Tom Posted May 27, 2019 Author Report Share Posted May 27, 2019 N IL is under the gun today...Tornado Watch likely to be issued... NWS ChicagoVerified account @NWSChicagoFollowFollow @NWSChicagoMoreNWS Chicago Retweeted NWS SPCA Tornado Watch is very likely to be issued issued by 2pm for at least portions of the area, with 95% watch probabilities indicated in the SPC mesoscale discussion. Stay tuned for updates. #ilwx #inwx Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted May 27, 2019 Report Share Posted May 27, 2019 Confirmed tornado over Ricelake, IA. Warning now extends into SE MN. Crazy how that developed way back in the middle of the landcane. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted May 27, 2019 Report Share Posted May 27, 2019 I thought showers and storms are supposed to redevelop later today. How do severe storm prospects look for Eastern Iowa later today? It appears we may be done for today. The HRRR has all the action over in lllinois later this afternoon/evening. I only picked up a third on an inch or so, so today was kind of a dud. I hope tomorrow works out better and everything doesn't get shoved south. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted May 27, 2019 Report Share Posted May 27, 2019 It appears we may be done for today. The HRRR has all the action over in lllinois later this afternoon/evening. I only picked up a third on an inch or so, so today was kind of a dud. I hope tomorrow works out better and everything doesn't get shoved south.It's funny how the SPC still has us in a slight risk if we are done for today. I thought the warm front lifting north would help but nope. Illinois gets it all. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted May 27, 2019 Report Share Posted May 27, 2019 What severe weather parameters are we missing here in Eastern Iowa to get storms going? Sun is trying to break through the clouds here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted May 27, 2019 Report Share Posted May 27, 2019 What severe weather parameters are we missing here in Eastern Iowa to get storms going? Sun is trying to break through the clouds here. I think mostly the lingering light rain ruined it for us. It's only in the upper 60s to low 70s in Iowa, while it's in the low 80s over in Illinois. I also think today's disturbance is stronger than models had expected a couple days ago, so it is sweeping the severe potential farther south and east. This is also why Tuesday's severe has been steadily shifting south. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted May 27, 2019 Report Share Posted May 27, 2019 Large and dangerous tornado in southern MN and another confirmed tornado just east of Rochester Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted May 27, 2019 Report Share Posted May 27, 2019 Looks like 4 tornadoes ongoing right now 2 in MN and 2 in IL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted May 27, 2019 Report Share Posted May 27, 2019 Friend in Aurora, IL just had golf ball size hail destroy his roof. I used to live about a quarter mile from him. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted May 27, 2019 Report Share Posted May 27, 2019 Tornado warning now in the southern burbs Chi town, near Bolingbrook and Romeoville. High population area. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted May 27, 2019 Report Share Posted May 27, 2019 Watching the cumulus clouds starting to stack on this beautiful day. Couldn't ask for a more enjoyable day, but keeping my attention on family in IL. Interesting development already that way. Models have trended a little further north tomorrow too. (The tornado potential for KS later is also looking crazy) 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted May 27, 2019 Report Share Posted May 27, 2019 The GFS/FV3/Euro have all moved nearly all of Tuesday's action south of Cedar Rapids. From now on, it may be safer just to assume that if models have everything missing north/west, you'll be hit, and if models have you getting hit, everything will miss south/east. The entire last week has followed that rule. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted May 27, 2019 Report Share Posted May 27, 2019 That is one beefy cell rolling through south Chicago. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted May 27, 2019 Report Share Posted May 27, 2019 Friend in Aurora, IL just had golf ball size hail destroy his roof. I used to live about a quarter mile from him.I lived in Montgomery, just outside of Aurora. That's big time hail. Hope everyone's fine. You guys be careful up there! 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted May 27, 2019 Report Share Posted May 27, 2019 Tornado touched down in Charles City IA. Some damage in the fairgrounds. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted May 27, 2019 Report Share Posted May 27, 2019 Skies have darken up. Any barbequers out there, beware.... Boomers are coming! Temps are in the low 70s. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted May 27, 2019 Report Share Posted May 27, 2019 It appears we may be done for today. The HRRR has all the action over in lllinois later this afternoon/evening. I only picked up a third on an inch or so, so today was kind of a dud. I hope tomorrow works out better and everything doesn't get shoved south.Yes today definitely was one of those underperforming duds. Once those storms began intensifying along the Mississippi River and the wind began taking on a more southwesterly direction, I figured we’re done for today! Only around 1/3 rd of an inch total today. Dew points dropped a little as well. The cement floor is drying off as a result. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted May 28, 2019 Report Share Posted May 28, 2019 It's like fall right now. Strong NW breeze with mostly cloudy skies and temp has dropped to 66. Very comfortable 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted May 28, 2019 Report Share Posted May 28, 2019 About 1” of rain in the gauge today. Temp of 48F with a wind chill of 43F. Ya know, because it’s one of the last days of May. Furnace was turned off on Saturday and I’m not turning it back on until October. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted May 28, 2019 Report Share Posted May 28, 2019 There is currently a strong tornado moving through the Dayton, OH area. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted May 28, 2019 Report Share Posted May 28, 2019 Wow This is gonna be bad EF4/5 tornado on the ground at night through highly populated area Now another developing tornado heading towards Dayton Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted May 28, 2019 Report Share Posted May 28, 2019 Some of the pictures coming in are bad Stuff completely destroyed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted May 28, 2019 Report Share Posted May 28, 2019 OAX going trigger-happy on warnings tonight. Was just placed under a severe t-storm warning for a storm that wasn't even close to severe. It was allowed to expire. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted May 28, 2019 Report Share Posted May 28, 2019 Pretty tight couplet headed towards Pleasanton (SW of Ravenna). Correlation coefficient would indicate a tornado on the ground. Can't screenshot it. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted May 28, 2019 Report Share Posted May 28, 2019 The SPC has me back in the northern part of an ‘enhanced risk’ area. Still looking like southern Ia could get rocked. This north wind doesn’t impress me much. Hopefully the warm front can shift a little further north. But currently most of the the action, including a few severe warned storms are north of the boundary which means it’s trying to advect north, at least aloft, though I could be wrong. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted May 28, 2019 Report Share Posted May 28, 2019 There is a good reason as to why the heat has been on but the air off so far this year. At this time Grand Rapids has only had 6 cooling degree days (CDD) this month that is already-23 and for the year GR has only had 6 that is -31. Now for Heating Degree Days (HDD) GR is at 237 (+19) for May and is now at 6662 for the year that is +239 so yes in our area we use the heat much more then the Air. And we have not had a lot of don't have to days yet either (that is dont have to have the heat on nor the air on) but we have had more in the last 10 days or so. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted May 28, 2019 Report Share Posted May 28, 2019 Another troublesome tornado day today. So be careful folks. In the last 3 days there have been over 500 tornados reported. Close to a record. 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted May 28, 2019 Report Share Posted May 28, 2019 Lincoln and Omaha got hit pretty good this morning. I expected to see some posts from our members over there. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted May 28, 2019 Report Share Posted May 28, 2019 Wild seeing the pictures out of Dayton. We where stationed there in the early 90s. I remember a few really bad storms when we lived there. We got pelted with hail like crazy this morning. I was asleep for the whole thing, but apparently it was so bad we had cars slipping off the interstate. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted May 28, 2019 Report Share Posted May 28, 2019 I was actually happy with how yesterday turned out. Got some nice rainfall, but then the sun came out and got pretty warm there for a bit. I got a late start and recently planted my garden, so the rainfall and then sunshine was welcome. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted May 28, 2019 Report Share Posted May 28, 2019 Moderate risk just went out. Between here and KC through northern Missouri and Southern Iowa. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted May 28, 2019 Report Share Posted May 28, 2019 Moderate risk just went out. Between here and KC through northern Missouri and Southern Iowa. Here is the map 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted May 28, 2019 Report Share Posted May 28, 2019 Lincoln and Omaha got hit pretty good this morning. I expected to see some posts from our members over there.Other than the heavy rain it was pretty routine thunderstorms here. The rain hitting the window did wake me up this morning at 4:30. We were placed under multiple unverified severe t-storm warnings throughout the night. I'd say the un-warned cell that woke me up was stronger than any of the warned stuff. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted May 28, 2019 Report Share Posted May 28, 2019 All the morning convection is not going to help the front lift north today. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted May 28, 2019 Report Share Posted May 28, 2019 I'm RIGHT on the line between the enhanced and moderate risk today. I still don't have high hopes. I can easily see this being a bust here and an outbreak for Northeast Kansas. Sun is wanting to come out which is good for those of us who want storms, but the temp got decreased pretty drastically by dynamic cooling so if we want the front to get past here we need the sun to come out soon. 58.1*F. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted May 28, 2019 Report Share Posted May 28, 2019 I'm RIGHT on the line between the enhanced and moderate risk today. I still don't have high hopes. I can easily see this being a bust here and an outbreak for Northeast Kansas. Sun is wanting to come out which is good for those of us who want storms, but the temp got decreased pretty drastically by dynamic cooling so if we want the front to get past here we need the sun to come out soon. 58.1*F.Forecasted high went from 80 to 67. Not very helpful indeed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted May 28, 2019 Report Share Posted May 28, 2019 Forecasted high went from 80 to 67. Not very helpful indeed.NWS has had a boner over severe weather chances here over the past few days and I'm not sure why. None of the models have had the warm front all the way up here, and the farthest North model (NAM) only had it up to Beatrice. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted May 28, 2019 Report Share Posted May 28, 2019 NWS has had a boner over severe weather chances here over the past few days and I'm not sure why. None of the models have had the warm front all the way up here, and the farthest North model (NAM) only had it up to Beatrice.Well to be honest some of the severe weather has not been forecasted that well this year either. Same with winter for that matter lol. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted May 28, 2019 Author Report Share Posted May 28, 2019 PHX only topped out at 79F yesterday, tying the all-time record low max for Memorial Day. I spent the majority of the day outside by the pool and relaxin' and embracing the unusually "cool" weather. Mind you, normal highs for the area are 99F and we will be creeping closer to that normal by the end of the week. On this 28th day of May, it is my birthday and I plan on heading out for a morning hike adjacent to our place here. I have gained another year of wisdom, knowledge, experience and most of all...my love for nature and the weather continues to grow stronger each and every day. I truly do enjoy coming on here with all of you and how we, collectively, as a forum, learn and grow from each other. Hope ya'll have a wonderful day and hopefully those who have that storm "itch" get hit today but not to hard! 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted May 28, 2019 Report Share Posted May 28, 2019 PHX only topped out at 79F yesterday, tying the all-time record low max for Memorial Day. I spent the majority of the day outside by the pool and relaxin' and embracing the unusually "cool" weather. Mind you, normal highs for the area are 99F and we will be creeping closer to that normal by the end of the week. On this 28th day of May, it is my birthday and I plan on heading out for a morning hike adjacent to our place here. I have gained another year of wisdom, knowledge, experience and most of all...my love for nature and the weather continues to grow stronger each and every day. I truly do enjoy coming on here with all of you and how we, collectively, as a forum, learn and grow from each other. Hope ya'll have a wonderful day and hopefully those who have that storm "itch" get hit today but not to hard!Wow! Bet that felt better than the muggy 80s we had here. Spent the better part of the afternoon outside and I was sweating bullets. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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