TigerWoodsLibido Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 Got to 86F and now down to 67F. Should be a nice wet day tomorrow. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 Snow on Halloween would be amazing!100 percent chance of fog in my yardI've always thought it's good Halloween didn't occur later into Fall or even Winter. Then half the time they would have to cancel it for areas that get snow or ice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 Going to be a rainy lunchtime. 00Z NAM sure scaled back... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 00Z NAM sure scaled back... Well that just dills my pickle. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 00Z NAM sure scaled back... 3K looks a lot better. Even the 12Km has a bunch of random cells that end up just barely missing PDX. The moisture’s there, whether we’d want to deny it or not. 1 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 3K looks a lot better. Even the 12Km has a bunch of random cells that end up just barely missing PDX. The moisture’s there, whether we’d want to deny it or not. I don't really care either way. Not denying anything. But it takes a combination of moisture and lift... not just moisture. The lift part is what looks splitty for tomorrow. It looks pretty meager up here... but we have had plenty of rain this summer. Just was checking timing and was surprised to see how little the NAM showed. The 3KM NAM definitely has more for Portland through tomorrow afternoon. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 I don't really care either way. Not denying anything. But it takes a combination of moisture and lift... not just moisture. The lift part is what looks splitty. It looks pretty meager up here... but we have had plenty of rain this summer. Just was checking timing and was surprised to see how little the NAM showed. The 3KM NAM definitely has more for Portland through tomorrow afternoon. Oh, not you in specific. I’ve had people say that they hope this thing falls apart for the sake of a dry day (as much as I sympathize, I hope not). Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 Oh, not you in specific. I’ve had people say that they hope this thing falls apart for the sake of a dry day (as much as I sympathize, I hope not). Its a Wednesday... and it will not be sunny and warm either way. If its going to be cloudy and cool all day then it might as well be dumping rain. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 Drier than normal from EUG to BLI, during the heart of summer. Due for some rain. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 Little better picture when you look at the last 2 months... through the real heart of meteorological summer from late June through mid-August. Wet enough here that the grass has stayed green all summer... I can't remember that happening before. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 Good lord... 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 Little better picture when you look at the last 2 months... through the real heart of meteorological summer from late June through mid-August. Wet enough here that the grass has stayed green all summer... I can't remember that happening before. Literally the only map over the past 24 months that shows wetter than normal. Definition of cherry-picking. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 Also, wouldn't the statistically warmest/driest time of the year, mid July to mid August, be the true heart of summer? Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 It’s on!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 Literally the only map over the past 24 months that shows wetter than normal. Definition of cherry-picking. Cherry picking the middle of the summer season... whatever. Of course... I can see the results of the wet weather every day here so it makes sense. You don't have that experience. If I show one month... you will show 2 or 3 months and say I am cherry picking. And you say the same thing if you show one month and I show 2 or 3 months. It seems the only right answer is whatever you want to show... no matter the time frame. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 Anyway... the 00z is running! Cool down following the warm up??? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 Literally the only map over the past 24 months that shows wetter than normal. Definition of cherry-picking. Some areas are drier than normal. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 Cherry picking the middle of the summer season... whatever. Of course... I can see the results of the wet weather every day here so it makes sense. You don't have that experience. If I show one month... you will show 2 or 3 months and say I am cherry picking. And you say the same thing if you show one month and I show 2 or 3 months. It seems the only right answer is whatever you want to show... no matter the time frame. You posted literally the only map over mapped periods from the past 2 years that is wetter than normal. That is fact. Mid July to mid August is also the warmest/driest time of year per climo. Also fact. Which would logically make it the heart of PNW summer. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 You posted literally the only map over periods mapped the past 2 years that is wetter than normal. That is fact. Mid July to mid August is also the warmest/driest time of year per climo. Also fact. Which would logically make it the heart of PNW summer.I did not look at any other map. I just wanted to see what the majority of this summer looked like because I know its been a fairly wet summer here. In a couple weeks... we will be able to generate a full summer map from June 1 to August 31. You are just looking for a fight. Both views can be accurate. I said the view over the last 2 months looks better. It does. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 Oh god this is going to drag on for awhile. Just wait til Phil jumps in. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 I did not look at any other map. I just wanted to see what the majority of this summer looked like because I know its been a fairly wet summer here. In a couple weeks... we will be able to generate a full summer map from June 1 to August 31. You are just looking for a fight. Both views can be accurate. I said the view over the last 2 months looks better. It does. I was not the one who felt the need to respond to what the other posted. Right away. With another map. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 Oh god this is going to drag on for awhile. Just wait til Phil jumps in. Nah. I don't do long debates anymore. If Tim wants to continue it for awhile, he'll have to find another suitor. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 Oh god this is going to drag on for awhile. Just wait til Phil jumps in.There is nothing to debate. Just two maps. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 I was not the one who felt the need to respond to what the other posted. Right away. With another map.I’m with Tim here, using a single month map during our driest time of the year is misleading as it is rare to have any sort of meaningful precip during this time period anyways. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 Looks like areas both to the north and south of Portland are being invaded by marine air ahead of tomorrow’s system. Low 70s in Longview and Salem on the hour while PDX holds at 84. It’s 82 here currently.Cooler air should make it in soon, but it’s interesting how the PDX area can be one of the last west side spots to switch to onshore flow in certain situations. Of course that can be quite beneficial in the winter months.I noticed this when the smoke was suddenly blown out and the wind changed direction. Air has the biting marine layer feel. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 I was not the one who felt the need to respond to what the other posted. Right away. With another map.Just a different view. I did not say your post was wrong. I said the last 2 months look a little better... and it does. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 GFS looks quite a bit wetter than last run. Good stuff. 1 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted August 21, 2019 Author Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 GFS looks quite a bit wetter than last run. Good stuff. As per the 00z GFS I’m right on the western edge of the river. Salem gets drenched. 00z HRRR also has a bit of blue over eastern Washington County. Same for WRF-ARW. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 Sure as ... 00z shows a cool down after the warm up. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 I’m with Tim here, using a single month map during our driest time of the year is misleading as it is rare to have any sort of meaningful precip during this time period anyways.There's nothing misleading about it. Because it's the driest time of year, any meaningful widespread precip would make a bigger difference anomaly-wise. It's not like the time of year makes it "easier" to have a drier anomaly map. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 Sure as s**t... 00z shows a cool down after the warm up.Not sure why people look at models when we have you... Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 Not sure why people look at models when we have you...Mattbits doesn’t have a particularly good ring to it. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 Mattbits doesn’t have a particularly good ring to it.Tropical Mattbits! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 Nice! 1 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 Wow, PDX is drier than Victoria in terms of August averages, but they're going to blow us away in terms of totals this month. Hard to see where the precipitation up this way is going to come from looking at the current satellite there's little notable cloud formations to our west. The front looks pretty scattered. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 Tomorrow will be drier than whay any model is showing. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 Tomorrow will be drier than whay any model is showing.IR satellite looked very impressive last night... and very unimpressive tonight. But its hard to ignore the ECMWF within 24 hours with surface details. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 Considering how late/early in the season it is, it’s sad most of this will fall during daylight hours. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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