March 2019 Weather Discussion in the PNW

[wx_statman]

OK, one more nugget for today. 4 degrees in Goldendale this morning was their coldest March reading since 3/1/1993, when they hit 3. 

[TT-SEA]

ENSO regions have warmed over the last week...

 

[Front Ranger]

Lack of duration of snow on the ground, longest duration was only 4 days. My curve, my opinion!

Alrighty. As long as you understand you're calling this winter below average.

[Front Ranger]

I still can't believe they hit 5 in late Feb. of 2011. That was insane.

That and EUG's -10 in Dec 2013 are the stats of the century so far for the western lowlands.

 

#fuckuhi

[MossMan]

I made 13 here also. That was probably the most incredible morning since I've lived here. Crystal clear and heavy snow cover on everything. There is no doubt if the atmosphere had been about 2 degrees colder during the huge event many of us would have had surreal amounts of snow. During the period that North Bend got buried I had a mix the entire time after a little bit a straight snow at the beginning.

For me it was the -2F with over two feet of snow on the ground the morning of 12/20/08 that was just insane and amazing at my place. Will never forget that!

[MossMan]

Already below freezing again. Currently 31.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Was pretty surprised we only hit a high of 39 today. Snow cover must have kept temps down. On the way home it was about 45 until a mile or two from the house and then temps dropped off dramatically. 

[TT-SEA]

Family member just posted this... from Wausau Wisconsin.  

 

First of all... amazing that this was the snowiest month in history there by a long shot.    Also interesting that December 2008 was second. And fifth place is held by last April.    Hard to imagine the 5th snowiest month ever there was in April.  

 

[GHweatherChris]

Alrighty. As long as you understand you're calling this winter below average.

Judging it based off personal experience and opinion, still has a chance to be higher IMO depending on surprises in March. You really have an issue with other opinions, don't ya? I do not worry about statistical averages btw if you haven't figured that out yet.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

[Front Ranger]

Judging it based off personal experience and opinion, still has a chance to be higher IMO depending on surprises in March. You really have an issue with other opinions, don't ya? I do not worry about statistical averages btw if you haven't figured that out yet.

 

You are taking this a bit more personal and seriously than I am. Have good weekend, my man!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Mid to upper teens at Spokane and in the upper Columbia Basin and the arctic front isn't even there yet.

[GHweatherChris]

You are taking this a bit more personal and seriously than I am. Have good weekend, my man!

All good, you too my Colorado bro!!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

This place sure is quite tonight. I think everyone is kind of burned out.

[MossMan]

[FroYoBro]

This place sure is quite tonight. I think everyone is kind of burned out.

Yeah, I spent way too much time on here in the last month.

[ShawniganLake]

This place sure is quite tonight. I think everyone is kind of burned out.

Not really much to analyze up this way. Sunny with some cloudy periods. Probably breezy for a couple days. Some cold mornings if the wind dies off.

[TT-SEA]

00Z GFS and FV3 actually look ridgy and sort of warm by next weekend.

[Phil]

Wowzers.

 

[Phil]

ENSO regions have warmed over the last week...

 

You’re gonna need all the help you can get.

[TT-SEA]

You’re gonna need all the help you can get.

Sure Phil.

[Blizzard777]

49.6*/33* today and I suppose that means I need round that number up but I really don’t want too.

Currently 38* with a dew point of 26*

Going to be interesting to see how many of my new plants survived this past months freeze! I also have a bunch of bulbs we pulled out of garden and put in buckets have begun to grow. Need to get these back in the ground soon. Spring be happening

[ShawniganLake]

30F here. Tomorrow will be my 29th consecutive freeze

[Phil]

Interestingly enough, tropical forcing for the month of February was in a very potent El Niño-like state.

 

Hard to get any more classic than this.

 

[Perturbed Member]

This place sure is quite tonight. I think everyone is kind of burned out.

 

My ratio of actual snowfall to time spent model riding has been poor, the ROI has been subpar. I have therefore reallocated my time to more productive endeavors. Will return immediately upon seeing a pepto bismol euro snow map however. 

[GHweatherChris]

00Z GFS and FV3 actually look ridgy and sort of warm by next weekend.

Way out there...

[TT-SEA]

Way out there...

A week out.

[Guest CulverJosh]

Interestingly enough, tropical forcing for the month of February was in a very potent El Niño-like state.

 

Hard to get any more classic than this.

 

Just shows how little we know about el nino and la nina effects.

[Guest CulverJosh]

And to add to that, El nino has always been more of a blocking pattern. We just happened to have the block in a favorable to semi-favorable position for 3+ weeks. La Nina always seems to be more progressive W/NW flow with better storms but lacking in temperature extremes. I prefer neutral winters historically.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

The 00Z UKMET days 4 and 5 look interesting.

 

http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/GZ_D5_PN_096_0000.gif

http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/GZ_D5_PN_120_0000.gif

[TT-SEA]

Seattle end up at -6.7 for February.

 

Fairbanks finished at +6.8

 

Often works that way when its cold here... and in the other direction as well. 

[snow_wizard]

Pretty darn impressive Arctic outbreak coming.  It appears the GFS is trending slightly colder in the home stretch.  This could easily be the best cold shot in March so far this century.

[snow_wizard]

OK, one more nugget for today. 4 degrees in Goldendale this morning was their coldest March reading since 3/1/1993, when they hit 3. 

 

And this air mass is warm compared to what's coming!

[MossMan]

Pretty darn impressive Arctic outbreak coming. It appears the GFS is trending slightly colder in the home stretch. This could easily be the best cold shot in March so far this century.

When is it hitting us?

[snow_wizard]

And to add to that, El nino has always been more of a blocking pattern. We just happened to have the block in a favorable to semi-favorable position for 3+ weeks. La Nina always seems to be more progressive W/NW flow with better storms but lacking in temperature extremes. I prefer neutral winters historically.

 

Well...you do have January 1950 which was a Nina.

[snow_wizard]

When is it hitting us?

 

It really starts spilling in tomorrow night, and goes through Monday morning.  Then the cold kind of sits here for a while.  The duration of the cold intrusion looks pretty exceptional for this time of year.

[snow_wizard]

The 00Z UKMET days 4 and 5 look interesting.

 

 

Looks like a snow maker if correct.

[snow_wizard]

Looks like the cold reinforcement late next week is still on as well.  I've never seen anything like this.

[Front Ranger]

Seattle end up at -6.7 for February.

 

Fairbanks finished at +6.8

 

Often works that way when its cold here... and in the other direction as well.

Baffling.

[TT-SEA]

Baffling.

 

 

Interesting.