Jesse Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 That map is skewed. There's no way a PNW winter can be lumped into the same ballpark as a Florida winter... It actually rarely if ever snows in the Olympic Mountains or Vancouver Island ranges. Little known fact. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 Nice to see that the east winds have held on at the mouth of the gorge, and low level cold has remained stuck in the central and eastern gorge. Probably bodes better for a fake cool spell locally with the upcoming ridge. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 11, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 This is actually my dream here. A little intimidating though. Something from the so-called "clown range" to lighten things up. 2 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 The 18z on January 19th will be killer.How so? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 Keep in mind there are both seasonal and state dependent differences in wavetrain responses to EHEM forcing at this time of year. On tail end of an intraseasonal phase of equatorward +AAM deposition/z-cell retraction (IE: now) it could be argued that EHEM convection might aid in extending the east-Asian jet which could teleconnect to split flow over western North America. And historically speaking, forcing has often darted very quickly thru the EHEM towards the WPAC/warm pool during such regimes. This doesn’t preclude a retrogression (a backdoor blast is a distinct possibility) but it probably does preclude cool NW flow/-PNA at this point. Nothing is certain but it’s interesting to think about. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 What if its a north windstorm brought along by a strong Fraser River blast?You sir have a deal Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 38 currently. 51/38 day up here. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 You sir have a dealTeens and 20s when the power is out are much more enjoyable than 30s and 40s. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 The excitement over tonight's 00z run is palpable. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 The excitement over tonight's 00z run is palpable.Not enough westerly flow for you? Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 This is actually my dream here. A little intimidating though. Something from the so-called "clown range" to lighten things up. This storm had better not die out before it hits. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 486 thickness crosses the border into the US. Impressive. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 48 and clear at SEA... not your typical clear night in January. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 West coast warm finger.This is embarrassing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 Ensembles look rather forgettable tonight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 Teens and 20s when the power is out are much more enjoyable than 30s and 40s. I'll make it enjoyable if it's snowing! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 I'll make it enjoyable if it's snowing!I remember being powerless for the majority of the November 2006 event...1.5 feet of snow on the ground and a low of 10 and a high of 21 made for some chilly times but the wood stove going 24/7 kept things manageable. No generator at that time so I just put all of the fridge/freezer items outside so that wasn’t an issue either. Loved that week even without having power! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 I remember being powerless for the majority of the November 2006 event...1.5 feet of snow on the ground and a low of 10 and a high of 21 made for some chilly times but the wood stove going 24/7 kept things manageable. No generator at that time so I just put all of the fridge/freezer items outside so that wasn’t an issue either. Loved that week even without having power!Dreamy! Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 This is actually my dream here. A little intimidating though. Something from the so-called "clown range" to lighten things up. You should have made a trip up to the crab grounds today. ~935mb low in the North Pacific Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 Dreamy!It sure was...oh the good old days. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 The fv3 is a pretty good run. Lots of cold air in bc and a few lows coming close to the sweet spot. 2 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 It sure was...oh the good old days.I just looked at stats from 2008. I had snow on the ground from December 14 to Jan 8 with a peak depth of 25 inches. What an amazing winter. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 Euro dumps a bunch of cold air into the BC interior at the end of next week. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 Bombgenesis alert!!! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 I just looked at stats from 2008. I had snow on the ground from December 14 to Jan 8 with a peak depth of 25 inches. What an amazing winter.The winter of 08-09? The snowcover here lasted thru about mid March with the exception of a few days in February and a couple in early March. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 When real stuff happens in life it reminds you how small the weather is in the end. Stay thankful everyone. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 When real stuff happens in life it reminds you how small the weather is in the end. Stay thankful everyone.Careful, you’ll end up labeled ATF. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 Careful, you’ll end up labeled ATF.Yep, over my head. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 This looks fun. Just another natural tree thinning day. 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 Shawnigan, could you post the ten day precip map as well? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Jones Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 5C222DCC-7EF3-4AD6-960B-F4C74ECD6CD3.pngBF62C30F-2810-4DE4-96D7-B08B0019462F.png Looks like the ridge is slowly moving west on the 15 day EPS. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 Took a drive to Hood River last night. There was no snow remaining. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 Good things ahead? Patience will be required. I am liking the prospects for strong blocking around 140-135 W possibly retrograding around/after the 22nd to the end of January. That could mean we only see backdoor cold air, or maybe modified arctic air depending on the configuration and amplitude of the block. C'MON!!!! Additionally it appears we're going through another brief transitory split flow regime only to see the jet possibly consolidating fueling some deep lows yet again inside 130 W. Potential wind storm pattern setting up. After that a s**t ton of cold air will be on our side of the pole into NWT/YT/BC/AB ready to drop southward. With El Nino fading quickly and only ENSO-Neutral atmospheric conditions expected the back half of Winter might be NUTS! 6z GFS in 22 minutes! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 6z just tried to pull a surprise Winter Storm for PDX inside Day 7. If that cold air dug a little more. IF. C'MON!!!! http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2019011106/150/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 6z just tried to pull a surprise Winter Storm for PDX inside Day 7. If that cold air dug a little more. IF. C'MON!!!! http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2019011106/150/500h_anom.na.png A little tweaking and it could be a Willamette Valley Special. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChilliwackBCwx Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 Or a southwest B.C. delight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChilliwackBCwx Posted January 11, 2019 Report Share Posted January 11, 2019 Kinda looks like on the 06Z GFS after the 20th the Pacific may be trying to shut down finally, nope still too progressive, darn near the end of the run the lows in the pacific aren't as progressive as that off shore high is to close to the coast needs to retrograde and build north , maybe potential on future runs the last few frames though looks really like the Pacific is shutting down no stupid lows crashing about out there. Any way's you guy's are better at wording this stuff if I've got the right idea. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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