January 2019 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Clock is ticking... The ice sheet should be approaching your place in three years and that will drastically complicate your efforts.

One of the most complicated parts of this home is the off grid power system. But with the technology today you can really do alot of cool stuff with the solar.

[Deweydog]

One of the most complicated parts of this home is the off grid power system. But with the technology today you can really do alot of cool stuff with the solar.

Are you closer to Republic or Tonasket?

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Only got to 44 so not too warm.  Currently 43 and damp.

[Front Ranger]

Dumping snow here and 19 degrees!! When i post up here i have to drive 10 miles to find service. You know you have it bad when you drive 10 miles to check the radar and see what all you nuts are doing on here lol.

 

Or if you drive across the state to catch a snowstorm.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Or if you drive across the state to catch a snowstorm.

 

Some people drive across the state for other thrills too.  Quite the waste of gas but there it is.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Are you closer to Republic or Tonasket?

5 miles south of chesaw. Are you familiar with the area?

[umadbro]

Some people drive across the state for other thrills too. Quite the waste of gas but there it is.

Its not a waste of gas if you enjoy doing whatever it is you're driving a long distance for.

[MossMan]

Positive spats on my way up the driveway this evening. 38 currently.

[Deweydog]

5 miles south of chesaw. Are you familiar with the area?

Kinda. When I lived over there I worked with a guy that had a place in Loomis. It was gorgeous, right on the water.

 

Have you had the cinnamon roll at the Wauconda Store?

[MossMan]

when i get my house done everyone is invited to come check it out and play in the snow if willing to make the 6 hr drive. Should be about 3 years because I'm doing it all out of pocket.

Would be the perfect place to have our first official forum meet up!!

[Jesse]

Its not a waste of gas if you enjoy doing whatever it is you're driving a long distance for.

What if it’s to tell someone that the ensembles are meh?

[Front Ranger]

Some people drive across the state for other thrills too.  Quite the waste of gas but there it is.

 

I paid $1.75/gal filling up today!

[Frontal Snowsquall]

I paid $1.75/gal filling up today!

That's cheap compared to out here in the West.

[Front Ranger]

Man, Boston area weenies have to be getting frustrated. Logan Airport has still only received 1.7" of snow on the 2018-19 season, and they are about to get screwed by yet another storm.

[Requiem]

Man, Boston area weenies have to be getting frustrated. Logan Airport has still only received 1.7" of snow on the 2018-19 season, and they are about to get screwed by yet another storm.

 

They have a gnarly windstorm for Thursday. Not snow, but at least it's something active.

[umadbro]

What if it’s to tell someone that the ensembles are meh?

K

[Esquimalt]

Man, Boston area weenies have to be getting frustrated. Logan Airport has still only received 1.7" of snow on the 2018-19 season, and they are about to get screwed by yet another storm.

Thats 1.7 inches more than what the vast majority of us have gotten

[Jesse]

K

 

I haven't gotten gas at a Circle K for a long time.

[Front Ranger]

That's cheap compared to out here in the West.

 

Yeah, I know. Gas is always cheap here, but hasn't been that inexpensive for quite some time.

[jakeinthevalley]

Some people drive across the state for other thrills too. Quite the waste of gas but there it is.

I recently drove 4 hours, one way, to the southern oregon coast to see some massive waves at Shore Acres.

 

Would anyone here storm chase in the midwest if given the opportunity? 500 mile days to chase weather would be normal.

[Gradient Keeper]

6:57 PM IR/WV Imagery
Nice little system moving towards central Vancouver Island this evening. The Latest NCEP analysis put this low at 1006mb, but this is 2 hours old. It should be worth noting that the low is 4mb stronger than 12z UW WRF-GFS modeled. Even this evenings 00z UW MM5-NAM is 2-3mb too weak. I do have to wonder if this low intensifies further than forecast as there is impressive darkening and dry slot noticeable. This won't be a wind storm, but it will bring with it some breezy to gusty conditions tonight.

 

[Requiem]

6:57 PM IR/WV Imagery

Nice little system moving towards central Vancouver Island this evening. The Latest NCEP analysis put this low at 1006mb, but this is 2 hours old. It should be worth noting that the low is 4mb stronger than 12z UW WRF-GFS modeled. Even this evenings 00z UW MM5-NAM is 2-3mb too weak. I do have to wonder if this low intensifies further than forecast as there is impressive darkening and dry slot noticeable. This won't be a wind storm, but it will bring with it some breezy to gusty conditions tonight.

 

 

It is worth noting that all mainstream models forecast gusts 30-40 in PDX and SEA.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Impressive. I'm really hoping for a January 1980 redux, though I doubt it'll happen. I'm excited to see what unfolds anyhow!

 

On another note, the PDX-EUG gradient is starting to increase.....

 

Just an FYI. The 1980 event everyone talks about was around the 10th, the one on the analog map was later in the month. It was wicked cold, but had no snow. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I paid $1.75/gal filling up today!

 

Looks like its $1.75 a gallon in Tulsa too. 

[Requiem]

Just an FYI. The 1980 event everyone talks about was around the 10th, the one on the analog map was later in the month. It was wicked cold, but had no snow. 

 

That sounds like a legitimately excellent month if it had two arctic events of note, both quite impressive!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

That sounds like a legitimately excellent month if it had two arctic events of note, both quite impressive!

 

Yes, the first one wasn't much south of PDX. The 2nd one was more of a regional event. But it was a legitimately cold January. In fact I don't think most places in the Willamette Valley south of Portland have had a colder January since. 

[VancouverIslandSouth]

6:57 PM IR/WV Imagery

Nice little system moving towards central Vancouver Island this evening. The Latest NCEP analysis put this low at 1006mb, but this is 2 hours old. It should be worth noting that the low is 4mb stronger than 12z UW WRF-GFS modeled. Even this evenings 00z UW MM5-NAM is 2-3mb too weak. I do have to wonder if this low intensifies further than forecast as there is impressive darkening and dry slot noticeable. This won't be a wind storm, but it will bring with it some breezy to gusty conditions tonight.

 

 

Over 0.6" of rain here in the past few hours. Lots of windswept rain on my walk home this evening.

[Jesse]

6:57 PM IR/WV Imagery

Nice little system moving towards central Vancouver Island this evening. The Latest NCEP analysis put this low at 1006mb, but this is 2 hours old. It should be worth noting that the low is 4mb stronger than 12z UW WRF-GFS modeled. Even this evenings 00z UW MM5-NAM is 2-3mb too weak. I do have to wonder if this low intensifies further than forecast as there is impressive darkening and dry slot noticeable. This won't be a wind storm, but it will bring with it some breezy to gusty conditions tonight.

 

It rained here earlier.

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS Day 2

 

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

It rained here earlier.

 

Are you in Vancouver or Port Townsend. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Ridge, block merger may be occurring a nad sooner.

[Front Ranger]

Yes, the first one wasn't much south of PDX. The 2nd one was more of a regional event. But it was a legitimately cold January. In fact I don't think most places in the Willamette Valley south of Portland have had a colder January since. 

 

EUG at least was colder in 1985 and 1993. Almost as cold in 2017.

 

What's really crazy is EUG was more than 2 degrees colder in Dec 2013 than Jan 1980.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 3, yep a bit sooner than 18z, 12z, and Aleutian ridge 2mb stronger.

 

[Bryant]

FWIW, there are some larger-scale parallels to that December 1996 pattern. Just a question of how far south the cold gets before the anticyclone upstream retrogrades too far W/NW and the troughing spills offshore again.

 

Bryant should be cautiously optimistic. Lol.

Just make my avatar come true and I'll never complain about the weather again lol

[Gradient Keeper]

At day 3.5 Aleutian ridge now 3mb stronger than 18z.

[Deweydog]

6:57 PM IR/WV Imagery

Nice little system moving towards central Vancouver Island this evening. The Latest NCEP analysis put this low at 1006mb, but this is 2 hours old. It should be worth noting that the low is 4mb stronger than 12z UW WRF-GFS modeled. Even this evenings 00z UW MM5-NAM is 2-3mb too weak. I do have to wonder if this low intensifies further than forecast as there is impressive darkening and dry slot noticeable. This won't be a wind storm, but it will bring with it some breezy to gusty conditions tonight.

 

Definitely bears watching.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 4

 

[Gradient Keeper]

Now the ridge/block merger is 4mb stronger than 18z with better tilt.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 4 trough digging south in central BC further west than previous runs.

[Jesse]

Are you in Vancouver or Port Townsend.

Vancouver. We were just up there for the three day weekend. Got back late last night.