January 2019 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[Deweydog]

**********ALERT***********

[Phil]

Literally the opposite of the current pattern. Lol.

[Deweydog]

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Literally the opposite of the current pattern. Lol.

You have small trees.

[MossMan]

[Phil]

You have small trees.

You have palm trees.

[Jesse]

Meh, maybe if the monster goes on a big enough tangent, then Fred can actually make use of the mod preview function. I'll gladly go on mod preview as well if it means I don't have to see the same BS everyday

Would be nice but it’s actually everyone else’s fault.

[ShawniganLake]

Hour 384. If we extrapolate, retrograde the ridge a little and build a SE ridge. We could be looking at a mega blast around hour 448.

[Bryant]

00z GFS shows the potential of a retracted jet with EHEM forcing in the tropics.

 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

The 00z GFS shows a backdoor Blast for the PNW as a massive block forms just offshore in the long range. Then we see the block start to retrograde. Great run!

 

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2019011000/348/500h_anom.na.png

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2019011000/348/850th_nb.na.png

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2019011000/384/500h_anom.na.png

[Bryant]

Phil, is it common for the MJO to play a bigger role in the upper air pattern following a warming strat / cooling equatorial troposphere? The MJO has been consistent this year, but it didn't quite have the effect I was hoping for during the last EHEM passage

[ShawniganLake]

The 00z GFS shows a backdoor Blast for the PNW as a massive block forms just offshore in the long range. Then we see the block start to retrograde. Great run!

 

Looks like 850s drop below freezing for a good 24-36hrs with that blast.

[TT-SEA]

Meh, maybe if the monster goes on a big enough tangent, then Fred can actually make use of the mod preview function. I'll gladly go on mod preview as well if it means I don't have to see the same BS everyday

 

Talking about the actual weather is such a tangent on a weather forum.

 

The heart of the matter is that you hate me so much that you intentionally launch personal attacks hoping that you get a response so that we both go over the cliff together.    You want to sacrifice yourself.   

 

It reeks of desperation.   I am not attacking anyone or telling anyone what they should like.   The conversation today was very cordial and friendly.   And then you come on and start your usual BS attacks.    

 

Its sort of entertaining to watch you swing your fists looking for a fight every day... when nobody on here is even fighting about anything.  Except for you.   

[MossMan]

Currently breezy and 47...with a few drips falling here and there.

[Bryant]

Wtf did I just read? I'll take one order of weather warfare over the Pacific NW please

[Bryant]

Talking about the actual weather is such a tangent on a weather forum.

 

The heart of the matter is that you hate me so much that you intentionally launch personal attacks hoping that you get a response so that we both go over the cliff together. You want to sacrifice yourself.

 

It reeks of desperation. I am not attacking anyone or telling anyone what they should like. The conversation today was very cordial and friendly. And then you come on and start your usual BS attacks.

 

Its sort of entertaining to watch you swing your fists looking for a fight every day... when nobody on here is even fighting about anything. Except for you.

This post might hold some credence, if it weren't for the fact that other people called you out as well. Discussion can end here

[Phil]

You have small trees.

TBH, I still think the 150ft+ hardwoods here are more impressive than those skinny twigs I saw in Everett.

 

Just sayin’. These guys are only ~ 100yrs old.

 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

You have palm trees.

Ha you want to know something funny. There is a palm tree a couple miles from my Business and everytime i drive by that thing i think of Tim lol.

[BLI snowman]

Wtf did I just read? I'll take one order of weather warfare over the Pacific NW please

Trump/Obama/Bush/McKinley/Buchanan/R.Kelly's fault.

[ShawniganLake]

Wtf did I just read? I'll take one order of weather warfare over the Pacific NW please

I’ve seen her post on Twitter before. She’s a bit “out there”.

[Phil]

Wtf did I just read? I'll take one order of weather warfare over the Pacific NW please

[TT-SEA]

This post might hold some credence, if it weren't for the fact that other people called you out as well. Discussion can end here

 

Its usually the same few people.  

 

But no one comes close to your consistent anger level.    

[Bryant]

In case you missed it, I asked you a question above

[TT-SEA]

Ha you want to know something funny. There is a palm tree a couple miles from my Business and everytime i drive by that thing i think of Tim lol.

 

I am flattered! 

 

Ironically... we have not planted any palm trees.    So we are not part of the "problem".   

[Phil]

Global warming is actually a result of Tim’s climate manipulation device. It’s also why the strongest ridges on the planet keep setting up over his house.

 

Get him!

[BLI snowman]

TBH, I still think the 150ft+ hardwoods here are more impressive than those skinny twigs I saw in Everett.

 

Just sayin’. These guys are only ~ 100yrs old.

 

Finest old growth that side of Stampede Pass.

[TT-SEA]

Global warming is actually a result of Tim’s climate manipulation device. It’s also why the strongest ridges on the planet keep setting up over his house.

 

Get him!

 

Global warming will be our friend eventually.   You will thank me.   

[ShawniganLake]

TBH, I still think the 150ft+ hardwoods here are more impressive than those skinny twigs I saw in Everett.

 

Just sayin’. These guys are only ~ 100yrs old.

 

That’s insane and reckless. Those power lines are going right underneath and thru some of the tree’s canopies. A power outage waiting to happen.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Between Tim, planet X, and the blob we're all ...... if we ever want to see cold again.

[Jesse]

Global warming will be our friend eventually. You will thank me.

How do you figure. Staving off the ice age that was going to come long after we were all dead anyway? But in the short term (which matters more to us) it will likely cause some problems.

[Jesse]

GFS ensembles continue to improve in the long range.

[Phil]

Phil, is it common for the MJO to play a bigger role in the upper air pattern following a warming strat / cooling equatorial troposphere? The MJO has been consistent this year, but it didn't quite have the effect I was hoping for during the last EHEM passage

Yeah, or at least it’s common to see its amplitude increase and its forward propagation slow, all else being equal.

 

Since the integral of static stability within the deep tropics decreases during/after SSW events, it affects the MJO and the timing/longitude of its it’s return cycle/CCKW splintering.

[TT-SEA]

How do you figure. Staving off the ice age that was going to come long after we were all dead anyway? But in the short term (which matters more to us) it will likely cause some problems.

 

I was just repeating something Phil told us before... and I figure we have ice age starting in about 18 months!

[Jesse]

I was just repeating something Phil told us before... and I figure we have ice age starting in about 18 months!

Phil is Phaux News.

[Phil]

That’s insane and reckless. Those power lines are going right underneath and thru some of the tree’s canopies. A power outage waiting to happen.

Lol. They did make an exception for cherry blossoms. People would have thrown hissy fits if they cut those.

[MossMan]

TBH, I still think the 150ft+ hardwoods here are more impressive than those skinny twigs I saw in Everett.

 

Just sayin’. These guys are only ~ 100yrs old.

 

Impressive...Still no contest though. You did take HWY 2 over to Leavenworth, correct? Did you notice the trees?

[Phil]

Finest old growth that side of Stampede Pass.

You had it until you englished wrong. #rimshot

[Phil]

Impressive...Still no contest though. You did take HWY 2 over to Leavenworth, correct? Did you notice the trees?

Honestly, what I remember is trying to avoid taking the wrong turn-off. I also remember some of the roads having very bizarre names up there. I don’t recall any monster trees but that’s probably because I wasn’t looking. It was my first time driving up there so I probably kept my eyes on the road for the most part.

 

Plus it’s not like we have any actual old growth here anyway. The oldest stuff is ~ 250 years old and all of those trees lost their tops long ago. I don’t think it’s physically possible for trees to grow as tall here as they do out west given several centuries. This climate probably precludes that. But they can grow wide and thick for sure.

[Phil]

How do you figure. Staving off the ice age that was going to come long after we were all dead anyway? But in the short term (which matters more to us) it will likely cause some problems.

Think about your great great great great great grandchildren yo.

[MossMan]

Honestly, what I remember is trying to avoid taking the wrong turn-off. I also remember some of the roads having very bizarre names up there. I don’t recall any monster trees but that’s probably because I wasn’t looking. It was my first time driving up there so I probably kept my eyes on the road for the most part.

 

Plus it’s not like we have any actual old growth here anyway. The oldest stuff is ~ 250 years old and all of those trees lost their tops long ago. I don’t think it’s physically possible for trees to grow as tall here as they do out west given several centuries. The climate here probably precludes that.

Next time you are out this way you should have one of your relatives driving so you can really take in the surroundings! Take HWY 20 over...that drive is amazing! But you will miss a lot of driving that route since it is pretty twisty and you have to dodge the motor homes and motorcycles on the two lane highway.