February 2019 Weather in the Pacific Northwest - Part 1

[Front Ranger]

Total snow over the next week...

 

Looks like everyone gets screwed.

[TT-SEA]

Monday evening... might be getting started again.

 

[Deweydog]

Have you ever seen anything like this in the models?

Yes.

[HighlandExperience]

Total snow over the next week...

 

 

This is going to surpass December 2008.

[TT-SEA]

Looks like everyone gets screwed.

 

2,000 foot snow levels

[Guest Sounder]

Seems like Seattle gets slammed over and over no matter which model you look at. I'll be happy to get a few inches out of this in PDX.

Good lord.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Total snow over the next week...

 

 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Yes.

Have you ever seen a grown man naked?

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Total snow over the next week...

 

Thanks for being a trooper tonight.

[TT-SEA]

Tuesday morning... hopefully this one finally delivers! 

 

[Requiem]

Good lord.

 

Easy for you to say, the Fraser outflow is kicking and the low pressure systems will be coming at you full force. I'm not being a pessimist and saying we'll get nothing, but once again it is difficult without some sort of east wind.

[Requiem]

Have you ever seen a grown man naked?

 

Have you ever been in a Turkish prison?

[Perturbed Member]

DKfail.gif

 

I feel for you man, hopefully we can get at least one decent event that is just a Willamette valley special. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Here is a map Tim posted the other day for almost same period. Very close.

[TT-SEA]

Tuesday morning... you get the idea.   Its always snowing.

 

[Cloud]

Seems like Seattle gets slammed over and over no matter which model you look at. I'll be happy to get a few inches out of this in PDX.

It’s going to change about 20 more times leading up to it. I’m thinking this next one will include PDX.

[Requiem]

Tuesday morning... you get the idea.   Its always snowing.

 

 

According to NWS Portland: seasonal!

[TT-SEA]

Tuesday afternoon...

 

[bainbridgekid]

Euro still looks bad for here, outlier....

Other than the 6" of snow it shows for you?

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

I've heard the stories about it snowing here 3 days straight. This might be close to that.

[Phil]

Here is February 1990 in my area... not that impressive compared to what this month looks like now.

 

Two days below freezing... 16 inches of snow... only a 6-day period with highs below 40 with the snow on the ground... and the month ended with days of 63 and 67 degrees. I could see 15 days in a row below 40 here this month with snow on the ground.

 

Andrew likes 1990 because of the westerly flow (which will not be a defining characteristic this month).

[Deweydog]

Have you ever seen a grown man naked?

I may have to chain up just to go hang out at the gymnasium.

[Guest hawkstwelve]

Wow... That is one of the most constantly snowy Euro runs I have seen in a long, long, long time.

[TT-SEA]

Southerly flow at day 9?   Seems like it would be almost inevitable at that point.  

 

[Phil]

Man, I can’t keep up with this thread.

 

And wow, that Euro run is straight out of the 1950s/60s playbook.

[TT-SEA]

Andrew likes 1990 because of the westerly flow (which will not be a defining characteristic this month).

 

 

Jim has been talking about it as analog for this month... but this month might blow Feb 1990 away.  

[TigerWoodsLibido]

LOL at people making 1950s comparisons.  Most of those years were monsters here as well. That will not even come close to happening this time (we probly won't even see snow).

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Very strange looking at the end of the run and nothing like any of the other models.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

[TT-SEA]

3rd ECMWF run in a row to end in a ridge...

 

[Requiem]

LOL at people making 1950s comparisons.  Most of those years were monsters here as well. That will not even come close to happening this time (we probly won't even see snow).

 

^

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Jims fingers are about to hit mach 3.

[Requiem]

This band just won't leave. It keeps sliding west too, much further west than models showed.

[Phil]

Jim has been talking about it as analog for this month... but this month might blow Feb 1990 away.

February 1990 had a stronger vortex over the pole. Right now it’s a weak, discombobulated mess. I think this month will be colder.

[Front Ranger]

Looks like Salem is even gonna get a little action tonight.

[snow_wizard]

Utterly fantastic Euro run!  Looks like an amazing weekend for SEA and PDX both.  I love how many days are shown with high temps around freezing.  Now if the ECMWF ensemble is right about the 10 to 15 day period this month would up there easily for top 5 February since 1850.

[seattleweatherguy]

Man, I can’t keep up with this thread.

 

And wow, that Euro run is straight out of the 1950s/60s playbook.

I doubt we hit 0 though

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

3rd ECMWF run in a row to end in a ridge...

 

Might be a short warm up like you said just like in past big cold waves.

[Requiem]

Utterly fantastic Euro run!  Looks like an amazing weekend for SEA and PDX both.  I love how many days are shown with high temps around freezing.  Now if the ECMWF ensemble is right about the 10 to 15 day period this month would up there easily for top 5 February since 1850.

 

Is it strange that you saying PDX will do good gives me validation?

[Phil]

3rd ECMWF run in a row to end in a ridge...

 

Remember that models will likely rush the pattern transition. That flip probably doesn’t begin until the third week of the month.