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February 2019 Weather Observations and Discussion Part 2


snow_wizard

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I had just a few flurries and even that has stopped.  Not even a dusting here.  I'm about 6 miles sw by way the crow flies from Estacada.  8 miles se of Happy Valley.  Was warmed from my overnight low of 29 to 31 with winds having died down quite a bit from last night.  Looks like a band might be moving north towards Sandy so that should catch me.  Just don't know if there is enough to amount to much.

 

I never realized how much further south you are than me. I am in the far northwestern corner of Boring just a mile from Multnomah County. I get much more gorge influence so that's where the differences have been coming from.
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The radar looks promising for Portland, but this snow is really light. Not really adding up at this point, but really nice to see. 31 degrees.

Scappoose has been under the gun of the heaviest precip for awhile, even though it’s 30, they have only got about an inch
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The GFS has really been backing off on the cold outlfow event this weekend, but it seems to be a warm outlier compared to the ensembles.

attachicon.gifCD407766-698D-4813-9C4D-12E67F0232A3.png

EURO is showing that thing with full earnest, looks great. Very impressive for early March.

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Really solid event for the Salem area. Great to see.

 

 

 

http://tripcheck.com/RoadCams/cams/Fairgrounds%20and%20Silverton_pid2466.JPG?rand=1551283539378

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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No real surprises here...Although they seem to suggest I saw slightly more snow than I actually did. At least I'm not in the complete snow hole which is slightly to my south and west in Skagit County.

 

52959406_2242012419192485_84533616113090

Seems to be over-doing the totals for north Whatcom County too. I'm in the dark orange "2 feet" zone and that's.....not accurate. It was more like five inches. Places further west near the coast had more snow but, interestingly, the map is showing less for those areas.

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ECMWF and WRF showed light southerly flow tomorrow in Portland.  

I saw that but It's cold up and down the valley.  Even with a slight south flow, I find it suspect to get that warm locally.  I suppose under sunny skies maybe  upper 40's but to me seems a pretty big (and if the gorge shuts off completely) stretch. 

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The station I have been talking about here failed to actually record any of yesterday's snow. There was close to 5" that fell here. This station should be at over 30". But no. Trying to ruin a historic moment.

 

http://i64.tinypic.com/zogow7.jpg

 

And KMAX is still down. :P

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 16
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 

Severe storms: 2

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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I never realized how much further south you are than me. I am in the far northwestern corner of Boring just a mile from Multnomah County. I get much more gorge influence so that's where the differences have been coming from.

I'm right on Clear Creek in a little community of Fishers Mill.  I'm about 5 miles from McIver park.  Really protected down in this little valley.  One mile up the hill to Springwater (130ft elevation gain) it's another climate zone in these events.    Much more wind and about 1 degree colder in marginal events and that makes all the difference many times between snow accum or little or none at all.  You're up over 600ft and get a lot more east winds as well.  I had good gap winds yesterday but they have died down here considerably this am.  Just a few tiny flakes right now.  Still holding out a little hope as it looks that the east side has filled in some.

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Well looks like the melting has begun. There might not be a half foot on the ground by March 1st like I was thinking. 

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 16
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 

Severe storms: 2

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Well looks like the melting has begun. There might not be a half foot on the ground by March 1st like I was thinking. 

 

Yeah looks like the low ended up going north of you and pulling in some warm air. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Speaking of warm air. PDX holding at 33 and Vancouver up to 34. 

 

Looks like we found new replacements for Roseburg at the low end of the PNW snow depth chart.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Yeah looks like the low ended up going north of you and pulling in some warm air. 

 

It's not often to get 6+ inch depths in March so that would have been nice on paper.

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 16
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 

Severe storms: 2

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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The GEM is worlds different than the GFS and WAY colder. Brings legitimate arctic air into the Columbia Basin and through the gorge early next week. 

 

 

 

gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_20.png

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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NAM says no snow for us.

 

NAM tends to underplay precip in general. Not putting much stock into it.

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Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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lol, I have almost always known it to overplay precip

 

At least in the Midwest, where I used to live, it did. Out here not 100% sure.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Looks like 3" in Albany.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Looking at the numbers it looks like SLE is going to end up with their 7th coldest February during the 1892-present period of record. Coldest since 1989 and 3rd coldest since 1940. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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