umadbro Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 I mean there's a lot of hyperbolic doom and gloom but the 00z euro would have to take a serious step back from even the 18z to end hope here. Sure, it's not what it was but hell we'd take this normally.Slowly going the way of February 2019. https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 EURO! Phantom DC man time of truth. My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather1011 Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 You think that is all I care about... but I have been fully invested in tracking the cold and snow event as well. I am not going to stop tracking the long range though... I always do that. I will say that I do cringe a little when people are posting ridiculous temperature and snow maps from the GFS. We all know its not reality so why bother? It just makes a decent reality seem really crappy in comparison. I only jest of course.I really don't mind having a contrarian type around. Makes this place much more interesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 00Z ECMWF low position at 1 p.m. on Sunday... **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 You think that is all I care about... but I have been fully invested in tracking the cold and snow event as well. I am not going to stop tracking the long range though... I always do that. I will say that I do cringe a little when people are posting ridiculous temperature and snow maps from the GFS. We all know its not reality so why bother? It just makes a decent reality seem really crappy in comparison.You were here from the beginning posting plenty of maps from across the board weather wise. I'm not seeing it this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Low is already WAY north... Just keeps getting worse. Make it stop... going to 100% bust at this rate! My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 You think that is all I care about... but I have been fully invested in tracking the cold and snow event as well. I am not going to stop tracking the long range though... I always do that. I will say that I do cringe a little when people are posting ridiculous temperature and snow maps from the GFS. We all know its not reality so why bother? It just makes a decent reality seem really crappy in comparison. I vote both sides go away from using the euro ensemble control run, Jim and tim have been throwing it at each other over the last week. It seems to only show the best or worst possible outcome, neither of which ever materialize 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Today was great up here in vancouver ♂ Makes me think I should have moved to Blaine… 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 The c-zone at its peak per the 00Z ECMWF... North Seattle and Everett folks rejoice! What is crazy is that it shows it forming along the I-90 corridor earlier and then moving NORTH and before falling apart. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Tracking the c-zone will have to be a real-time forecast as it develops on radar with the models bouncing around on it but the general gist is that one will form. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 00Z ECMWF low position at 1 p.m. on Sunday... Well ain’t that a revoltin’ turn of events. It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather1011 Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Makes me think I should have moved to Blaine…Yeah you should have 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Looks a little further north and weaker through Sunday night.Looks like a typical more common CZ setup area, tbh. One can hope it sinks south which it tends to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 WARMER - Cold further north. <_> My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Jaya just Tweeted this 20 minutes ago: https://twitter.com/AlbrechtJay/status/1215872135165435904 "My forecast of 1-4 inch snowfall in the central Puget Sound area with the arctic front, temperatures in the teens to 20s early to mid week, then 3-8 inches of snow in the Everett-Seattle area hold and are supported by the 18Z and 12Z ECMWF ensemble solutions." 4 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Tracking the c-zone will have to be a real-time forecast as it develops on radar with the models bouncing around on it but the general gist is that one will form. I don't trust any of these runs to pin down the c-zone. Just too unpredictable. Just have to wait til Sunday night and see who gets smacked. Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 You can see it move down the Sound the next few frames. By 6AM Monday... Run the 3-hour snowfall map loop. That c-zone starts in central King County and moves north to Everett and parks itself and then falls apart. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather1011 Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 WARMER - Cold further north. <_> ecmwf_T850_nwus_4.pngLooks great at the Canadian border 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Is there even an SSW on the way?Not even remotely close. That vortex a strong motherf**ker this winter. If it happens it’ll probably be in February. Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 A TWF CZ conflicting report before it forms! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 You can see it move down the Sound the next few frames. By 6AM Monday...Looks okay over my house. Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeInEverett Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 I’ll take what the Euro is showing (Previous name: MillCreekMike) Everett, WA (elev. 180’) 2023-2024 Snowfall: 1/11: Tr. 1/18: Tr. Go M’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Go apeshit. But we won’t have to worry about that.There has to be a DK GIF for that. 2 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Nice little snow event for the central valley on the Euro. Only 30 miles south of me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Run the 3-hour snowfall map loop. That c-zone starts in central King County and moves north to Everett and parks itself and then falls apart.I'm telling you. Models always overestimate how quickly the outflow will push the c-zone South. 1 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 A TWF CZ conflicting report before it forms! It moves north. There is no doubt at all. Then it falls apart... but there is a general area of very light snow around the entire area through Monday morning. The active c-zone band is where the real accumulating snow will be though. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Like I have said so many times the last few days, why didn't you all hide your rugs, dumba**'!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Not even remotely close. That vortex a strong motherf**ker this winter. If it happens it’ll probably be in February.We haven’t had a warm Feb or March since 2016 so as much as I don’t like the gambler’s fallacy we’re probably due. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather1011 Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Wheres snow wizard ? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 We’ve lost Jim and Rob... Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Jaya just Tweeted this 20 minutes ago: https://twitter.com/AlbrechtJay/status/1215872135165435904 "My forecast of 1-4 inch snowfall in the central Puget Sound area with the arctic front, temperatures in the teens to 20s early to mid week, then 3-8 inches of snow in the Everett-Seattle area hold and are supported by the 18Z and 12Z ECMWF ensemble solutions."That will change after tonight. My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 We’ve lost Jim and Rob...I already said that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 This is like the days before models were considered better.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 We’ve lost Jim and rob Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 For a while there the model runs were so good that you were relegated to the vagueries of D15 EPS maps. Now that the models have gone to hell you are able to go all out again. Welcome back!Yep. He's as transparent as Michael Jackson before he died. Love ya, Tim. 1 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather1011 Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 We’ve lost Jim and rob Already said that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 We've lost Jim and Rob My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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