Andrew. Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Woke up to 1.25 inches and 27 degrees here. Much more than the trace I was hoping for! I'll gladly take it! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew. Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Looks like Portland Public Schools are closed, K12 should be a happy camper this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Fun commute down I-90 this morning... my son went to a movie last night in the Highlands and said you do not want to change lanes. He also said the roads in the Highlands were much worse than our hill which is clear down to the pavement and treated. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Fun commute down I-90 this morning... my son went to a movie last night in the Highlands and said you do not want to change lanes. He also said the roads in the Highlands were much worse than our hill which is clearer down to the pavement and treated.Was it bad last night or this morning? I was planning to drive in to Issaquah Swedish for some projects I have going on up there but can always cancel if I need to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Was it bad last night or this morning? I was planning to drive in to Issaquah Swedish for some projects I have going on up there but can always cancel if I need to.Bad last night but it will be no different now. He said it was really "sketchy" up there. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Bad last night but it will be no different now. He said it was really "sketchy" up there.Thought maybe they would treat the roads overnight or something. Hmmm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westiztehbest Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Unbelievable FV3 run as well. It's still going at the time of this frame too. Look at those totals up north!! fv3 2-5 6z.pngThis type of unique pattern of lows dropping in from the N/NW off the coast with N/NE Arctic winds and a foot plus of progged snowfall reminds me a whole lot of Dec 2008. Lord in heaven the snow was unbelievably deep then due to the retrograde of the lows after it dove down and stalled for a couple days. Spokane got the literal sweet spot for massive snowfall. Not every run do you see the east side getting as much snow as the pass! The beauty of this pattern is that everyone has potential to receive significant snow depending on the setup. Man with how mild this winter started...I seriously thought global warming and El Niño we’re giving a preview of mild future non-winters....guess it’s best to not get too convinced of anything hehe. Solar minimums, the last two that I’ve been a watcher of weather and a met....have all been quite snowy - not just for the inland NW but for everyone - which makes winter wildly more fascinating for model riding (and skiing!). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Down to 14 here which is crazy cold for within the city limits of Seattle. Looks like SEA is down to 18. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Pre-dawn here... **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Arctic air is a good amount further south this morning for Saturday. Nice to see enough scoring this morning to get some school closures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 NAM is more progressive with the low sliding due south without really intensifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Thought maybe they would treat the roads overnight or something. Hmmm... Not sure... I did not go up there myself. But for my son to say it was bad... means it was probably pretty bad. Here is a live traffic cam by the hospital... does not look too bad. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Looks like Portland Public Schools are closed, K12 should be a happy camper this morning. I bet he's Beaverton district. Just a 2 hour delay... Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Giant inflatable Unicorn? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Would be nice if this low can just keep going east into OR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Salem Keizer schools are closed today. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 As of right now... I am scheduled in a meeting from 10 - 12 this morning which will likely impact my ability to provide real time updates on the ECMWF run. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Another reason why you don't want to trust your weather app or weather.com: It is showing Bellingham with highs in the 40's this week and with higher temps than Seattle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 SIlver Falls School District (Silverton) is closed too. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Another reason why you don't want to trust your weather app or weather.com: It is showing Bellingham with highs in the 40's this week and with higher temps than Seattle. My phone usually seems to follow the ECMWF closely... and updates often happen after a new ECMWF run is completed. But its been WAY off this week. On Sunday it was showing highs in the low 40s here all week with a chance of rain/snow on a couple days. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 One picture that features the two big events we have had so far this season! Also it is currently 17.8 degrees under mostly cloudy skies. 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 My phone usually seems to follow the ECMWF closely... and updates often happen after a new ECMWF run is completed. But its been WAY off this week. On Sunday it was showing highs in the low 40s here all week with a chance of rain/snow on a couple days.Cliff Mass. A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Looks like it snowed more overnight. Up to 1.25” out there. Everything is absolutely flocked, looks gorgeous. Temp is down to 26 now with clearing skies, DP 19. Feels surreal that this could be just the first event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 I have now matched my snow total from the February 2014 event. Though that event was MUCH colder here. I had a 23/13 day on 2/6/14. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 NAM is more progressive with the low sliding due south without really intensifying.The low sliding south off the coast is irrelevant. We are looking for a low to form off Vancouver Island later in the day Friday. Did you see the 12Z ICON. It is the ideal setup for southern Vancouver Island. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Looks like a low of 27 this morning with the solid cloud deck. Would be nice to get some clearing tonight and see an impressive low, but I'm fine either way... Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Did Fred update the clock? The time stamps aren’t lagging behind anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 OH MY GOD IT IS F*CKING SNOWING!!!!!! Glad you finally got some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 The low sliding south off the coast is irrelevant. We are looking for a low to form off Vancouver Island later in the day Friday. Did you see the 12Z ICON. It is the ideal setup for southern Vancouver Island.It is. I would say 4 to 8 inches from that one. Thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 If you want to see an example of 18Z/06Z jump... look at Thursday night on the GFS. Scroll through the last 3 runs. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 The low sliding south off the coast is irrelevant. We are looking for a low to form off Vancouver Island later in the day Friday. Did you see the 12Z ICON. It is the ideal setup for southern Vancouver Island. ICON could be better down here for the lowlanders, but overall its not bad. The only question up at this elevation is if the precip late week starts as rain for 2-3 hours or if it is just all snow...ICON looks decent for snow showers to the valley floor over the weekend. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 NWS Seattle probably gonna be a lot less conservative this time around.E954F6B2-BC27-45BD-83C3-C5EE4293A22B.jpegExplains the weather pattern perfectly ...Bravo ! 16* with a few pink clouds about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 NWS is reporting PDX got 1.5" not sure if that is the official number or not though. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 GFS is good Seattle north. Great actually. It is absolutely terrible for PDX and Western Oregon. Looks a lot like the most recent event. So maybe it turns out well for everyone eventually. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Got about a half inch here. At least we didn't get completely skunked this winter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sometimesdylan Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 A couple things I've noticed as a Northerner living amongst all y'all Southerners The roads are far more "icier" down here in WA. By this point in Juneau everything would be plowed and sanded. The packed snow just turns to a total slick mess with everyone driving on it. Have to laugh at the number of "bunker cars" that I have seen.... people driving around in snow covered car with a little "slit" of snow brushed off for them to view while driving. Kind of hilarious until I realize that I'm sharing the road with these people. I've seen one plow truck in Everett.. Probably the only one? Lol. With this cold weather a good trick is to put some silicone oil on the rubber gaskets on your car door, that way it will be easier to open and save the rubber from getting torn up. Got some good ice climbing in on Chair Peak up on Snoqualmie on Sunday. Now I'm starting to wonder if some lower elevation ice will be good to go! I'm super excited about this. 1 "There are so many waves coming in all the time, you don't have to worry about that. Take your time—wave come. Let the other guys go; catch another one." -Duke Kahanamoku Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 GFS is good Seattle north. Great actually. It is absolutely terrible for PDX and Western Oregon. Looks a lot like the most recent event. So maybe it turns out well for everyone eventually. Actually shows rain in Seattle for maybe 12 hours... a little different than the previous storm but the track is similar. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Seattle north is going to score big again regardless. I think W. Oregon may be fine, but we'll see. It's only Tuesday. GFS looks like what we JUST had. Even with the deformation as the low departs giving us W. Oregon whiners a little snow. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 12Z GFS looks so similar to last night on Sunday morning... low to the south and deformation band over Portland. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Actually shows rain in Seattle for maybe 12 hours... a little different than the previous storm but the track is similar. Shows about 6-12 hours of rain for me too...Didn't Seattle start as rain Sunday too...This run looks like a carbon copy. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts