Part II- January 2020 Obs and Discussion

[Winterdog]

It’s obvious on the radar that the moisture moving north of the Olympics is rapidly moving northeasterly upon clearing the east side of the mountains. Not looking good for anywhere south of Randy’s house. Seattle and areas to the south may get in on what rounds the Olympics to the south.

[Blizzard777]

Just got a weather alert email from my health insurance company!

thats got to count for something 

Webcam surfing
 

[seattleweatherguy]

Could be just delayed not sure where Randy’s house is

[Cloud]

If last night’s was any indication. King County, particularly C. Sound will be shadowed. The track is primed for it.

[MikeInEverett]

We should cancel the Olympics.

[Timmy]

We should cancel the Olympics.

Fred, can you ban them

[jcmcgaffey]

If last night’s was any indication. King County, particularly C. Sound will be shadowed. The track is primed for it.

Ya it’s been hard watching all the heavy snow happen the last few days just north of me. We will definitely get shadowed and north sound will definitely get more snow but we can still have a chance at getting some good amounts.

[TT-SEA]

Calm down everyone. The precip will be coming off the Olympics shortly. We have seen this a million times throughout the year but just rain.

 

I think this will be different.  

 

The radar often looks like this with an incoming wave along a warm front... and the rain spreads over the region from NW to SE.    That happens all the time.

 

This a weak "warm front" lifting north... but as Matt mentioned yesterday its running into arctic air in this situation and that is a unique set up.  I think that is the reason for the intense snowfall up north and on the coast.   But this is probably not going to spread southeast as usual.   Its going to continue feeding in from the coast as the entire band very slowly lifts north.   

 

The south winds will be picking up soon and go all night to the south of the band.   SEA just switched to S13 at 5 p.m.

[Thurston Howell III]

You have no idea how many times the Olympics have messed with our snow totals.  Not counting the enhanced totals, those are OK.

[GHweatherChris]

Got another 1/4", 3.25" on the day so far.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Olympics will eat everything. I hope I am wrong but that is the sad truth.

This is not going to be a problem for south areas because of snow shadow because the flow is just fine it is a precip problem. If there is downslope drying then the precip should never make it to me and it already has got here.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Light snow at the moment. Very doubtful we'll get any stickage. Nice to see though.

 

Nothing here on the east side.  Been dry all day.  36F right now.

[MikeInEverett]

[jcmcgaffey]

I think this will be different.

 

The radar often looks like this with an incoming wave along a warm front... and the rain spreads over the region from NW to SE. That happens all the time.

 

This a weak "warm front" lifting north... but as Matt mentioned yesterday its running into arctic air in this situation and that is a unique set up. I think that is the reason for the intense snowfall up north and on the coast. But this is probably not going to spread southeast as usual. Its going to continue feeding in from the coast as the entire band very slowly lifts north.

 

The south winds will be picking up soon and go all night to the south of the band. SEA just switched to S13 at 5 p.m.

agreed and good point on the arctic air interaction as I am not sure what that will do. But we have seen this similar storm come in from the west and it starts to fill in a bit around the Olympics but takes a bit and is definitely a lighter precip.

[Cloud]

I think this will be different.

 

The radar often looks like this with an incoming wave along a warm front... and the rain spreads over the region from NW to SE. That happens all the time.

 

This a weak "warm front" lifting north... but as Matt mentioned yesterday its running into arctic air in this situation and that is a unique set up. I think that is the reason for the intense snowfall up north and on the coast. But this is probably not going to spread southeast as usual. Its going to continue feeding in from the coast as the entire band very slowly lifts north.

 

The south winds will be picking up soon and go all night to the south of the band. SEA just switched to S13 at 5 p.m.

I’m trying to hold to that NE wind but it has failed. It has switched to S last hour to 7mph and temp jumped from 29 to 33.

[Cloud]

[runninthruda206]

You guys don't think that precip near Shelton will make it to seattle? Looks to be on track!

[jcmcgaffey]

Next few hours are crucial as the band that could affect the central sound should start setting up soon across from the Olympics.

[wxmet]

You guys don't think that precip near Shelton will make it to seattle? Looks to be on track!

Heading up the Hood Canal

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Snowing here at a good clip and came on fast.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Pretty cool to see the moisture slam into the Olympic Mountains then wind around the south end.

[HighlandExperience]

Pretty cool to see the moisture slam into the Olympic Mountains then wind around the south end.

You think that will make it to central sound?

[Randyc321]

Calm down everyone. The precip will be coming off the Olympics shortly. We have seen this a million times throughout the year but just rain.

Yes.  But, I still think Piece County has a hard time seeing it move East like that.  Its going to be North of Tacoma mostly, I think till later on.

[MikeInEverett]

Looks like it’s starting to make its way around the Olympics

[wxmet]

Looks like it’s starting to make its way around the Olympics

Flock of birds

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

You think that will make it to central sound?

Yes. Might not be this band though.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Dumping here 28 degrees.

[Randyc321]

This is not going to be a problem for south areas because of snow shadow because the flow is just fine it is a precip problem. If there is downslope drying then the precip should never make it to me and it already has got here.

 

What time did it start to snow there?  The moisture is racing up the Peninsula I am glad to see.

[Prairiedog]

If I ever relocate to the Seattle area I am going to get a place near Mossman. 

I think there's some lots open right next to Tim. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

What time did it start to snow there?  The moisture is racing up the Peninsula I am glad to see.

15 minutes ago. It went from nothing to raging snow in 5 minutes

[TT-SEA]

Dumping here 28 degrees.

Where are you exactly? I always get confused about the places over there and where they are on the radar.

[Prairiedog]

Am I out to lunch thinking this clearing might get the WV down to freezing pretty fast tonight?

I just hit 32f.  I was guessing I might hit close to 28f.  Fog might be a problem though.  Unfortunately it will have warmed above freezing before the moisture moves in. 

[jcmcgaffey]

Yes. But, I still think Piece County has a hard time seeing it move East like that. Its going to be North of Tacoma mostly, I think till later on.

agree the precip line is all pretty much north but there’s some low hanging fruit looking to swing out that way if it doesn’t get eaten up too much before it gets there.

[kokaneekidz]

I’m trying to hold to that NE wind but it has failed. It has switched to S last hour to 7mph and temp jumped from 29 to 33.

It has even come around southeasterly here too.....//

[TacomaWaWx]

Snowing lightly in port orchard now.

[kokaneekidz]

15 minutes ago. It went from nothing to raging snow in 

Are you near Bremerton National Airport?

[snow maniac]

Light snow here.

[Esquimalt]

Is it just me or is this system coming in south of what was modelled?

[jcmcgaffey]

Looks like some enhanced moisture blowing up way offshore on the satellite. It’s in between those two lows and looks like may swing into western Washington later.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Where are you exactly? I always get confused about the places over there and where they are on the radar.

right on the county border line on the radar map dead center from right to left