Niko Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 It is 48F under partly cloudy skies. Winds are still gusty at times. Wcf is not an issue for now. Thankfully the winds have subsided somewhat. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 On what page was it posted? Thanks ahead of time. I got behind in following that thread and probably read only the first page yet! It’s hard to catch up when I’m that far behind!Tbh, I have no idea amigo..... I will try to go back and find it for ya. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 BAM noting quite a model difference for this weekend.. 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 Indeed my friend. After the Polar Vortex winter, I just couldn't take the bone chilling cold and 2 week summers anymore. Not to mention getting Big Snowstorms there are as common as the Lions winning divisions =-( I still root from afar as you can see!I hear ya, yep, that was a rough Winter we had that year. Good luck down there Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 /\ Hello 2013-14It kinda feels like it right 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 The 6 to 10 day temp outlook is insane! Alaska is baking.... Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 Got windy in the Dakotas! 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 Got windy in the Dakotas! 20191022 SD Windstorm.jpg Hope they were okay! 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 Lakeshore Flood WarningCoastal Hazard MessageNational Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI1027 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2019MIZ063-070-231030-/O.EXT.KDTX.LS.W.0015.000000T0000Z-191023T2000Z/St. Clair-Macomb-1027 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2019...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL 4 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...* Lake Shore Flooding...Southwest wind gusts near 30 mph continue tonight and especially again by late morning Wednesday into Wednesday afternoon. The strong wind and high waves cause water level to remain enhanced along the north shore of Lake St Clair, especially through Anchor Bay.* Impacts...Shoreline erosion, damage to docks, and additional flooding along the shore can be expected.My in-laws live there and they told me that there were some damage on the dock. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 Lakeshore Flood WarningCoastal Hazard MessageNational Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI1027 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2019MIZ063-070-231030-/O.EXT.KDTX.LS.W.0015.000000T0000Z-191023T2000Z/St. Clair-Macomb-1027 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2019...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL 4 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...* Lake Shore Flooding...Southwest wind gusts near 30 mph continue tonight and especially again by late morning Wednesday into Wednesday afternoon. The strong wind and high waves cause water level to remain enhanced along the north shore of Lake St Clair, especially through Anchor Bay.* Impacts...Shoreline erosion, damage to docks, and additional flooding along the shore can be expected.My in-laws live there and they told me that there were some damage on the dock. This storm will still be a 990mb tomorrow morning. Getting occasional rain here in Marshall as the winds go more westerly. Will be an amazing 40+ hours under the influence of this cyclone. Again, if this repeated during winter, WMI would be digging out for days. Meanwhile, lest we should get "bored", the GEM and Euro want to sneak a system coming up from the Gulf in here over the weekend..incredibly active if it were to happen. A Detroit guy at Amwx commented that this winter might put 2013-14 "to shame". That's a mouthful for anyone in SMI. 4 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 This storm will still be a 990mb tomorrow morning. Getting occasional rain here in Marshall as the winds go more westerly. Will be an amazing 40+ hours under the influence of this cyclone. Again, if this repeated during winter, WMI would be digging out for days. Meanwhile, lest we should get "bored", the GEM and Euro want to sneak a system coming up from the Gulf in here over the weekend..incredibly active if it were to happen. A Detroit guy at Amwx commented that this winter might put 2013-14 "to shame". That's a mouthful for anyone in SMI. CMC_mslp_hght_anoms_us_fh90-120.gifThat would be incredible. I have a strong feeling that this Winter will be memorable. Man, that system looks sweet coming outta the gulf. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 Jaster- hows this for ya..... 2/18/14 http://icons-ak.wunderground.com/data/wximagenew/m/MichiganSnowLvr/3932-800.jpg 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 Halloween '91 repeat lolThe crazy part about that 1991 storm was the fact that Mount Pinatubo erupted and might have played a role in the weather pattern at that time. I’m excited to see how this upcoming winter will compare if the long range models have any merit! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 23, 2019 Author Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 First time this season I have "Snow" in the forecast for early next week.... Gettin' prepared for a LONG stretch of sub normal temps as the pattern has flip hard since the beginning of this month as the new LRC began. What an incredible feat, esp the trends in the models and the potential "hyper" active central CONUS over the next 1-2 weeks! Lovin' it. #CutterSeason 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 23, 2019 Author Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 IMO, it's not a question that Low Solar is having a big impact this year with blocking in the high latitudes and this year may end up being one of the lowest Solar Minimum's in 100's of years. This year, sunspots have been rare, in fact, we are ahead of the 2008-2010 era...could we push 270 days or more this year???? Edit: During the Severe Wx Outbreak last Sunday, nature put on a show down in OK where it's dubbed "Sprite Alley"... "These were some of the largest spanning multi-events I have personally seen, with sometimes five or six sprites sequentially firing along the line of the storm for what must have been more than one hundred miles," says Smith. "It was a very strong and fast moving cold front with strong winds, large hail, tornadoes--perfect conditions for sprites." Spotless DaysCurrent Stretch: 20 days2019 total: 219 days (74%)2018 total: 221 days (61%)2017 total: 104 days (28%)2016 total: 32 days (9%)2015 total: 0 days (0%)2014 total: 1 day (2013 total: 0 days (0%)2012 total: 0 days (0%)2011 total: 2 days (2010 total: 51 days (14%)2009 total: 260 days (71%)2008 total: 268 days (73%) 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 23, 2019 Author Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 I can't help but express my excitement of how this pattern is evolving and trending in the model world. If the models are right, we may be on the verge of yet another Historic period of cold and snow to finish off the month. Just incredible. By by looking at the 500mb pattern across N. A. one will quickly notice an anchor trough is forecast for our entire Sub Forum keeping the majority of the cold and storminess smack dab across our Sub. As the saying goes, "A Thing of Beauty is a Joy Forever".... As I analyze this pattern, I'll be honest with ya'll, this is a pattern that will have an opportunity to surpass last year's pattern in terms of persistent cold, storm track/intensity and more importantly, significantly more High Blocking in all the right places. The lack of a strong SER is going to be, in my opinion, one of the more important pieces to this puzzle as we move along. Let's dive in.... Last night's 00z Euro continues to show a fascinating pattern and has been the best model handing the system that will dig into the deep South later this week/weekend. This system will eventually eject N/NE towards the Lower GL's and deliver abundant moisture. I know our friends down south love this storm track as well as our eastern Sub. Then, we will likely focus our attn to the Halloween system that I've been predicting by using the BSR. The Euro still wants to lay down a Historic snowstorm across the Plains/MW/GL's (1-2 Feet) for parts of NE/IA/WI. Incredible to see the model showing the consistency run to run. Let's see if it holds over the next few days. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 Tom, looks like a full blown model war to close out the month. Great job using the BSR to predict the Halloween storm and it sure looks like it will verify as the Canadian has joined the Euro. Those who get the snow will have it stay around for awhile, very exciting for this time of year! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 23, 2019 Author Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 Tom, looks like a full blown model war to close out the month. Great job using the BSR to predict the Halloween storm and it sure looks like it will verify as the Canadian has joined the Euro. Those who get the snow will have it stay around for awhile, very exciting for this time of year!I'm stoked where the pattern is heading and I'm sure you are also. This is an LRC pattern that can deliver a "Legendary" winter for our Sub. I wasn't exaggerating when I said this in a previous post. My gut feeling may be on the right track. I hope I'm right about this! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 I'm stoked where the pattern is heading and I'm sure you are also. This is an LRC pattern that can deliver a "Legendary" winter for our Sub. I wasn't exaggerating when I said this in a previous post. My gut feeling may be on the right track. I hope I'm right about this!My early impressions of this years LRC that we have seen so far is that there are a few less systems overall but more in the way of big systems that will produce big snows and MUCH more colder air and blocking. Can't wait to see what Nov has to offer! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 Tbh, I have no idea amigo..... I will try to go back and find it for ya. Thanks for the offer, but don’t bother if you don’t remember! You just made me curious,but that’s ok! Lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 While the main focus has been on the bigger wound up systems, there have also been a couple clipper-like systems. One of which will swing through today. DMX is lowering highs and with CAA kicking in this afternoon there could be snow mixing in across N IA. Will this be the 3rd time I've seen flakes already this season? Love seeing the Euro holding onto the big storm idea for next week! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 While the main focus has been on the bigger wound up systems, there have also been a couple clipper-like systems. One of which will swing through today. DMX is lowering highs and with CAA kicking in this afternoon there could be snow mixing in across N IA. Will this be the 3rd time I've seen flakes already this season? Love seeing the Euro holding onto the big storm idea for next week! Glad you pointed this out. And they seem to scoot in right on the heels of the departing wound-up cyclones. Kinda like a sucker-punch while you're still down, lol. Should be an interesting feature for the winter. I love frequent snow-globe type winters like I remember with 13-14 and way back to 81-82. Meanwhile, bye-bye lakeshore if anything like this verifies.. 4 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 Good morning. The sun is coming up and at this time here at my house the sky is partly cloudy and the temperature here is at 43. I had 0.18” of rain here up to 8 am. The H/L at Grand Rapids yesterday was 53/45. For today the average H/L is 58/40. The record high is 83 set in 1963 and the record low is 19 set in 1969. Last year the H/L was 54/37. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 The sky cleared just long enough to get me down to 30° and now as the sun rises the stratus from the approaching clipper system is moving in. Definite winter vibes! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 We have a nice front coming in tomorrow mid day that will deliver some heavy rain. No violent weather this time. Rain will linger into Friday. Really looking forward to this. Temps will be in the high 60's and 70's. Lows in the upper 40's. So a nice cool down about on time for us. 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 First time this season I have "Snow" in the forecast for early next week.... Gettin' prepared for a LONG stretch of sub normal temps as the pattern has flip hard since the beginning of this month as the new LRC began. What an incredible feat, esp the trends in the models and the potential "hyper" active central CONUS over the next 1-2 weeks! Lovin' it. #CutterSeason Highs in the 30s next week for ya....dang, this looks like a real cold airmass coming, especially for October standards. 3 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 Currently at 44F under deep blue skies. Winds are still a little gusty, but will diminish as the day wears on. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 Euro continues to show a huge snowmaker next week. Shifted further south overnight. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 Canadian very much in line with the Euro. GFS is the only one out to lunch. 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 Thanks for the offer, but don’t bother if you don’t remember! You just made me curious,but that’s ok! LolHere ya go bud...enjoy! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6lBszt0Egvk&list=UUc9YCB6iO5jmBtQ6yALZMiQ&index=3&t=0s 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 Thanks for the maps, Bud. I'm right in the path 8-9 days out. What could go wrong? Lol 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 NWS North Platte Nebraska Twitter Page says much below normal temps and above average precip. in the 6-10 day.https://twitter.com/NWSNorthPlatte/status/1187002994358751238?s=20 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 Feb 2011 was a wild month which included the largest snowstorm in history for me. If I remember right we had 40 inches of snow that month including a 26 in blizzard.It's pretty crazy that I had that 12-31-10 pattern etched in to my head. Lol. I guess a New Year's tornado outbreak will d ok that to you. Lol. It's the same exact pattern from 2010-11 almost to a T. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 Its a blustery day outside w temps holding in the upper 40s. Leaves are starting to fall off trees. I even saw some trees that are bare. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 It's pretty crazy that I had that 12-31-10 pattern etched in to my head. Lol. I guess a New Year's tornado outbreak will d ok that to you. Lol. It's the same exact pattern from 2010-11 almost to a T.If that's the case I may need a snowblower lol. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 If that's the case I may need a snowblower lol.I'm with you. Had my snowblower for about 10 years and last year took it's toll. Might be looking to trade in the next few days. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 23, 2019 Author Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 /\ forgot about that one. It is a good watch btwThis one is going to be an interesting wave to follow...should be a good wintry storm in future cycles down in the south for our TX/OK members and places around our region... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 This one is going to be an interesting wave to follow...should be a good wintry storm in future cycles down in the south for our TX/OK members and places around our region... Love the look of that baby! She digs very nicely. GRR.. .DISCUSSION...(Today through next Tuesday)Issued at 300 AM EDT Wed Oct 23 2019 Fair wx will briefly return for most of the day today but it willremain breezy with southwest winds of 15 to 25 mph with somehigher gusts particularly near the Lake MI shoreline. A sfc trofand upper level system will combine to bring some rain showerslate this afternoon and tonight. The wx pattern will finally become more tranquil as a broad sfcridge takes hold of our wx pattern Thursday through Friday intoSaturday. This will result in partly cloudy skies and seasonabletemps for this time of year. Clouds will be on the increase Saturday out ahead of a southernstream system that will move ne from the southern CONUS. Thissystem will bring some showers into our fcst area late Saturdayinto Sunday. An overall medium range guidance consensus suggeststhat the most significant rainfall will stay se of our fcst area.Nevertheless some steadier rain showers could arrive by Saturdaynight. Longer range computer model guidance shows potential for a coldand very unsettled wx pattern to develop toward the very end ofthe month as a high amplitude upper trough will amplify over theGreat Lakes region. In fact 00Z GFS ensembles indicate the hightemp at KGRR may struggle to reach the 40 degree mark by the30th/31st and the deterministic max/min numbers are notsurprisingly even colder then the ensemble mean temps. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 NWS North Platte Nebraska Twitter Page says much below normal temps and above average precip. in the 6-10 day.https://twitter.com/NWSNorthPlatte/status/1187002994358751238?s=20 Such an awesome "hook-up" for winter and the new LRC ;-) Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted October 23, 2019 Report Share Posted October 23, 2019 GFS still like "lol what storm?" It'll be interesting to see who wins out. 4 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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