enough about March weather, you know how hard it is to get enough cold air for these storms and you knew it was going to be close. The storm we had several weeks ago in KC, 3-5" across the city, was almost identical to this storm. The NAM was aggressive with that one while others weren't. Interested in seeing what the storm does later today off to my NE. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterSquall23 Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 Birds chirping here. Outside it is very calm. 30 degrees, DP is 27. Here we go! As I write this the chirping has stopped. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tStacsh Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 I got burned on the cutoff by a few miles. Oh well. My driveway is finally clear, hoping to stay that way with minimal effort. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 Not really liking the trends. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
indianajohn Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 29 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Not really liking the trends. With the lack of cold air to work with this was bound to disappoint a lot of us. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 6 minutes ago, indianajohn said: With the lack of cold air to work with this was bound to disappoint a lot of us. Yeah, I mean I don't think that the heart of the band will have a lot of trouble cooling off sufficiently for heavy snow accumulations, but our area is getting kind of fringey as far as heavy precip. We'll see what happens though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 @Sparky, here are some photos of the surrounding mountain ranges in Fountain Hills. I can't believe it snowed on the McDowell Mtn's that border Scottsdale and Fountain Hills. It's the last photo with the towers on top of the mountain. This is pretty neat to see. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 For DTW... Metro will reside along the expect rain/snow line through much of this event. This adds a layer of complexity as to how extensive the impacts from heavy snow will be. Given some degree of trends toward a colder thermal profile, the TAF will remain more heavy handed on the snowfall aspect of this system. This may potentially support snowfall rates over an inch per hour at times. The more meaningful snowfall is forecast to arrive at metro between 18 and 19Z. I know what the models want to deliver here, and call me a skeptic, but I will have to see this to believe it wrt all the +SN and winds. We'll see. Good luck to all my fellow SMI Peeps! 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
indianajohn Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 With Current Models... might be time to throw in the towel!! doesn't look promising... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 40 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Yeah, I mean I don't think that the heart of the band will have a lot of trouble cooling off sufficiently for heavy snow accumulations, but our area is getting kind of fringey as far as heavy precip. We'll see what happens though. Everyone west of me including yby has looked golden at one point in the last 3-4 days. Now it's even slipping through your fingers?? I've really struggled to embrace this for that very reason, not to mention I had moved on from winter, lol. Currently nothing happening here yet. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterSquall23 Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 I have a feeling the banter thread might get busy. Temp is 37 here. Had flurries in the forecast just changed to light rain. Good luck to those who can squeeze out some snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 Some large flakes are mixing in here. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 38 minutes ago, jaster220 said: Everyone west of me including yby has looked golden at one point in the last 3-4 days. Now it's even slipping through your fingers?? I've really struggled to embrace this for that very reason, not to mention I had moved on from winter, lol. Currently nothing happening here yet. Good band of precip here now but sharp cutoff not far to my north. Need it to cool off more. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 3, 2023 Report Share Posted March 3, 2023 Really coming down here now. Huge flakes... almost like mini snowbombs falling from the sky. Given radar appearance, I'm getting a bit more optimistic again. Very windy in central IL with gusts near 70 mph, so those models with high gusts were onto something. 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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